Temple
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#92
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#101
Pace73.2#80
Improvement-5.6#342

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#201
First Shot-0.7#202
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#195
Layup/Dunks+2.2#85
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#240
Freethrows+0.0#172
Improvement-3.5#327

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#30
First Shot+5.3#42
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#56
Layups/Dunks+3.9#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#227
Freethrows+2.7#34
Improvement-2.1#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 7.6% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.9% 4.0% 0.9%
Average Seed 11.1 10.9 11.3
.500 or above 63.0% 81.7% 53.1%
.500 or above in Conference 32.2% 53.1% 21.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 1.2% 7.2%
First Four1.1% 2.3% 0.5%
First Round4.1% 6.4% 2.9%
Second Round1.4% 2.1% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 34.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 6
Quad 24 - 56 - 12
Quad 36 - 412 - 15
Quad 45 - 117 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 223   Drexel W 70-62 87%     1 - 0 +1.4 -10.4 +11.3
  Nov 09, 2019 320   Morgan St. W 75-57 95%     2 - 0 +5.3 -4.4 +9.5
  Nov 16, 2019 179   @ La Salle W 70-65 64%     3 - 0 +7.1 +1.2 +6.0
  Nov 22, 2019 56   @ USC W 70-61 27%     4 - 0 +21.3 +2.1 +18.8
  Nov 28, 2019 8   Maryland L 69-76 16%     4 - 1 +9.2 +3.1 +6.4
  Nov 29, 2019 132   Texas A&M W 65-42 64%     5 - 1 +25.1 -0.6 +27.0
  Dec 01, 2019 93   Davidson W 66-53 50%     6 - 1 +18.8 -6.1 +24.8
  Dec 07, 2019 79   Missouri L 54-64 57%     6 - 2 -6.1 -15.8 +9.6
  Dec 10, 2019 250   Saint Joseph's W 108-61 90%     7 - 2 +39.1 +15.7 +17.3
  Dec 17, 2019 98   Miami (FL) L 77-78 53%     7 - 3 +4.1 -3.5 +7.7
  Dec 21, 2019 193   Rider W 78-66 84%     8 - 3 +7.1 -1.7 +8.4
  Dec 31, 2019 112   @ Central Florida W 62-58 45%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +11.0 -3.8 +14.9
  Jan 03, 2020 70   @ Tulsa L 44-70 33%     9 - 4 1 - 1 -15.5 -21.5 +5.8
  Jan 07, 2020 27   Houston L 74-78 35%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +5.7 +8.8 -3.2
  Jan 11, 2020 183   Tulane L 51-65 82%     9 - 6 1 - 3 -17.8 -24.2 +6.4
  Jan 15, 2020 40   Wichita St. W 65-53 41%     10 - 6 2 - 3 +20.1 -4.1 +23.6
  Jan 18, 2020 67   @ SMU L 52-68 32%     10 - 7 2 - 4 -5.2 -18.7 +13.3
  Jan 22, 2020 43   Cincinnati L 82-89 43%     10 - 8 2 - 5 +0.6 +14.1 -13.5
  Jan 25, 2020 139   @ Penn L 59-66 55%     10 - 9 -2.4 -14.0 +11.9
  Jan 29, 2020 77   @ Connecticut L 64-68 34%    
  Feb 01, 2020 209   East Carolina W 76-64 87%    
  Feb 05, 2020 54   @ Memphis L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 08, 2020 67   SMU W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 12, 2020 183   @ Tulane W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 16, 2020 16   Villanova L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 20, 2020 77   Connecticut W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 23, 2020 209   @ East Carolina W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 27, 2020 40   @ Wichita St. L 62-70 22%    
  Mar 01, 2020 117   South Florida W 65-59 70%    
  Mar 04, 2020 70   Tulsa W 64-63 56%    
  Mar 07, 2020 43   @ Cincinnati L 63-71 25%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.7 3rd
4th 0.2 1.6 1.6 0.1 3.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.7 4.5 0.7 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.9 7.7 2.8 0.1 13.7 6th
7th 0.3 4.5 11.9 6.6 0.5 0.0 23.8 7th
8th 0.1 3.3 10.0 6.2 0.6 20.2 8th
9th 1.7 7.0 5.2 0.5 0.0 14.4 9th
10th 0.3 3.5 3.6 0.6 7.9 10th
11th 0.0 1.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.7 7.9 14.5 20.5 21.6 17.8 9.8 3.6 1.0 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 41.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 66.7% 66.7% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 66.7%
12-6 1.0% 47.9% 8.4% 39.5% 10.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 43.1%
11-7 3.6% 27.9% 8.3% 19.6% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 2.6 21.4%
10-8 9.8% 12.0% 6.5% 5.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.1 8.6 5.9%
9-9 17.8% 4.3% 3.4% 0.9% 11.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 17.0 0.9%
8-10 21.6% 2.7% 2.6% 0.1% 11.6 0.3 0.3 21.0 0.1%
7-11 20.5% 1.9% 1.9% 12.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 20.1
6-12 14.5% 1.0% 1.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.4
5-13 7.9% 0.6% 0.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 7.8
4-14 2.7% 2.7
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.7% 2.8% 1.9% 11.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.2 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 95.3 1.9%