Florida A&M
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#314
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#277
Pace71.2#132
Improvement+1.6#108

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#340
First Shot-8.4#346
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#127
Layup/Dunks-2.8#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.6#351
Freethrows-1.5#283
Improvement+0.4#153

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#214
First Shot-1.2#199
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#226
Layups/Dunks-3.7#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#117
Freethrows-1.2#252
Improvement+1.2#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 10.2% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 8.9% 13.5% 3.2%
.500 or above in Conference 69.7% 81.7% 55.0%
Conference Champion 4.1% 6.6% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.3% 1.1%
First Four8.4% 9.5% 6.9%
First Round3.6% 4.3% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 55.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 20 - 21 - 5
Quad 31 - 32 - 8
Quad 410 - 1012 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 62   @ USC L 48-77 4%     0 - 1 -17.9 -21.6 +6.0
  Nov 08, 2019 181   @ Hawaii L 52-65 14%     0 - 2 -10.8 -20.6 +10.1
  Nov 10, 2019 161   Pacific L 54-76 18%     0 - 3 -21.7 -12.2 -11.3
  Nov 11, 2019 208   South Dakota L 82-85 26%     0 - 4 -5.9 +3.7 -9.5
  Nov 23, 2019 8   @ Seton Hall L 51-87 1%     0 - 5 -17.4 -15.7 +1.2
  Dec 02, 2019 85   @ Kansas St. L 58-76 5%     0 - 6 -8.6 -5.7 -3.6
  Dec 04, 2019 57   @ Tennessee L 43-72 4%     0 - 7 -17.4 -20.7 +2.3
  Dec 16, 2019 268   @ Portland L 60-66 27%     0 - 8 -9.0 -15.2 +6.4
  Dec 19, 2019 134   @ Washington St. L 73-87 10%     0 - 9 -9.1 -3.1 -4.6
  Dec 21, 2019 197   @ Seattle W 71-57 17%     1 - 9 +14.5 -0.7 +15.2
  Dec 31, 2019 52   @ Iowa St. W 70-68 3%     2 - 9 +14.3 +4.4 +10.1
  Jan 04, 2020 295   @ NC Central L 45-61 33%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -20.9 -25.2 +3.2
  Jan 06, 2020 294   @ N.C. A&T L 90-97 OT 33%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -11.8 -8.6 -1.2
  Jan 11, 2020 313   Morgan St. W 77-68 61%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -3.3 -2.6 -0.6
  Jan 13, 2020 333   Coppin St. W 65-54 67%     4 - 11 2 - 2 -3.1 -12.5 +9.5
  Jan 18, 2020 316   @ South Carolina St. L 65-81 39%     4 - 12 2 - 3 -22.7 -13.4 -9.6
  Jan 20, 2020 295   NC Central W 65-64 55%    
  Jan 25, 2020 349   @ Howard W 75-69 70%    
  Jan 27, 2020 278   @ Norfolk St. L 60-66 29%    
  Feb 01, 2020 301   Bethune-Cookman W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 08, 2020 349   Howard W 77-66 86%    
  Feb 10, 2020 294   N.C. A&T W 68-67 55%    
  Feb 15, 2020 348   @ Delaware St. W 70-65 68%    
  Feb 17, 2020 352   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 63-55 76%    
  Feb 22, 2020 278   Norfolk St. W 64-63 50%    
  Feb 24, 2020 316   South Carolina St. W 72-69 62%    
  Mar 05, 2020 301   @ Bethune-Cookman L 71-75 35%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.5 1.9 0.6 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.8 4.5 1.0 0.0 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 6.8 2.6 0.1 10.6 3rd
4th 0.5 6.1 5.8 0.3 12.7 4th
5th 0.2 4.1 9.4 1.1 14.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.9 9.7 3.9 0.0 16.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.5 7.6 5.7 0.3 16.4 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 5.5 4.5 0.8 0.0 12.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 1.6 1.0 0.2 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.3 4.0 9.2 15.4 20.7 20.8 15.7 8.9 3.0 0.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 98.3% 0.6    0.5 0.1
12-4 63.0% 1.9    0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0
11-5 17.3% 1.5    0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.6% 22.2% 22.2% 15.4 0.1 0.1 0.5
12-4 3.0% 21.0% 21.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 2.4
11-5 8.9% 18.3% 18.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6 7.3
10-6 15.7% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 2.1 13.6
9-7 20.8% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 2.0 18.9
8-8 20.7% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 1.3 19.4
7-9 15.4% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.6 14.7
6-10 9.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 9.0
5-11 4.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 3.9
4-12 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.3
3-13 0.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 8.7 91.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 15.4 57.7 42.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%