Harvard
Ivy League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.4#94
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#84
Pace69.0#191
Improvement+3.1#47

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#78
First Shot+3.0#86
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#147
Layup/Dunks+3.0#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#192
Freethrows+2.1#44
Improvement+1.3#99

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#105
First Shot+0.8#128
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#64
Layups/Dunks+1.7#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#157
Freethrows+1.1#121
Improvement+1.8#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.0% 33.2% 24.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.7 13.1
.500 or above 99.9% 99.9% 99.6%
.500 or above in Conference 95.7% 97.0% 87.6%
Conference Champion 38.5% 41.5% 20.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 1.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round32.0% 33.1% 24.9%
Second Round6.9% 7.3% 4.3%
Sweet Sixteen2.0% 2.1% 1.2%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 85.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 22 - 4
Quad 37 - 49 - 8
Quad 412 - 121 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 131   @ Northeastern L 79-84 51%     0 - 1 +0.1 +10.5 -10.6
  Nov 10, 2019 339   Maine W 67-46 96%     1 - 1 +5.4 -4.7 +12.7
  Nov 14, 2019 230   Siena W 59-56 87%     2 - 1 -3.9 -17.3 +13.4
  Nov 16, 2019 132   Buffalo L 76-88 63%     2 - 2 -9.8 -2.3 -6.6
  Nov 22, 2019 340   @ Holy Cross W 82-74 92%     3 - 2 -2.0 +3.6 -5.4
  Nov 28, 2019 130   Texas A&M W 62-51 62%     4 - 2 +13.3 -8.0 +21.0
  Nov 29, 2019 6   Maryland L 73-80 16%     4 - 3 +9.3 +2.7 +7.4
  Dec 01, 2019 62   USC L 62-77 39%     4 - 4 -6.8 -5.1 -1.8
  Dec 07, 2019 200   Massachusetts W 89-55 85%     5 - 4 +28.6 +13.4 +15.5
  Dec 21, 2019 192   @ George Washington W 88-75 67%     6 - 4 +14.1 +17.9 -3.6
  Dec 22, 2019 349   @ Howard W 60-55 96%     7 - 4 -9.9 -24.2 +14.1
  Dec 29, 2019 179   @ California W 71-63 62%     8 - 4 +10.2 +1.8 +8.6
  Dec 30, 2019 104   @ San Francisco W 84-81 OT 42%     9 - 4 +10.5 +2.9 +7.3
  Jan 04, 2020 112   UC Irvine W 77-73 67%     10 - 4 +5.0 +7.1 -2.1
  Jan 18, 2020 211   Dartmouth W 72-61 86%    
  Jan 25, 2020 211   @ Dartmouth W 69-63 69%    
  Jan 31, 2020 151   @ Penn W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 01, 2020 176   @ Princeton W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 07, 2020 72   @ Yale L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 08, 2020 196   @ Brown W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 14, 2020 283   Cornell W 75-60 92%    
  Feb 15, 2020 249   Columbia W 76-63 89%    
  Feb 21, 2020 176   Princeton W 74-65 80%    
  Feb 22, 2020 151   Penn W 77-70 75%    
  Feb 28, 2020 249   @ Columbia W 74-66 75%    
  Feb 29, 2020 283   @ Cornell W 73-63 81%    
  Mar 06, 2020 196   Brown W 77-66 84%    
  Mar 07, 2020 72   Yale W 67-66 53%    
Projected Record 20 - 8 10 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 5.1 11.6 12.3 7.0 1.6 38.5 1st
2nd 0.1 2.4 9.6 13.4 8.3 1.7 35.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 5.9 5.4 1.3 0.1 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.4 2.5 0.3 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.2 0.1 3.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.8 6.2 10.8 16.2 19.8 19.9 14.0 7.0 1.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.6    1.6
13-1 100.0% 7.0    6.6 0.4
12-2 88.0% 12.3    9.2 3.0 0.0
11-3 58.1% 11.6    6.0 5.2 0.4
10-4 25.5% 5.1    1.5 2.7 0.9 0.1
9-5 5.4% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 38.5% 38.5 25.0 11.7 1.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.6% 61.7% 58.1% 3.6% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 8.7%
13-1 7.0% 51.1% 50.7% 0.4% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 0.4 3.4 0.9%
12-2 14.0% 41.9% 41.9% 12.3 0.0 0.3 3.7 1.7 0.1 8.1
11-3 19.9% 38.5% 38.5% 12.7 0.0 3.2 3.7 0.6 0.0 12.2
10-4 19.8% 33.3% 33.3% 13.0 0.0 1.5 3.6 1.4 0.1 13.2
9-5 16.2% 27.7% 27.7% 13.5 0.4 2.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 11.7
8-6 10.8% 20.6% 20.6% 13.8 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 8.6
7-7 6.2% 8.8% 8.8% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.7
6-8 2.8% 0.7% 0.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8
5-9 1.1% 1.1
4-10 0.3% 0.3
3-11 0.1% 0.1
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 32.0% 31.9% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.4 11.5 12.3 5.3 0.9 0.0 68.0 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.0% 100.0% 9.8 2.6 7.9 8.9 7.9 9.9 6.8 33.0 21.5 1.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4% 8.6% 11.4 1.2 2.5 4.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3% 8.8% 11.2 7.0 1.8