Florida A&M
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.3#342
Expected Predictive Rating-13.3#324
Pace70.2#168
Improvement+0.6#94

Offense
Total Offense-9.2#346
First Shot-9.3#346
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#174
Layup/Dunks-1.5#224
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.0#345
Freethrows+0.1#166
Improvement+1.1#31

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#292
First Shot-5.7#325
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#84
Layups/Dunks-11.6#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#4
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#95
Freethrows-2.2#282
Improvement-0.5#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 30.2% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.6% 62.8% 4.4%
.500 or above in Conference 46.6% 95.3% 46.5%
Conference Champion 6.3% 34.9% 6.2%
Last Place in Conference 11.8% 0.0% 11.9%
First Four6.1% 30.2% 6.0%
First Round1.9% 0.0% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 30 - 9
Quad 48 - 118 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 54   @ USC L 48-77 2%     0 - 1 -16.6 -23.6 +9.2
  Nov 08, 2019 206   @ Hawaii L 52-65 10%     0 - 2 -12.4 -21.7 +9.6
  Nov 10, 2019 235   Pacific L 54-76 19%     0 - 3 -25.9 -16.1 -11.7
  Nov 11, 2019 148   South Dakota L 82-85 10%     0 - 4 -2.2 +6.0 -8.2
  Nov 23, 2019 15   @ Seton Hall L 55-86 0.2%   
  Dec 02, 2019 50   @ Kansas St. L 47-73 1%    
  Dec 04, 2019 19   @ Tennessee L 55-85 0.2%   
  Dec 16, 2019 247   @ Portland L 61-73 14%    
  Dec 19, 2019 141   @ Washington St. L 62-80 6%    
  Dec 21, 2019 249   @ Seattle L 62-74 15%    
  Dec 31, 2019 44   @ Iowa St. L 58-85 1%    
  Jan 04, 2020 321   @ NC Central L 63-69 31%    
  Jan 06, 2020 322   @ N.C. A&T L 64-70 28%    
  Jan 11, 2020 307   Morgan St. L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 13, 2020 332   Coppin St. W 76-75 53%    
  Jan 18, 2020 327   @ South Carolina St. L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 20, 2020 321   NC Central W 66-65 50%    
  Jan 25, 2020 346   @ Howard L 74-75 46%    
  Jan 27, 2020 306   @ Norfolk St. L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 01, 2020 337   Bethune-Cookman W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 08, 2020 346   Howard W 77-72 65%    
  Feb 10, 2020 322   N.C. A&T W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 15, 2020 348   @ Delaware St. W 56-55 54%    
  Feb 17, 2020 349   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 52-51 52%    
  Feb 22, 2020 306   Norfolk St. L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 24, 2020 327   South Carolina St. W 71-70 52%    
  Mar 05, 2020 337   @ Bethune-Cookman L 69-73 36%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.3 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 6.3 1st
2nd 0.3 2.2 2.4 1.5 0.5 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 3.5 2.2 0.4 7.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.6 3.0 0.2 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 3.4 4.1 0.4 9.2 5th
6th 0.6 4.0 5.5 1.1 0.1 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.5 5.0 1.8 10.6 7th
8th 0.2 3.1 5.6 2.2 0.2 11.3 8th
9th 0.3 2.0 5.5 3.0 0.2 10.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.2 4.0 1.9 0.5 9.3 10th
11th 0.2 0.9 2.2 2.1 1.4 0.4 7.2 11th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.8 4.6 7.6 11.1 13.2 12.9 12.3 11.8 9.4 6.0 4.0 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
14-2 98.8% 0.8    0.8 0.1
13-3 73.7% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.0
12-4 53.2% 2.1    0.9 0.8 0.4
11-5 21.8% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.7
10-6 2.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 3.1 2.0 1.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 0.1 0.0
15-1 0.3% 21.9% 21.9% 16.0 0.1 0.3
14-2 0.8% 24.6% 24.6% 16.0 0.2 0.6
13-3 1.9% 22.1% 22.1% 16.0 0.4 1.5
12-4 4.0% 14.0% 14.0% 16.0 0.6 3.5
11-5 6.0% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 1.1 4.9
10-6 9.4% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.8 8.6
9-7 11.8% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 1.1 10.6
8-8 12.3% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.9 11.4
7-9 12.9% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 12.6
6-10 13.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.1
5-11 11.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.1
4-12 7.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 7.4
3-13 4.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.5
2-14 2.8% 2.8
1-15 0.9% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.1 0.9
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 16.0 6.1 93.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%