Old Dominion
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#168
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#234
Pace64.6#298
Improvement+0.2#175

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#306
First Shot-6.6#336
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#75
Layup/Dunks-0.1#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#333
Freethrows-1.2#268
Improvement+1.6#87

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#56
First Shot+2.9#84
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#29
Layups/Dunks+5.7#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#223
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#230
Freethrows-1.3#263
Improvement-1.4#255
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.3% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 5.8% 8.3% 1.3%
.500 or above in Conference 53.1% 65.2% 32.2%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.4% 2.1%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
First Round3.2% 4.0% 1.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Home) - 63.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 84 - 15
Quad 48 - 211 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 57   @ Northern Iowa L 53-58 14%     0 - 1 +6.6 -15.1 +21.6
  Nov 10, 2019 243   Saint Joseph's W 82-69 76%     1 - 1 +5.7 -4.7 +9.1
  Nov 13, 2019 271   Loyola Maryland W 62-53 80%     2 - 1 +0.0 -13.8 +14.3
  Nov 16, 2019 140   @ Northeastern W 76-69 33%     3 - 1 +11.5 +6.1 +5.6
  Nov 20, 2019 266   James Madison L 78-80 79%     3 - 2 -10.7 -7.4 -3.1
  Nov 25, 2019 153   George Mason L 53-60 47%     3 - 3 -6.3 -16.5 +9.8
  Nov 26, 2019 122   Washington St. L 50-66 39%     3 - 4 -13.0 -15.7 +1.1
  Nov 27, 2019 98   Loyola Chicago L 61-68 32%     3 - 5 -2.2 -3.8 +1.2
  Dec 03, 2019 163   @ William & Mary L 46-63 38%     3 - 6 -14.0 -26.7 +12.4
  Dec 07, 2019 45   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-69 11%     3 - 7 +1.4 -6.9 +8.4
  Dec 14, 2019 34   @ Illinois L 55-69 9%     3 - 8 +0.5 -10.4 +10.7
  Dec 18, 2019 80   Richmond L 59-62 34%     3 - 9 +1.1 -11.4 +12.4
  Dec 22, 2019 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-52 97%     4 - 9 +1.5 +6.9 -3.4
  Jan 02, 2020 285   Middle Tennessee W 70-60 83%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +0.0 -5.4 +5.8
  Jan 04, 2020 167   UAB W 58-52 61%     6 - 9 2 - 0 +3.2 -5.8 +9.8
  Jan 11, 2020 182   @ Charlotte L 47-53 42%     6 - 10 2 - 1 -4.0 -14.9 +10.1
  Jan 16, 2020 105   @ Western Kentucky L 69-71 24%     6 - 11 2 - 2 +5.2 -3.7 +8.9
  Jan 18, 2020 157   @ Marshall L 67-68 37%     6 - 12 2 - 3 +2.3 +1.8 +0.4
  Jan 20, 2020 182   Charlotte W 59-55 64%    
  Jan 23, 2020 154   Florida International W 70-68 59%    
  Jan 25, 2020 184   Florida Atlantic W 63-59 64%    
  Jan 30, 2020 265   @ Southern Miss W 62-59 60%    
  Feb 01, 2020 87   @ Louisiana Tech L 57-66 19%    
  Feb 06, 2020 161   Texas San Antonio W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 08, 2020 156   UTEP W 59-57 59%    
  Feb 13, 2020 239   @ Rice W 66-65 55%    
  Feb 15, 2020 93   @ North Texas L 54-62 21%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 1.2 0.1 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.6 3.5 0.8 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.1 4.4 3.4 0.1 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 7.5 0.8 9.9 5th
6th 0.2 6.6 4.0 0.1 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.7 9.4 0.8 11.9 7th
8th 0.2 6.3 5.2 0.0 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.6 8.9 1.1 11.6 9th
10th 0.3 6.0 4.8 0.1 11.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 3.0 6.1 0.7 10.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 2.9 1.1 0.0 4.8 12th
13th 0.2 1.0 0.7 0.1 1.9 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 14th
Total 0.3 2.1 6.9 15.1 22.5 24.2 17.5 8.6 2.5 0.3 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 62.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-4 16.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-5 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.3% 14.2% 14.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
10-4 2.5% 14.6% 14.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1
9-5 8.6% 9.2% 9.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 7.9
8-6 17.5% 4.6% 4.6% 15.3 0.0 0.5 0.3 16.7
7-7 24.2% 2.8% 2.8% 15.7 0.2 0.5 23.5
6-8 22.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 22.1
5-9 15.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 14.9
4-10 6.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.9
3-11 2.1% 2.1
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.5 96.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 13.3 2.4 61.9 35.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 0.3%