Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#172
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#181
Pace65.0#289
Improvement+0.1#177

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#231
First Shot-2.9#274
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#107
Layup/Dunks-0.4#191
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#176
Freethrows-1.6#297
Improvement+0.5#141

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#130
First Shot+3.1#83
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#313
Layups/Dunks+0.9#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#187
Freethrows+0.2#176
Improvement-0.4#211
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.4% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.5 14.7
.500 or above 60.8% 69.2% 42.0%
.500 or above in Conference 68.4% 76.9% 49.5%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.2% 2.4%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round3.8% 4.3% 2.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio (Home) - 69.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 34 - 76 - 13
Quad 411 - 316 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 60   Northern Iowa L 54-64 28%     0 - 1 -4.5 -12.1 +6.4
  Nov 12, 2019 57   @ Iowa St. L 52-70 12%     0 - 2 -6.0 -16.8 +10.7
  Nov 15, 2019 334   Coppin St. W 81-69 89%     1 - 2 -2.2 -7.3 +3.4
  Nov 18, 2019 316   Longwood W 65-48 86%     2 - 2 +4.8 -12.3 +17.1
  Nov 20, 2019 325   @ Western Illinois W 86-81 74%     3 - 2 -2.1 +6.4 -8.5
  Nov 23, 2019 338   @ SIU Edwardsville W 68-64 78%     4 - 2 -4.8 -9.0 +4.3
  Nov 25, 2019 248   Oakland W 74-50 76%     5 - 2 +16.1 +4.0 +14.0
  Dec 05, 2019 37   @ St. Mary's L 49-61 9%     5 - 3 +2.4 -8.9 +8.9
  Dec 07, 2019 252   @ UC Davis L 57-66 57%     5 - 4 -11.2 -12.6 +0.6
  Dec 16, 2019 72   @ Pittsburgh L 50-59 16%     5 - 5 +1.1 -9.3 +9.1
  Dec 19, 2019 353   @ Chicago St. W 75-60 94%     6 - 5 -3.7 -9.8 +5.8
  Dec 21, 2019 216   Green Bay L 84-85 71%     6 - 6 -7.3 +0.9 -8.2
  Jan 04, 2020 135   @ Buffalo W 73-72 30%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +5.8 +4.2 +1.6
  Jan 07, 2020 181   @ Central Michigan L 67-68 40%     7 - 7 1 - 1 +1.1 -6.8 +7.9
  Jan 11, 2020 227   Eastern Michigan W 71-68 72%     8 - 7 2 - 1 -3.7 -1.9 -1.9
  Jan 14, 2020 81   Akron L 49-72 34%     8 - 8 2 - 2 -19.2 -20.4 -0.2
  Jan 18, 2020 146   @ Bowling Green L 64-66 33%     8 - 9 2 - 3 +2.0 -3.5 +5.4
  Jan 21, 2020 113   @ Kent St. W 76-69 25%     9 - 9 3 - 3 +13.6 +9.4 +4.6
  Jan 25, 2020 233   Western Michigan W 58-52 73%     10 - 9 4 - 3 -1.0 -10.8 +10.7
  Jan 28, 2020 207   Ohio W 71-66 69%    
  Feb 01, 2020 202   Miami (OH) W 71-66 69%    
  Feb 04, 2020 121   @ Toledo L 65-71 28%    
  Feb 08, 2020 113   Kent St. L 67-68 45%    
  Feb 11, 2020 111   @ Ball St. L 59-67 24%    
  Feb 15, 2020 202   @ Miami (OH) L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 22, 2020 181   Central Michigan W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 25, 2020 227   @ Eastern Michigan W 60-59 51%    
  Feb 29, 2020 233   @ Western Michigan W 66-65 52%    
  Mar 03, 2020 121   Toledo L 67-68 49%    
  Mar 06, 2020 111   Ball St. L 62-64 44%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.8 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.8 2nd
3rd 1.2 5.5 3.4 0.3 0.0 10.4 3rd
4th 0.7 5.9 6.3 0.6 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.3 4.0 8.4 1.6 0.0 14.3 5th
6th 0.0 2.0 8.5 4.4 0.2 15.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 6.7 5.9 0.7 14.3 7th
8th 0.2 4.1 6.2 1.3 0.0 11.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 4.0 0.9 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.7 0.8 0.0 3.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.2 1.3 3.9 10.1 16.1 20.3 20.7 14.6 8.3 3.4 0.9 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 63.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 50.5% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 22.8% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
12-6 5.9% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.9% 14.0% 14.0% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8
13-5 3.4% 8.9% 8.9% 13.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.1
12-6 8.3% 9.1% 9.1% 14.2 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 7.6
11-7 14.6% 6.4% 6.4% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 13.7
10-8 20.7% 3.7% 3.7% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 19.9
9-9 20.3% 2.5% 2.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 19.8
8-10 16.1% 1.7% 1.7% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 15.8
7-11 10.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 10.0
6-12 3.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.9
5-13 1.3% 1.3
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.5 0.5 96.1 0.0%