Houston Baptist
Southland
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#293
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#277
Pace87.9#5
Improvement+0.3#140

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#179
First Shot-2.8#261
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#57
Layup/Dunks-5.7#326
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#157
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#92
Freethrows-0.1#174
Improvement+0.5#96

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#340
First Shot-4.8#309
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#312
Layups/Dunks-8.3#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#78
Freethrows-2.2#282
Improvement-0.2#230
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 9.1% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.0 15.7
.500 or above 17.9% 47.9% 17.5%
.500 or above in Conference 55.8% 77.3% 55.5%
Conference Champion 5.3% 15.7% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.6% 1.9% 4.7%
First Four2.5% 2.2% 2.6%
First Round3.7% 8.2% 3.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 410 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 132   @ Tulsa L 72-80 12%     0 - 1 -3.0 -2.0 -0.4
  Nov 08, 2019 180   @ Oral Roberts L 81-95 19%     0 - 2 -12.1 -9.7 +0.5
  Nov 13, 2019 11   Texas Tech L 74-103 2%     0 - 3 -12.8 -1.2 -7.0
  Nov 22, 2019 30   @ Michigan L 66-89 1%    
  Nov 26, 2019 42   @ Houston L 69-91 2%    
  Dec 03, 2019 64   @ Dayton L 73-92 4%    
  Dec 07, 2019 205   Samford L 85-87 43%    
  Dec 14, 2019 210   @ Rice L 86-94 23%    
  Dec 18, 2019 234   @ Stephen F. Austin L 87-94 27%    
  Dec 22, 2019 91   @ New Mexico L 85-101 7%    
  Jan 02, 2020 308   Central Arkansas W 91-86 67%    
  Jan 05, 2020 345   @ Northwestern St. W 84-80 62%    
  Jan 11, 2020 257   Lamar W 83-82 52%    
  Jan 15, 2020 263   New Orleans W 84-83 52%    
  Jan 18, 2020 185   Sam Houston St. L 80-83 39%    
  Jan 22, 2020 227   @ Nicholls St. L 80-87 27%    
  Jan 25, 2020 302   @ McNeese St. L 84-86 42%    
  Jan 29, 2020 347   Incarnate Word W 85-75 82%    
  Feb 01, 2020 301   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 77-73 63%    
  Feb 05, 2020 316   @ SE Louisiana L 82-83 49%    
  Feb 08, 2020 345   Northwestern St. W 87-77 79%    
  Feb 12, 2020 281   @ Abilene Christian L 76-80 36%    
  Feb 15, 2020 257   @ Lamar L 80-86 32%    
  Feb 19, 2020 281   Abilene Christian W 79-77 56%    
  Feb 22, 2020 185   @ Sam Houston St. L 77-86 22%    
  Feb 26, 2020 227   Nicholls St. L 83-84 46%    
  Feb 29, 2020 302   McNeese St. W 87-83 62%    
  Mar 04, 2020 347   @ Incarnate Word W 82-78 65%    
  Mar 07, 2020 301   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 74-76 42%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 3.3 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.8 2.7 0.8 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.2 3.3 0.8 0.1 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.9 4.0 0.9 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.5 4.4 1.3 0.1 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.3 1.7 0.1 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.3 2.0 0.2 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.6 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.2 6.1 8.3 10.1 11.1 11.6 11.3 9.8 8.1 6.0 4.5 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 96.3% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 85.5% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
16-4 60.4% 1.5    0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 30.2% 1.3    0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.2% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 39.0% 39.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 39.4% 39.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.3% 34.1% 34.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.9
16-4 2.4% 26.2% 26.2% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.8
15-5 4.5% 19.8% 19.8% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 3.6
14-6 6.0% 14.9% 14.9% 15.9 0.1 0.8 5.1
13-7 8.1% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 7.3
12-8 9.8% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.3
11-9 11.3% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.0
10-10 11.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 11.5
9-11 11.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.0
8-12 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.1
7-13 8.3% 8.3
6-14 6.1% 6.1
5-15 4.2% 4.2
4-16 2.5% 2.5
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.7 95.1 0.0%