Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#337
Expected Predictive Rating-12.5#332
Pace70.2#150
Improvement+1.1#132

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#340
First Shot-7.3#340
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#224
Layup/Dunks-0.4#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.8#349
Freethrows-1.1#257
Improvement-2.0#286

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#274
First Shot-3.2#281
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#195
Layups/Dunks-0.9#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#28
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#183
Freethrows-4.7#347
Improvement+3.1#30
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 4.1% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 41.0% 56.5% 25.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 0.9% 4.0%
First Four3.2% 4.1% 2.3%
First Round1.2% 1.6% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grambling St. (Home) - 50.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 10
Quad 49 - 1010 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 175   @ California Baptist L 70-93 10%     0 - 1 -20.6 -12.1 -5.7
  Nov 06, 2019 178   @ UC Santa Barbara L 62-83 11%     0 - 2 -18.8 -8.5 -11.5
  Nov 12, 2019 166   @ Tulane L 79-88 10%     0 - 3 -6.0 +8.6 -14.7
  Nov 16, 2019 75   @ SMU L 63-80 3%     0 - 4 -6.9 -7.0 -0.2
  Nov 18, 2019 134   @ Texas St. L 58-73 7%     0 - 5 -10.0 -7.8 -3.2
  Nov 26, 2019 131   @ UNLV L 57-80 7%     0 - 6 -17.7 -15.7 -1.7
  Dec 01, 2019 164   @ Air Force L 52-76 9%     0 - 7 -20.9 -21.3 -0.6
  Dec 03, 2019 317   @ Denver L 58-67 32%     0 - 8 -15.4 -21.9 +7.1
  Dec 19, 2019 278   @ Portland W 73-63 23%     1 - 8 +6.3 -3.3 +9.2
  Dec 21, 2019 49   @ Memphis L 49-77 2%     1 - 9 -15.0 -21.1 +10.3
  Dec 30, 2019 5   @ Baylor L 57-83 1%     1 - 10 -6.0 -5.9 +0.5
  Jan 04, 2020 342   Alabama St. W 70-67 67%     2 - 10 1 - 0 -12.9 -2.8 -9.8
  Jan 06, 2020 343   Alabama A&M L 57-66 70%     2 - 11 1 - 1 -25.7 -21.2 -4.8
  Jan 11, 2020 298   @ Alcorn St. W 76-65 27%     3 - 11 2 - 1 +6.0 +1.1 +5.0
  Jan 13, 2020 329   @ Southern L 50-56 37%     3 - 12 2 - 2 -13.9 -19.6 +4.8
  Jan 18, 2020 244   Texas Southern L 66-77 35%     3 - 13 2 - 3 -18.5 -8.7 -10.2
  Jan 20, 2020 199   Prairie View L 60-74 29%     3 - 14 2 - 4 -19.5 -17.5 -1.0
  Jan 25, 2020 304   Grambling St. W 68-67 51%    
  Feb 01, 2020 352   @ Mississippi Valley W 81-74 74%    
  Feb 03, 2020 347   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 63-61 59%    
  Feb 08, 2020 298   Alcorn St. L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 10, 2020 329   Southern W 66-64 59%    
  Feb 15, 2020 244   @ Texas Southern L 69-79 18%    
  Feb 17, 2020 199   @ Prairie View L 62-74 14%    
  Feb 22, 2020 304   @ Grambling St. L 64-70 29%    
  Feb 29, 2020 352   Mississippi Valley W 84-71 88%    
  Mar 02, 2020 347   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 66-58 78%    
  Mar 05, 2020 342   @ Alabama St. L 66-67 44%    
  Mar 07, 2020 343   @ Alabama A&M L 67-68 47%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 2.9 1.2 0.1 5.7 3rd
4th 0.4 3.6 6.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 5.3 9.9 4.5 0.5 20.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 6.2 12.0 5.2 0.5 24.8 6th
7th 0.7 4.3 8.9 4.2 0.3 18.3 7th
8th 0.3 2.6 4.6 2.3 0.2 9.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.7 5.7 11.0 18.0 22.0 19.1 12.6 6.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 2.8% 0.0    0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 2.2% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.2 2.1
11-7 6.7% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.5 6.3
10-8 12.6% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.7 11.9
9-9 19.1% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.8 18.3
8-10 22.0% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.6 21.4
7-11 18.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.3 17.7
6-12 11.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.9
5-13 5.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.7
4-14 1.7% 1.7
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 16.0 3.2 96.8 0.0%