Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#218
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#82
Pace68.2#221
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#203
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#241
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.2% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 58.6% 60.7% 28.3%
.500 or above in Conference 61.3% 62.5% 44.2%
Conference Champion 4.8% 5.0% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 3.8% 8.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round4.8% 5.1% 1.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 93.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 413 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 185   Samford W 90-86 2OT 55%     1 - 0 -0.5 -3.6 +2.4
  Nov 14, 2019 336   @ Presbyterian W 77-55 70%     2 - 0 +13.3 +4.2 +10.9
  Nov 16, 2019 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 60-44 94%    
  Nov 20, 2019 44   @ Missouri L 60-77 6%    
  Nov 22, 2019 39   @ Butler L 59-76 5%    
  Nov 26, 2019 174   @ William & Mary L 71-76 32%    
  Nov 30, 2019 309   @ North Alabama W 74-71 61%    
  Dec 04, 2019 255   IUPUI W 75-70 67%    
  Dec 07, 2019 165   @ Illinois St. L 67-73 30%    
  Dec 16, 2019 240   Marshall W 81-77 65%    
  Dec 21, 2019 153   @ Ohio L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 02, 2020 212   Jacksonville St. W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 04, 2020 297   Tennessee Tech W 74-66 74%    
  Jan 09, 2020 331   SIU Edwardsville W 80-69 82%    
  Jan 11, 2020 190   Eastern Illinois W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 16, 2020 243   @ Tennessee St. L 72-74 44%    
  Jan 18, 2020 73   @ Belmont L 71-84 13%    
  Jan 23, 2020 297   @ Tennessee Tech W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 25, 2020 212   @ Jacksonville St. L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 30, 2020 300   Southeast Missouri St. W 77-69 75%    
  Feb 01, 2020 264   Tennessee Martin W 80-75 67%    
  Feb 06, 2020 331   @ SIU Edwardsville W 77-72 65%    
  Feb 08, 2020 190   @ Eastern Illinois L 69-74 35%    
  Feb 13, 2020 276   Eastern Kentucky W 85-79 69%    
  Feb 15, 2020 115   @ Murray St. L 68-77 23%    
  Feb 20, 2020 73   Belmont L 74-81 27%    
  Feb 22, 2020 243   Tennessee St. W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 27, 2020 228   @ Austin Peay L 74-77 41%    
  Feb 29, 2020 276   @ Eastern Kentucky L 81-82 49%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 4.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.3 2.8 0.8 0.1 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.5 2.9 0.7 0.1 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.7 2.4 0.1 12.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.9 5.1 2.3 0.4 10.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 4.9 2.5 0.3 9.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.4 2.8 0.2 9.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.1 2.5 0.4 7.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.0 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.2 12th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.2 4.5 7.5 9.6 11.5 12.4 12.8 11.7 8.9 7.2 4.6 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.1
16-2 89.5% 1.0    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-3 62.4% 1.4    0.8 0.6 0.1
14-4 24.7% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2
13-5 9.1% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.8% 4.8 2.4 1.6 0.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 44.6% 44.6% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.1% 35.6% 35.6% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
15-3 2.3% 28.5% 28.5% 13.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6
14-4 4.6% 21.1% 21.1% 14.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 3.6
13-5 7.2% 13.8% 13.8% 14.5 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 6.2
12-6 8.9% 9.4% 9.4% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 8.0
11-7 11.7% 3.6% 3.6% 15.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 11.2
10-8 12.8% 2.1% 2.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.5
9-9 12.4% 1.0% 1.0% 15.4 0.1 0.1 12.3
8-10 11.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 11.5
7-11 9.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.6
6-12 7.5% 7.5
5-13 4.5% 4.5
4-14 3.2% 3.2
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.7 0.6 95.1 0.0%