Old Dominion
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#111
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#69
Pace65.9#278
Improvement+1.3#49

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#281
First Shot-5.3#306
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#92
Layup/Dunks-1.0#203
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#324
Freethrows-0.8#223
Improvement+1.6#21

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#27
First Shot+6.1#37
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#136
Layups/Dunks+8.9#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#311
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#227
Freethrows+1.4#112
Improvement-0.3#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.7% 13.4% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.5% 1.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 12.6
.500 or above 85.5% 88.4% 69.7%
.500 or above in Conference 82.3% 83.9% 73.5%
Conference Champion 15.3% 16.4% 9.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 1.2% 2.5%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.1%
First Round12.2% 12.8% 8.9%
Second Round2.5% 2.8% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Home) - 84.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 2
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 36 - 48 - 9
Quad 48 - 117 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 101   @ Northern Iowa L 53-58 34%     0 - 1 +2.7 -13.0 +15.6
  Nov 10, 2019 188   Saint Joseph's W 82-69 77%     1 - 1 +8.5 -3.6 +10.7
  Nov 13, 2019 220   Loyola Maryland W 62-53 82%     2 - 1 +2.8 -11.9 +15.2
  Nov 16, 2019 104   @ Northeastern W 76-69 35%     3 - 1 +14.2 +5.8 +8.6
  Nov 20, 2019 239   James Madison W 76-65 84%    
  Nov 25, 2019 147   George Mason W 63-61 59%    
  Dec 03, 2019 153   @ William & Mary L 65-66 50%    
  Dec 07, 2019 40   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 59-70 16%    
  Dec 14, 2019 54   @ Illinois L 62-71 21%    
  Dec 18, 2019 107   Richmond W 68-65 60%    
  Dec 22, 2019 349   Maryland Eastern Shore W 59-36 98%    
  Jan 02, 2020 197   Middle Tennessee W 69-61 77%    
  Jan 04, 2020 186   UAB W 65-57 76%    
  Jan 11, 2020 213   @ Charlotte W 60-57 62%    
  Jan 16, 2020 77   @ Western Kentucky L 62-69 29%    
  Jan 18, 2020 233   @ Marshall W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 20, 2020 213   Charlotte W 63-54 79%    
  Jan 23, 2020 119   Florida International W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 25, 2020 176   Florida Atlantic W 65-58 73%    
  Jan 30, 2020 234   @ Southern Miss W 62-58 66%    
  Feb 01, 2020 87   @ Louisiana Tech L 60-65 33%    
  Feb 06, 2020 216   Texas San Antonio W 73-64 79%    
  Feb 08, 2020 128   UTEP W 62-58 63%    
  Feb 13, 2020 203   @ Rice W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 15, 2020 152   @ North Texas L 56-57 49%    
Projected Record 16 - 9 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.4 4.5 5.5 3.2 0.7 15.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 5.8 6.1 2.0 0.2 15.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 5.3 6.2 1.5 0.1 13.8 3rd
4th 0.1 4.1 6.6 1.7 0.2 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 6.1 2.3 0.2 10.1 5th
6th 0.2 3.8 3.4 0.3 0.0 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 4.3 0.8 6.7 7th
8th 0.3 3.0 1.8 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 0.9 0.0 3.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 1.1 0.1 2.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.7 5.2 8.3 11.6 15.2 16.3 15.3 12.3 7.5 3.4 0.7 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
13-1 94.4% 3.2    2.8 0.4 0.0
12-2 72.5% 5.5    3.2 1.9 0.4 0.0
11-3 36.5% 4.5    1.3 2.0 1.0 0.1 0.0
10-4 9.2% 1.4    0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-5 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 15.3% 15.3 8.1 4.8 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.7% 72.0% 36.5% 35.5% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 55.9%
13-1 3.4% 52.0% 34.3% 17.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 1.6 26.9%
12-2 7.5% 32.6% 27.3% 5.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.1 7.2%
11-3 12.3% 20.8% 20.1% 0.7% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.8 0.1 9.8 0.9%
10-4 15.3% 15.9% 15.8% 0.1% 12.7 0.1 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 12.8 0.1%
9-5 16.3% 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.0 14.7 0.0%
8-6 15.2% 5.9% 5.9% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 14.3
7-7 11.6% 2.4% 2.4% 13.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.4
6-8 8.3% 2.0% 2.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.1
5-9 5.2% 0.5% 0.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2
4-10 2.7% 0.8% 0.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
3-11 1.1% 1.1
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.7% 11.3% 1.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.0 4.8 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 87.3 1.5%