Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#148
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#259
Pace60.2#348
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#186
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#127
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.0% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.4 11.2 12.1
.500 or above 49.8% 58.9% 31.5%
.500 or above in Conference 36.1% 40.7% 26.8%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.2% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 12.1% 9.8% 16.5%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
First Round2.1% 2.6% 1.2%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Home) - 66.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 42 - 9
Quad 34 - 56 - 13
Quad 49 - 215 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 103   @ Nevada L 67-72 28%     0 - 1 +2.0 -2.0 +4.0
  Nov 16, 2019 170   Colorado St. W 68-63 67%    
  Nov 21, 2019 178   Air Force W 66-64 58%    
  Nov 22, 2019 151   Indiana St. W 68-67 51%    
  Nov 24, 2019 106   Duquesne L 66-69 39%    
  Dec 01, 2019 186   Southern Utah W 69-63 70%    
  Dec 04, 2019 35   @ Colorado L 59-73 11%    
  Dec 07, 2019 253   Grambling St. W 71-62 77%    
  Dec 13, 2019 286   Prairie View W 73-62 83%    
  Dec 16, 2019 304   @ UC Davis W 65-59 71%    
  Dec 19, 2019 273   Portland St. W 74-64 80%    
  Dec 22, 2019 214   Cal St. Fullerton W 68-61 73%    
  Dec 28, 2019 324   Morgan St. W 76-61 90%    
  Jan 02, 2020 177   San Diego W 66-61 67%    
  Jan 04, 2020 77   @ BYU L 65-74 23%    
  Jan 11, 2020 8   Gonzaga L 63-76 12%    
  Jan 16, 2020 113   @ Pepperdine L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 18, 2020 107   @ San Francisco L 62-68 31%    
  Jan 23, 2020 257   Portland W 68-59 77%    
  Jan 25, 2020 37   St. Mary's L 56-63 26%    
  Jan 30, 2020 241   @ Pacific W 62-60 58%    
  Feb 01, 2020 113   Pepperdine W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 06, 2020 8   @ Gonzaga L 60-79 5%    
  Feb 13, 2020 77   BYU L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 15, 2020 118   @ Santa Clara L 62-67 35%    
  Feb 20, 2020 37   @ St. Mary's L 53-66 13%    
  Feb 22, 2020 257   @ Portland W 65-62 59%    
  Feb 27, 2020 241   Pacific W 65-57 76%    
  Feb 29, 2020 107   San Francisco W 66-65 51%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.1 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.5 2.0 0.4 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.5 4.6 5.9 2.5 0.2 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 4.7 7.1 2.4 0.2 14.9 6th
7th 0.6 4.7 6.7 2.4 0.2 14.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.6 6.1 2.3 0.1 14.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.9 4.4 1.3 0.1 10.8 9th
10th 0.3 1.3 2.5 2.1 0.6 0.0 6.8 10th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.4 6.9 10.3 12.7 14.3 14.6 12.2 9.9 6.6 4.0 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 74.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
13-3 36.1% 0.3    0.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 14.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 62.0% 28.0% 34.0% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 47.2%
13-3 1.0% 43.5% 12.0% 31.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 35.7%
12-4 2.1% 22.8% 9.2% 13.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6 15.0%
11-5 4.0% 8.9% 6.4% 2.5% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.6 2.7%
10-6 6.6% 4.2% 4.0% 0.2% 12.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 6.3 0.2%
9-7 9.9% 2.3% 2.2% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.7 0.1%
8-8 12.2% 1.8% 1.8% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.9
7-9 14.6% 0.8% 0.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.5
6-10 14.3% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3
5-11 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7
4-12 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 10.3
3-13 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.9
2-14 3.4% 3.4
1-15 1.4% 1.4
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.4% 1.6% 0.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 97.6 0.9%