North Texas
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#151
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#293
Pace58.9#351
Improvement-0.8#265

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#234
First Shot-6.7#333
After Offensive Rebound+4.7#15
Layup/Dunks-5.8#318
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#87
Freethrows-1.9#283
Improvement+0.4#112

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#100
First Shot+0.4#157
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#64
Layups/Dunks+5.1#38
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#194
Freethrows-4.0#328
Improvement-1.1#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 8.1% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.2 13.9
.500 or above 38.8% 57.5% 31.2%
.500 or above in Conference 64.1% 73.0% 60.4%
Conference Champion 6.9% 9.6% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 3.1% 5.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round5.6% 8.0% 4.7%
Second Round0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Neutral) - 28.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 31 - 7
Quad 34 - 55 - 12
Quad 47 - 212 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 41   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 56-59 10%     0 - 1 +11.2 -0.7 +11.5
  Nov 12, 2019 28   @ Arkansas L 43-66 8%     0 - 2 -7.3 -14.6 +4.2
  Nov 16, 2019 193   Eastern Michigan L 51-56 69%     0 - 3 -9.8 -14.5 +4.0
  Nov 19, 2019 327   N.C. A&T W 80-60 90%     1 - 3 +6.0 +5.8 +1.2
  Nov 22, 2019 82   Rhode Island L 60-66 29%    
  Dec 02, 2019 110   @ Texas Arlington L 57-63 29%    
  Dec 05, 2019 40   Oklahoma L 59-67 23%    
  Dec 07, 2019 156   Arkansas Little Rock W 63-60 62%    
  Dec 17, 2019 56   @ Dayton L 58-70 14%    
  Dec 21, 2019 341   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 68-51 94%    
  Jan 02, 2020 77   @ Western Kentucky L 59-68 21%    
  Jan 04, 2020 233   @ Marshall W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 09, 2020 122   Florida International W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 11, 2020 183   Florida Atlantic W 63-58 67%    
  Jan 16, 2020 236   @ Southern Miss W 60-58 56%    
  Jan 18, 2020 89   @ Louisiana Tech L 57-65 23%    
  Jan 20, 2020 201   Rice W 73-67 69%    
  Jan 23, 2020 216   Texas San Antonio W 70-64 72%    
  Jan 25, 2020 131   UTEP W 60-59 54%    
  Feb 01, 2020 201   @ Rice L 69-70 50%    
  Feb 06, 2020 196   @ Middle Tennessee L 64-65 49%    
  Feb 08, 2020 186   @ UAB L 59-60 46%    
  Feb 13, 2020 214   Charlotte W 61-55 71%    
  Feb 15, 2020 130   Old Dominion W 58-57 54%    
Projected Record 11 - 13 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 2.3 2.3 0.9 0.2 6.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 4.1 2.9 0.8 0.0 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.0 0.8 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.2 3.6 5.1 1.0 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 6.2 2.1 0.1 10.0 5th
6th 0.4 5.3 3.8 0.2 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 2.4 5.4 0.8 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.5 4.9 2.3 0.1 7.8 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 4.1 0.3 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.0 1.3 0.0 6.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.3 2.5 0.1 5.2 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 2.4 0.6 4.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 1.8 0.9 0.1 3.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.1 2.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.6 1.6 3.8 6.5 10.2 13.3 15.1 15.3 13.2 10.2 6.1 3.1 1.0 0.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 97.7% 0.9    0.8 0.2 0.0
12-2 74.6% 2.3    1.3 0.9 0.1 0.0
11-3 38.5% 2.3    0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-4 9.8% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-5 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 46.7% 42.6% 4.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.1%
13-1 1.0% 30.5% 29.3% 1.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.7%
12-2 3.1% 20.4% 20.4% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.5
11-3 6.1% 15.8% 15.8% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.1
10-4 10.2% 13.1% 13.1% 13.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 8.9
9-5 13.2% 8.0% 8.0% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 12.1
8-6 15.3% 4.3% 4.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 14.6
7-7 15.1% 2.0% 2.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 14.8
6-8 13.3% 1.5% 1.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.1
5-9 10.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.1
4-10 6.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 6.4
3-11 3.8% 3.8
2-12 1.6% 1.6
1-13 0.6% 0.6
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.7 1.1 0.3 94.4 0.0%