Penn
Ivy League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#149
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#164
Pace73.5#72
Improvement-4.5#327

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#139
First Shot+1.9#112
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#218
Layup/Dunks+6.8#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#36
Freethrows-3.1#338
Improvement-3.5#331

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#169
First Shot-0.2#160
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#190
Layups/Dunks-4.6#326
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#49
Freethrows+1.6#76
Improvement-1.0#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 8.6% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.2 13.8
.500 or above 59.8% 79.0% 46.5%
.500 or above in Conference 55.9% 61.8% 51.9%
Conference Champion 3.2% 4.0% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 4.9% 7.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round7.0% 8.6% 5.8%
Second Round0.9% 1.3% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Home) - 40.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 12 - 3
Quad 21 - 23 - 5
Quad 33 - 56 - 10
Quad 47 - 313 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 36   @ Alabama W 81-80 11%     1 - 0 +15.4 +1.0 +14.2
  Nov 09, 2019 239   @ Rice L 61-80 60%     1 - 1 -20.4 -16.9 -2.7
  Nov 13, 2019 173   La Salle W 75-59 66%     2 - 1 +12.8 -2.2 +13.9
  Nov 19, 2019 194   @ Lafayette L 75-86 51%     2 - 2 -10.1 +4.6 -15.4
  Nov 23, 2019 62   @ Providence W 81-75 17%     3 - 2 +17.0 +8.5 +8.0
  Nov 28, 2019 109   Central Florida W 68-67 39%     4 - 2 +5.0 -2.9 +7.9
  Nov 29, 2019 10   Arizona L 82-92 10%     4 - 3 +5.2 +13.7 -8.3
  Dec 01, 2019 305   Long Beach St. W 95-79 82%     5 - 3 +7.3 +11.9 -5.7
  Dec 04, 2019 23   @ Villanova L 69-80 9%     5 - 4 +5.0 +1.5 +3.7
  Dec 30, 2019 349   @ Howard W 81-62 93%     6 - 4 +3.9 -1.2 +5.0
  Jan 04, 2020 176   Princeton L 64-78 66%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -17.3 -13.5 -3.6
  Jan 10, 2020 176   @ Princeton L 58-63 45%     6 - 6 0 - 2 -2.7 -10.1 +6.9
  Jan 18, 2020 243   Saint Joseph's L 81-87 79%     6 - 7 -13.3 -5.1 -7.6
  Jan 25, 2020 83   Temple L 69-72 41%    
  Jan 31, 2020 94   Harvard L 72-74 45%    
  Feb 01, 2020 212   Dartmouth W 73-66 75%    
  Feb 07, 2020 246   @ Columbia W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 08, 2020 294   @ Cornell W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 14, 2020 195   Brown W 77-71 73%    
  Feb 15, 2020 72   Yale L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 21, 2020 212   @ Dartmouth W 70-69 55%    
  Feb 22, 2020 94   @ Harvard L 70-77 25%    
  Feb 28, 2020 72   @ Yale L 64-73 19%    
  Feb 29, 2020 195   @ Brown W 75-74 52%    
  Mar 06, 2020 294   Cornell W 76-64 86%    
  Mar 07, 2020 246   Columbia W 77-68 79%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.1 0.3 3.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 4.3 3.1 0.4 9.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.9 9.0 5.6 0.8 0.0 19.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 5.4 11.2 6.3 0.9 0.0 24.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 4.4 10.1 4.8 0.3 19.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 6.8 3.0 0.2 13.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.6 1.9 0.1 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.9 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.2 7.2 13.4 18.9 20.3 17.4 11.1 5.3 1.6 0.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
11-3 73.0% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-4 26.0% 1.4    0.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
9-5 3.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.3% 38.3% 38.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-3 1.6% 29.7% 29.7% 12.3 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1
10-4 5.3% 25.6% 25.6% 12.8 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.0
9-5 11.1% 19.0% 19.0% 13.4 0.2 1.0 0.7 0.1 9.0
8-6 17.4% 11.8% 11.8% 13.9 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.0 15.3
7-7 20.3% 4.0% 4.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 19.5
6-8 18.9% 0.3% 0.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.9
5-9 13.4% 13.4
4-10 7.2% 7.2
3-11 3.2% 3.2
2-12 1.1% 1.1
1-13 0.2% 0.2
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.5 2.1 1.0 0.1 93.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 11.4 3.1 18.5 29.2 36.9 12.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0%
Lose Out 0.0%