Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#155
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#215
Pace67.4#243
Improvement+1.7#20

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#238
First Shot-6.1#322
After Offensive Rebound+4.1#25
Layup/Dunks-6.7#336
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#169
Freethrows+0.8#136
Improvement-0.5#259

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#111
First Shot+4.2#72
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#294
Layups/Dunks+2.4#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#241
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#103
Freethrows+0.7#150
Improvement+2.2#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.0% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.2 13.9
.500 or above 48.7% 54.9% 30.6%
.500 or above in Conference 42.7% 46.4% 31.7%
Conference Champion 3.7% 4.4% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 11.1% 9.3% 16.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round3.5% 4.0% 2.2%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Away) - 74.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 52 - 8
Quad 35 - 66 - 14
Quad 49 - 216 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 103   Northern Iowa L 54-64 45%     0 - 1 -8.6 -9.4 -0.4
  Nov 12, 2019 42   @ Iowa St. L 52-70 10%     0 - 2 -4.0 -15.6 +11.4
  Nov 15, 2019 331   Coppin St. W 81-69 91%     1 - 2 -2.4 -9.0 +4.9
  Nov 18, 2019 254   Longwood W 65-48 78%     2 - 2 +9.0 -14.3 +23.4
  Nov 20, 2019 312   @ Western Illinois W 73-66 75%    
  Nov 23, 2019 328   @ SIU Edwardsville W 73-65 78%    
  Nov 25, 2019 177   Oakland W 67-63 66%    
  Dec 05, 2019 32   @ St. Mary's L 55-70 9%    
  Dec 07, 2019 309   @ UC Davis W 68-61 73%    
  Dec 16, 2019 99   @ Pittsburgh L 59-67 24%    
  Dec 19, 2019 353   @ Chicago St. W 81-63 94%    
  Dec 21, 2019 179   Green Bay W 77-73 64%    
  Jan 04, 2020 104   @ Buffalo L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 07, 2020 125   @ Central Michigan L 76-81 32%    
  Jan 11, 2020 194   Eastern Michigan W 63-58 66%    
  Jan 14, 2020 131   Akron W 65-64 54%    
  Jan 18, 2020 101   @ Bowling Green L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 21, 2020 110   @ Kent St. L 65-71 29%    
  Jan 25, 2020 244   Western Michigan W 73-66 74%    
  Jan 28, 2020 154   Ohio W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 01, 2020 160   Miami (OH) W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 04, 2020 84   @ Toledo L 64-73 22%    
  Feb 08, 2020 110   Kent St. L 68-69 50%    
  Feb 11, 2020 89   @ Ball St. L 63-71 23%    
  Feb 15, 2020 160   @ Miami (OH) L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 22, 2020 125   Central Michigan W 79-78 53%    
  Feb 25, 2020 194   @ Eastern Michigan L 60-61 46%    
  Feb 29, 2020 244   @ Western Michigan W 70-69 55%    
  Mar 03, 2020 84   Toledo L 67-70 39%    
  Mar 06, 2020 89   Ball St. L 66-68 42%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.8 1.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.2 0.7 0.1 6.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.1 1.1 0.1 7.7 4th
5th 0.3 3.1 4.2 1.4 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 5.3 2.0 0.1 9.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 5.3 2.8 0.3 10.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.2 3.9 0.6 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.1 4.7 1.0 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.9 1.1 0.0 9.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.2 3.3 1.2 0.0 9.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.0 1.6 0.5 0.1 6.3 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.4 6.0 8.9 10.9 13.1 12.7 12.5 10.2 7.8 5.4 3.5 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 94.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 75.7% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 60.0% 1.1    0.5 0.6 0.1
13-5 26.6% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 21.7% 21.7% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 31.8% 28.8% 3.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.3%
15-3 1.1% 26.7% 25.2% 1.5% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.1%
14-4 1.9% 19.5% 19.5% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.5
13-5 3.5% 12.7% 12.7% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.0
12-6 5.4% 11.8% 11.8% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.8
11-7 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 7.2
10-8 10.2% 3.5% 3.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.8
9-9 12.5% 2.8% 2.8% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.1
8-10 12.7% 0.8% 0.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.6
7-11 13.1% 1.3% 1.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.9
6-12 10.9% 0.6% 0.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8
5-13 8.9% 0.3% 0.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 8.8
4-14 6.0% 6.0
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.6% 3.5% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 96.4 0.0%