Temple
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#93
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#126
Pace70.9#153
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#109
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#74
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.7% 2.2% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.2% 18.6% 8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.1% 13.9% 5.3%
Average Seed 9.6 9.5 10.3
.500 or above 63.3% 71.6% 45.8%
.500 or above in Conference 63.2% 67.9% 53.4%
Conference Champion 4.9% 5.9% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 2.1% 4.5%
First Four4.0% 4.9% 2.1%
First Round13.1% 16.2% 6.7%
Second Round5.6% 7.0% 2.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 2.0% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Away) - 68.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 6
Quad 23 - 45 - 10
Quad 36 - 311 - 14
Quad 46 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 236   Drexel W 70-62 88%     1 - 0 +1.0 -10.5 +11.1
  Nov 09, 2019 324   Morgan St. W 75-57 95%     2 - 0 +4.3 -5.4 +9.4
  Nov 16, 2019 201   @ La Salle W 72-67 68%    
  Nov 22, 2019 59   @ USC L 71-77 29%    
  Nov 28, 2019 10   Maryland L 67-78 15%    
  Dec 07, 2019 44   Missouri L 67-69 44%    
  Dec 10, 2019 172   Saint Joseph's W 85-76 80%    
  Dec 17, 2019 56   Miami (FL) L 70-73 38%    
  Dec 21, 2019 166   Rider W 84-75 79%    
  Dec 31, 2019 122   @ Central Florida W 68-67 49%    
  Jan 03, 2020 124   @ Tulsa W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 07, 2020 32   Houston L 67-70 37%    
  Jan 11, 2020 226   Tulane W 80-68 85%    
  Jan 15, 2020 66   Wichita St. W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 18, 2020 97   @ SMU L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 22, 2020 24   Cincinnati L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 25, 2020 109   @ Penn L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 29, 2020 95   @ Connecticut L 74-77 41%    
  Feb 01, 2020 219   East Carolina W 77-65 85%    
  Feb 05, 2020 20   @ Memphis L 74-85 17%    
  Feb 08, 2020 97   SMU W 71-67 62%    
  Feb 12, 2020 226   @ Tulane W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 16, 2020 13   Villanova L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 20, 2020 95   Connecticut W 77-74 60%    
  Feb 23, 2020 219   @ East Carolina W 74-68 69%    
  Feb 27, 2020 66   @ Wichita St. L 66-71 33%    
  Mar 01, 2020 136   South Florida W 71-64 72%    
  Mar 04, 2020 124   Tulsa W 72-66 70%    
  Mar 07, 2020 24   @ Cincinnati L 63-73 19%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.9 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 3.3 2.6 0.9 0.2 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.8 3.1 0.8 0.1 11.7 3rd
4th 0.5 3.0 5.7 3.3 0.5 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 5.9 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 5.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 5.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 4.2 2.9 0.6 9.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.8 4.5 6.9 8.9 11.6 12.2 12.8 11.8 9.9 7.5 4.7 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 86.5% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
15-3 62.7% 1.7    1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 28.2% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 6.6% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 100.0% 30.4% 69.6% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.1% 91.3% 28.8% 62.4% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 87.7%
15-3 2.7% 82.0% 23.4% 58.6% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.5 76.5%
14-4 4.7% 63.8% 16.1% 47.7% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.2 1.7 56.8%
13-5 7.5% 45.9% 11.0% 34.8% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.1 39.2%
12-6 9.9% 25.3% 8.5% 16.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 7.4 18.4%
11-7 11.8% 11.9% 4.2% 7.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 10.4 8.1%
10-8 12.8% 5.6% 2.1% 3.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 12.1 3.5%
9-9 12.2% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 11.9 0.8%
8-10 11.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.5 0.1%
7-11 8.9% 0.4% 0.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.9
6-12 6.9% 0.7% 0.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.9
5-13 4.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.5
4-14 2.8% 2.8
3-15 1.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.2% 4.7% 10.6% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.6 3.0 4.4 2.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.8 11.1%