Houston Baptist
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.3#345
Expected Predictive Rating-17.8#344
Pace88.1#2
Improvement-2.4#279

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#130
First Shot+0.8#146
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#110
Layup/Dunks-0.7#204
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#106
Freethrows+0.5#139
Improvement+1.8#75

Defense
Total Defense-16.0#353
First Shot-13.4#353
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#341
Layups/Dunks-8.1#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#313
Freethrows-2.7#316
Improvement-4.2#344
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.6% 5.0% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 42.7% 24.8% 46.4%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sam Houston St. (Home) - 17.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 40 - 12
Quad 45 - 125 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 97   @ Tulsa L 72-80 3%     0 - 1 +0.0 +0.2 +0.4
  Nov 08, 2019 122   @ Oral Roberts L 81-95 4%     0 - 2 -8.2 -10.6 +5.3
  Nov 13, 2019 22   Texas Tech L 74-103 1%     0 - 3 -15.7 -0.6 -10.6
  Nov 22, 2019 21   @ Michigan L 68-111 1%     0 - 4 -26.8 -10.1 -8.7
  Nov 26, 2019 34   @ Houston L 73-112 1%     0 - 5 -24.3 -1.1 -19.7
  Dec 03, 2019 9   @ Dayton L 68-99 1%     0 - 6 -12.4 -4.5 -4.9
  Dec 07, 2019 265   Samford L 90-113 30%     0 - 7 -31.7 +2.7 -32.2
  Dec 14, 2019 238   @ Rice L 84-96 12%     0 - 8 -13.3 +2.0 -14.4
  Dec 18, 2019 140   @ Stephen F. Austin L 68-96 5%     0 - 9 0 - 1 -23.4 -11.5 -7.9
  Dec 22, 2019 116   @ New Mexico L 88-107 4%     0 - 10 -12.4 +7.4 -18.0
  Jan 02, 2020 308   Central Arkansas W 111-107 OT 41%     1 - 10 1 - 1 -7.8 +1.2 -10.1
  Jan 05, 2020 327   @ Northwestern St. L 79-106 26%     1 - 11 1 - 2 -34.5 -5.9 -25.5
  Jan 11, 2020 273   Lamar L 92-102 31%     1 - 12 1 - 3 -19.2 +7.5 -25.7
  Jan 15, 2020 306   New Orleans L 98-106 41%     1 - 13 1 - 4 -19.8 +3.5 -22.1
  Jan 18, 2020 186   Sam Houston St. L 86-96 17%    
  Jan 22, 2020 209   @ Nicholls St. L 80-94 9%    
  Jan 25, 2020 286   @ McNeese St. L 88-98 17%    
  Jan 29, 2020 347   Incarnate Word W 88-83 68%    
  Feb 01, 2020 298   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 79-83 38%    
  Feb 05, 2020 315   @ SE Louisiana L 87-95 23%    
  Feb 08, 2020 327   Northwestern St. L 91-92 46%    
  Feb 12, 2020 223   @ Abilene Christian L 80-94 10%    
  Feb 15, 2020 273   @ Lamar L 80-91 15%    
  Feb 19, 2020 223   Abilene Christian L 83-91 24%    
  Feb 22, 2020 186   @ Sam Houston St. L 83-99 7%    
  Feb 26, 2020 209   Nicholls St. L 83-91 23%    
  Feb 29, 2020 286   McNeese St. L 91-95 36%    
  Mar 04, 2020 347   @ Incarnate Word L 85-86 46%    
  Mar 07, 2020 298   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 76-85 20%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 5 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.6 7th
8th 0.3 1.5 0.9 0.1 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.4 1.5 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 4.0 7.6 3.5 0.3 16.2 11th
12th 0.3 4.3 11.1 12.9 6.0 0.7 0.0 35.3 12th
13th 1.7 7.0 10.2 7.4 2.4 0.2 0.0 28.9 13th
Total 1.7 7.3 14.5 19.3 19.5 16.5 10.7 6.2 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0 0.1
11-9 0.4% 0.4
10-10 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
9-11 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.7
8-12 6.2% 6.2
7-13 10.7% 10.7
6-14 16.5% 16.5
5-15 19.5% 19.5
4-16 19.3% 19.3
3-17 14.5% 14.5
2-18 7.3% 7.3
1-19 1.7% 1.7
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.7%