Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#196
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#233
Pace60.2#347
Improvement-1.3#237

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#196
First Shot+0.2#171
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#247
Layup/Dunks+6.1#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#332
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#235
Freethrows-0.9#242
Improvement-2.2#291

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#211
First Shot+0.1#163
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#302
Layups/Dunks+2.9#71
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#308
Freethrows-1.9#283
Improvement+0.9#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.4% 6.7% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.3% 5.7% 19.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pacific (Away) - 30.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 50 - 11
Quad 33 - 63 - 17
Quad 46 - 310 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 89   @ Nevada L 67-72 15%     0 - 1 +3.9 -2.0 +5.9
  Nov 16, 2019 104   Colorado St. L 64-74 35%     0 - 2 -8.3 -7.9 -0.5
  Nov 21, 2019 170   Air Force W 78-64 43%     1 - 2 +13.6 +12.4 +3.3
  Nov 22, 2019 123   Indiana St. L 60-72 32%     1 - 3 -9.2 +0.0 -11.8
  Nov 24, 2019 110   Duquesne L 50-71 27%     1 - 4 -16.7 -12.7 -6.7
  Dec 01, 2019 144   Southern Utah W 61-51 47%     2 - 4 +8.5 +4.5 +6.3
  Dec 04, 2019 20   @ Colorado L 64-76 5%     2 - 5 +4.2 -0.3 +4.8
  Dec 07, 2019 318   Grambling St. W 83-67 83%     3 - 5 +3.5 +3.6 -0.8
  Dec 13, 2019 204   Prairie View W 79-76 63%     4 - 5 -2.7 +2.0 -4.9
  Dec 16, 2019 243   @ UC Davis L 65-67 49%     4 - 6 -3.9 -4.4 +0.4
  Dec 19, 2019 219   Portland St. L 66-76 66%     4 - 7 -16.4 -11.4 -5.4
  Dec 22, 2019 263   Cal St. Fullerton W 53-46 73%     5 - 7 -1.5 -13.2 +12.8
  Dec 28, 2019 320   Morgan St. L 71-74 84%     5 - 8 -15.7 -2.3 -13.7
  Jan 02, 2020 200   San Diego W 64-58 62%     6 - 8 1 - 0 +0.6 +1.2 +0.3
  Jan 04, 2020 35   @ BYU L 38-63 7%     6 - 9 1 - 1 -10.5 -26.7 +14.0
  Jan 11, 2020 3   Gonzaga L 62-87 5%     6 - 10 1 - 2 -8.4 -6.1 -1.8
  Jan 16, 2020 141   @ Pepperdine L 67-75 26%     6 - 11 1 - 3 -3.5 -5.2 +1.4
  Jan 18, 2020 100   @ San Francisco L 53-61 17%     6 - 12 1 - 4 -0.2 -6.7 +4.6
  Jan 23, 2020 280   Portland W 77-65 76%     7 - 12 2 - 4 +2.4 +1.2 +1.3
  Jan 25, 2020 36   St. Mary's L 62-73 16%     7 - 13 2 - 5 -2.4 +1.2 -5.3
  Jan 30, 2020 162   @ Pacific L 59-64 31%    
  Feb 01, 2020 141   Pepperdine L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 06, 2020 3   @ Gonzaga L 58-83 1%    
  Feb 13, 2020 35   BYU L 63-74 16%    
  Feb 15, 2020 137   @ Santa Clara L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 20, 2020 36   @ St. Mary's L 54-71 6%    
  Feb 22, 2020 280   @ Portland W 65-63 55%    
  Feb 27, 2020 162   Pacific W 62-61 51%    
  Feb 29, 2020 100   San Francisco L 66-70 36%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 5 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 1.1 0.0 2.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 3.9 0.2 6.4 6th
7th 0.1 4.6 8.8 2.0 0.0 15.5 7th
8th 0.1 5.1 18.5 20.8 5.7 0.1 50.3 8th
9th 1.9 8.3 7.5 1.4 0.0 19.0 9th
10th 2.4 2.0 0.4 4.9 10th
Total 4.4 15.4 26.5 26.8 16.8 7.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0% 0.0
9-7 0.4% 0.4
8-8 2.0% 2.0
7-9 7.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 7.7
6-10 16.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.8
5-11 26.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 26.8
4-12 26.5% 26.5
3-13 15.4% 15.4
2-14 4.4% 4.4
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.4%