Penn
Ivy League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#133
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#159
Pace69.2#199
Improvement-1.0#295

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#148
First Shot-1.4#218
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#76
Layup/Dunks+5.0#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#138
Freethrows-3.6#327
Improvement+1.1#50

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#130
First Shot+0.3#161
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#119
Layups/Dunks-1.2#212
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#180
Freethrows+1.9#88
Improvement-2.1#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.5% 26.2% 17.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.4 12.6 13.6
.500 or above 67.8% 88.8% 65.2%
.500 or above in Conference 78.5% 87.1% 77.4%
Conference Champion 23.9% 33.7% 22.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 1.7% 4.4%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round18.4% 25.9% 17.5%
Second Round2.5% 4.9% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.3% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 11.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 21 - 22 - 4
Quad 34 - 56 - 9
Quad 47 - 214 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 66   @ Alabama W 81-80 19%     1 - 0 +12.4 +0.6 +11.7
  Nov 09, 2019 201   @ Rice L 61-80 55%     1 - 1 -18.3 -17.3 -0.1
  Nov 13, 2019 204   La Salle W 75-59 76%     2 - 1 +10.5 -3.3 +12.7
  Nov 19, 2019 220   @ Lafayette L 75-86 59%     2 - 2 -11.2 +2.6 -14.4
  Nov 23, 2019 33   @ Providence L 65-78 11%    
  Nov 28, 2019 115   Central Florida L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 04, 2019 14   @ Villanova L 61-77 7%    
  Dec 30, 2019 347   @ Howard W 84-70 90%    
  Jan 04, 2020 210   Princeton W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 10, 2020 210   @ Princeton W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 18, 2020 187   Saint Joseph's W 84-77 73%    
  Jan 25, 2020 88   Temple L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 31, 2020 97   Harvard W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 01, 2020 200   Dartmouth W 67-60 74%    
  Feb 07, 2020 177   @ Columbia L 68-69 50%    
  Feb 08, 2020 274   @ Cornell W 71-66 67%    
  Feb 14, 2020 230   Brown W 76-67 78%    
  Feb 15, 2020 116   Yale W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 21, 2020 200   @ Dartmouth W 64-63 55%    
  Feb 22, 2020 97   @ Harvard L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 28, 2020 116   @ Yale L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 29, 2020 230   @ Brown W 73-70 60%    
  Mar 06, 2020 274   Cornell W 74-63 83%    
  Mar 07, 2020 177   Columbia W 72-66 70%    
Projected Record 13 - 11 8 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.5 4.9 7.2 6.1 3.1 0.9 23.9 1st
2nd 0.1 2.4 7.6 8.0 3.3 0.5 22.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.7 8.0 5.8 1.2 0.1 17.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 6.5 4.2 0.5 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.9 3.1 0.3 10.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.0 2.1 0.2 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.3 0.1 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 2.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.5 6.1 9.4 12.6 15.1 15.4 14.1 10.7 6.7 3.1 0.9 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
13-1 100.0% 3.1    3.0 0.1
12-2 92.2% 6.1    5.0 1.1 0.0
11-3 68.0% 7.2    4.2 2.8 0.3 0.0
10-4 34.7% 4.9    1.7 2.3 0.9 0.1
9-5 9.6% 1.5    0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 23.9% 23.9 14.9 6.9 1.7 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.9% 70.3% 67.5% 2.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 8.6%
13-1 3.1% 50.7% 49.5% 1.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 2.5%
12-2 6.7% 41.3% 41.0% 0.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 3.9 0.6%
11-3 10.7% 35.1% 35.0% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.9 0.1%
10-4 14.1% 27.7% 27.7% 13.7 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.0 10.2
9-5 15.4% 22.3% 22.3% 14.1 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.1 0.1 12.0
8-6 15.1% 12.9% 12.9% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.2 13.1
7-7 12.6% 3.9% 3.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.1
6-8 9.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 9.4
5-9 6.1% 6.1
4-10 3.5% 3.5
3-11 1.7% 1.7
2-12 0.6% 0.6
1-13 0.2% 0.2
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.5% 18.4% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.1 5.6 5.4 3.0 0.6 81.5 0.1%