Yale
Ivy League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#70
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#51
Pace66.6#253
Improvement-0.2#191

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#138
First Shot+2.5#98
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#265
Layup/Dunks-0.1#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#32
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement+0.0#170

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#39
First Shot+4.9#49
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#79
Layups/Dunks+1.0#123
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#47
Freethrows+1.4#89
Improvement-0.2#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 48.2% 48.5% 44.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.9 11.8 12.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.6% 99.8% 97.1%
Conference Champion 66.8% 68.3% 45.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.0%
First Round47.8% 48.1% 44.1%
Second Round13.4% 13.4% 12.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.0% 4.0% 3.8%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.0% 1.1%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Home) - 93.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 38 - 211 - 7
Quad 412 - 122 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 151   @ Stony Brook W 74-69 OT 64%     1 - 0 +8.8 -6.1 +14.2
  Nov 11, 2019 100   @ San Francisco L 79-84 OT 49%     1 - 1 +2.7 -1.5 +4.8
  Nov 17, 2019 64   @ Oklahoma St. L 57-64 37%     1 - 2 +3.8 -9.8 +13.7
  Nov 20, 2019 231   Siena W 100-89 3OT 90%     2 - 2 +4.2 -0.6 +2.1
  Nov 23, 2019 24   @ Penn St. L 56-58 21%     2 - 3 +13.9 -6.5 +20.2
  Nov 25, 2019 233   Western Michigan W 73-51 86%     3 - 3 +18.0 +4.0 +15.9
  Nov 26, 2019 213   Bucknell W 81-61 84%     4 - 3 +16.7 +5.7 +10.7
  Dec 01, 2019 86   Vermont W 65-52 64%     5 - 3 +16.6 -0.3 +17.8
  Dec 04, 2019 229   @ Albany W 61-52 79%     6 - 3 +8.1 -2.2 +11.5
  Dec 07, 2019 294   @ Lehigh W 78-65 87%     7 - 3 +8.4 +1.7 +6.8
  Dec 11, 2019 194   @ Massachusetts W 83-80 OT 74%     8 - 3 +3.7 +3.8 -0.3
  Dec 22, 2019 74   @ Clemson W 54-45 40%     9 - 3 +19.1 -5.5 +25.5
  Dec 30, 2019 59   @ North Carolina L 67-70 35%     9 - 4 +8.3 -2.8 +11.2
  Jan 17, 2020 201   Brown W 70-56 88%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +8.5 -6.4 +14.6
  Jan 20, 2020 348   @ Howard W 89-75 97%     11 - 4 -0.5 +8.9 -9.0
  Jan 24, 2020 201   @ Brown W 73-62 75%     12 - 4 2 - 0 +11.3 +0.3 +11.0
  Jan 31, 2020 256   Columbia W 73-57 93%    
  Feb 01, 2020 285   Cornell W 72-55 95%    
  Feb 07, 2020 98   Harvard W 69-64 69%    
  Feb 08, 2020 200   Dartmouth W 69-56 89%    
  Feb 14, 2020 176   @ Princeton W 69-64 68%    
  Feb 15, 2020 139   @ Penn W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 21, 2020 285   @ Cornell W 69-58 85%    
  Feb 22, 2020 256   @ Columbia W 70-60 82%    
  Feb 28, 2020 139   Penn W 73-64 79%    
  Feb 29, 2020 176   Princeton W 72-61 85%    
  Mar 06, 2020 200   @ Dartmouth W 66-59 74%    
  Mar 07, 2020 98   @ Harvard L 66-67 48%    
Projected Record 21 - 7 11 - 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 5.2 15.1 22.7 16.9 6.3 66.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 5.0 9.8 7.0 2.0 24.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.0 1.1 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.2 1.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.4 8.9 16.0 22.2 24.7 16.9 6.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 6.3    6.3
13-1 100.0% 16.9    16.4 0.6
12-2 92.0% 22.7    18.4 4.3 0.0
11-3 68.2% 15.1    8.6 6.2 0.3
10-4 32.2% 5.2    1.6 2.8 0.8 0.0
9-5 6.7% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 66.8% 66.8 51.2 14.0 1.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 6.3% 69.9% 63.5% 6.4% 9.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.6 1.9 17.5%
13-1 16.9% 57.8% 56.4% 1.4% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.4 5.7 0.2 7.2 3.1%
12-2 24.7% 53.1% 52.8% 0.3% 12.0 0.1 1.5 9.9 1.7 0.0 11.6 0.6%
11-3 22.2% 45.4% 45.4% 12.3 0.0 0.3 7.0 2.6 0.2 12.1
10-4 16.0% 41.6% 41.6% 12.6 0.1 3.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 9.4
9-5 8.9% 34.7% 34.7% 12.9 0.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 5.8
8-6 3.4% 29.5% 29.5% 13.3 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 2.4
7-7 1.3% 12.1% 12.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2
6-8 0.3% 0.3
5-9 0.1% 0.1
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 48.2% 47.5% 0.7% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 6.2 27.2 9.8 1.6 0.1 0.0 51.8 1.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.0% 100.0% 8.8 1.3 6.3 12.3 10.8 12.0 15.3 14.0 16.8 11.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.4% 20.0% 10.9 0.7 1.5 14.1 3.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9% 13.8% 11.4 1.1 6.4 6.4