Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#112
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#264
Pace82.3#15
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#129
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#126
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.2% 22.8% 15.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.0 13.7
.500 or above 79.5% 86.0% 67.3%
.500 or above in Conference 85.6% 88.6% 80.1%
Conference Champion 25.7% 29.2% 19.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.7% 1.4%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round20.1% 22.6% 15.3%
Second Round3.4% 4.2% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Home) - 65.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 36 - 57 - 10
Quad 411 - 319 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 33   @ Auburn L 74-83 14%     0 - 1 +5.9 -1.4 +8.4
  Nov 11, 2019 154   @ North Florida L 77-80 49%     0 - 2 +0.3 -7.8 +8.6
  Nov 15, 2019 133   Radford W 76-72 65%    
  Nov 19, 2019 234   Mercer W 88-78 82%    
  Nov 29, 2019 288   Campbell W 79-69 82%    
  Nov 30, 2019 274   North Dakota W 84-75 78%    
  Dec 01, 2019 279   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 79-73 71%    
  Dec 15, 2019 114   @ Bradley L 72-75 39%    
  Dec 19, 2019 150   Texas St. W 74-69 68%    
  Dec 21, 2019 117   Texas Arlington W 76-73 62%    
  Dec 23, 2019 65   @ Georgia L 79-87 24%    
  Jan 02, 2020 194   @ Coastal Carolina W 82-80 57%    
  Jan 04, 2020 187   @ Appalachian St. W 84-82 55%    
  Jan 06, 2020 200   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 80-78 57%    
  Jan 09, 2020 229   Louisiana Monroe W 80-70 80%    
  Jan 11, 2020 242   Louisiana W 90-80 81%    
  Jan 16, 2020 298   @ Troy W 81-73 75%    
  Jan 18, 2020 134   @ South Alabama L 76-78 44%    
  Jan 25, 2020 159   Georgia St. W 84-78 70%    
  Jan 30, 2020 298   Troy W 84-70 88%    
  Feb 01, 2020 134   South Alabama W 79-75 64%    
  Feb 06, 2020 229   @ Louisiana Monroe W 77-73 63%    
  Feb 08, 2020 242   @ Louisiana W 87-83 64%    
  Feb 13, 2020 194   Coastal Carolina W 85-77 75%    
  Feb 15, 2020 187   Appalachian St. W 87-79 74%    
  Feb 20, 2020 150   @ Texas St. L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 22, 2020 117   @ Texas Arlington L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 29, 2020 159   @ Georgia St. W 81-80 49%    
  Mar 03, 2020 283   Arkansas St. W 85-72 85%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.4 6.3 5.9 4.4 2.1 0.6 25.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.6 5.4 2.9 1.1 0.1 18.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.4 3.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 13.7 3rd
4th 0.3 2.1 4.6 2.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 3.8 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.2 1.2 3.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.3 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.4 2.4 3.5 5.6 7.6 9.0 10.7 11.7 12.0 11.1 9.4 6.9 4.5 2.1 0.6 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
19-1 100.0% 2.1    2.1 0.0
18-2 96.9% 4.4    4.1 0.3
17-3 84.7% 5.9    4.8 1.0 0.0
16-4 66.9% 6.3    4.1 1.9 0.3 0.0
15-5 39.6% 4.4    2.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
14-6 13.8% 1.7    0.5 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 25.7% 25.7 18.1 5.8 1.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.6% 77.0% 66.4% 10.7% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 31.7%
19-1 2.1% 60.3% 57.9% 2.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.8 5.7%
18-2 4.5% 52.5% 51.6% 0.9% 12.3 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.2 1.8%
17-3 6.9% 43.8% 43.2% 0.6% 12.8 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 3.9 1.1%
16-4 9.4% 39.7% 39.6% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.7 1.6 1.2 0.2 5.7 0.2%
15-5 11.1% 29.5% 29.5% 13.7 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.0 7.8
14-6 12.0% 21.8% 21.8% 13.9 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.6 0.0 9.4
13-7 11.7% 15.1% 15.1% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 10.0
12-8 10.7% 8.3% 8.3% 14.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 9.8
11-9 9.0% 4.8% 4.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.6
10-10 7.6% 2.8% 2.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.4
9-11 5.6% 2.3% 2.3% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.4
8-12 3.5% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 3.5
7-13 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
6-14 1.4% 1.4
5-15 1.0% 1.0
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 20.2% 20.0% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 3.7 6.1 5.5 2.8 0.6 79.8 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 6.3 3.2 3.2 19.4 16.1 25.8 9.7 9.7 9.7 3.2