Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#316
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#311
Pace67.1#233
Improvement-2.7#281

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#305
First Shot-4.8#309
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#203
Layup/Dunks+1.1#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#330
Freethrows-1.6#283
Improvement-1.5#261

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#292
First Shot-4.0#301
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#179
Layups/Dunks+0.4#156
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#326
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#229
Freethrows-0.6#233
Improvement-1.2#245
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 411 - 1011 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 321   Samford W 90-86 2OT 64%     1 - 0 -9.0 -8.2 -1.6
  Nov 14, 2019 328   @ Presbyterian W 77-55 46%     2 - 0 +13.8 +3.8 +11.7
  Nov 16, 2019 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-53 87%     3 - 0 +1.4 -4.8 +5.1
  Nov 20, 2019 87   @ Missouri L 52-70 5%     3 - 1 -8.9 -14.1 +4.9
  Nov 22, 2019 27   @ Butler L 50-68 2%     3 - 2 -2.3 -11.0 +6.9
  Nov 26, 2019 194   @ William & Mary L 84-95 16%     3 - 3 -9.7 +8.9 -18.4
  Nov 30, 2019 283   @ North Alabama L 57-67 30%     3 - 4 -13.8 -14.8 +0.7
  Dec 04, 2019 329   IUPUI W 56-51 69%     4 - 4 -9.4 -27.1 +17.7
  Dec 07, 2019 217   @ Illinois St. L 50-61 19%     4 - 5 -10.9 -19.5 +8.2
  Dec 16, 2019 142   Marshall L 62-89 23%     4 - 6 -28.4 -13.9 -12.9
  Dec 21, 2019 158   @ Ohio L 76-82 12%     4 - 7 -2.4 +9.5 -12.3
  Jan 02, 2020 277   Jacksonville St. L 72-76 51%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -13.5 -4.9 -8.5
  Jan 04, 2020 325   Tennessee Tech W 83-72 68%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -2.9 +8.5 -10.8
  Jan 09, 2020 330   SIU Edwardsville W 83-77 70%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -8.5 +0.9 -9.6
  Jan 11, 2020 238   Eastern Illinois W 69-66 43%     7 - 8 3 - 1 -4.3 -7.3 +3.0
  Jan 16, 2020 262   @ Tennessee St. L 48-64 27%     7 - 9 3 - 2 -18.9 -18.4 -2.7
  Jan 18, 2020 108   @ Belmont L 59-77 7%     7 - 10 3 - 3 -10.5 -11.5 +1.2
  Jan 23, 2020 325   @ Tennessee Tech L 59-71 45%     7 - 11 3 - 4 -19.9 -17.2 -2.6
  Jan 25, 2020 277   @ Jacksonville St. L 51-72 29%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -24.5 -21.9 -2.7
  Jan 30, 2020 340   Southeast Missouri St. W 90-74 73%     8 - 12 4 - 5 +0.5 +14.5 -12.9
  Feb 01, 2020 333   Tennessee Martin W 85-77 71%     9 - 12 5 - 5 -6.8 -4.6 -2.3
  Feb 06, 2020 330   @ SIU Edwardsville W 58-49 47%     10 - 12 6 - 5 +0.5 -15.9 +16.8
  Feb 08, 2020 238   @ Eastern Illinois L 65-71 22%     10 - 13 6 - 6 -7.2 -9.6 +2.5
  Feb 13, 2020 273   Eastern Kentucky L 71-78 50%     10 - 14 6 - 7 -16.3 -5.6 -10.6
  Feb 15, 2020 130   @ Murray St. L 57-85 9%     10 - 15 6 - 8 -22.5 -11.6 -11.2
  Feb 20, 2020 108   Belmont L 67-80 16%     10 - 16 6 - 9 -11.6 -6.9 -4.5
  Feb 22, 2020 262   Tennessee St. W 66-63 49%     11 - 16 7 - 9 -5.9 -3.0 -2.6
  Feb 27, 2020 172   @ Austin Peay L 58-67 13%     11 - 17 7 - 10 -6.1 -10.4 +3.4
  Feb 29, 2020 273   @ Eastern Kentucky L 76-80 28%     11 - 18 7 - 11 -7.2 -3.2 -3.7
  Mar 04, 2020 262   Tennessee St. L 67-74 OT 37%     11 - 19 -12.9 -10.1 -2.5
Projected Record 11 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%