Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.7#326
Expected Predictive Rating-15.7#335
Pace77.6#41
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#317
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#316
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.7% 19.2% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 26.9% 49.5% 22.5%
.500 or above in Conference 69.1% 80.3% 66.9%
Conference Champion 17.2% 25.7% 15.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 2.6% 6.5%
First Four11.9% 17.3% 10.9%
First Round5.9% 10.0% 5.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 16.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 411 - 1111 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 93   @ Temple L 57-75 5%     0 - 1 -9.5 -11.4 +2.1
  Nov 13, 2019 214   St. Francis (PA) L 65-71 33%     0 - 2 -12.1 -14.0 +2.0
  Nov 16, 2019 223   @ George Washington L 67-77 16%    
  Nov 22, 2019 91   Liberty L 60-76 6%    
  Nov 29, 2019 9   @ Ohio St. L 55-86 0.1%   
  Dec 04, 2019 179   Towson L 67-74 28%    
  Dec 07, 2019 243   Longwood L 75-78 39%    
  Dec 14, 2019 201   @ La Salle L 68-79 15%    
  Dec 28, 2019 146   @ Loyola Marymount L 61-76 10%    
  Dec 31, 2019 263   @ Cal St. Northridge L 78-86 23%    
  Jan 04, 2020 349   @ Delaware St. W 61-59 58%    
  Jan 06, 2020 328   South Carolina St. W 78-75 60%    
  Jan 11, 2020 344   @ Florida A&M L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 13, 2020 337   @ Bethune-Cookman L 77-79 44%    
  Jan 18, 2020 340   Howard W 82-77 66%    
  Jan 20, 2020 323   N.C. A&T W 74-71 59%    
  Jan 25, 2020 336   @ Coppin St. L 81-83 44%    
  Jan 27, 2020 350   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 56-53 60%    
  Feb 01, 2020 340   @ Howard L 79-80 46%    
  Feb 08, 2020 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 59-50 78%    
  Feb 10, 2020 334   NC Central W 80-76 62%    
  Feb 15, 2020 312   @ Norfolk St. L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 17, 2020 328   @ South Carolina St. L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 24, 2020 349   Delaware St. W 64-56 76%    
  Feb 29, 2020 336   Coppin St. W 84-80 63%    
  Mar 05, 2020 312   Norfolk St. W 75-73 56%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.4 4.8 3.3 1.6 0.4 17.2 1st
2nd 0.3 2.6 5.6 4.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.5 5.9 3.1 0.7 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.4 3.1 0.5 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.5 3.3 0.6 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.3 3.4 4.4 0.8 8.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 4.2 1.4 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 3.4 1.9 0.1 6.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.7 1.8 0.2 5.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.4 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 3.5 5.8 7.7 10.6 12.1 12.4 12.4 11.6 9.1 6.0 3.5 1.6 0.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
15-1 99.4% 1.6    1.6
14-2 94.2% 3.3    2.8 0.5
13-3 80.4% 4.8    3.0 1.6 0.2
12-4 48.4% 4.4    2.0 1.9 0.5 0.0
11-5 20.7% 2.4    0.5 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0
10-6 2.5% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 17.2% 17.2 10.4 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.4% 57.9% 57.9% 15.7 0.1 0.2 0.2
15-1 1.6% 46.0% 46.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9
14-2 3.5% 43.5% 43.5% 16.0 0.1 1.4 2.0
13-3 6.0% 28.8% 28.8% 16.0 1.7 4.3
12-4 9.1% 24.1% 24.1% 16.0 2.2 6.9
11-5 11.6% 17.7% 17.7% 16.0 2.1 9.5
10-6 12.4% 12.8% 12.8% 16.0 1.6 10.8
9-7 12.4% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 1.3 11.1
8-8 12.1% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.7 11.4
7-9 10.6% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.4 10.1
6-10 7.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 7.6
5-11 5.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.7
4-12 3.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-13 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.1
2-14 0.9% 0.9
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.4 87.3 0.0%