South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.8#324
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#269
Pace67.6#235
Improvement+4.2#35

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#237
First Shot-1.3#218
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#238
Layup/Dunks-5.2#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#338
Freethrows+2.9#16
Improvement+1.8#81

Defense
Total Defense-7.7#340
First Shot-6.5#341
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#283
Layups/Dunks-4.1#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#137
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#280
Freethrows-0.9#243
Improvement+2.3#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 9.7% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 32.3% 44.0% 17.7%
.500 or above in Conference 81.2% 91.2% 68.8%
Conference Champion 5.5% 8.3% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four7.6% 9.0% 6.0%
First Round3.3% 4.0% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Home) - 55.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 413 - 913 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 54   @ Memphis L 64-97 3%     0 - 1 -20.6 -5.5 -12.0
  Nov 12, 2019 85   @ Liberty L 39-65 5%     0 - 2 -16.6 -22.6 +2.9
  Nov 22, 2019 163   @ Vanderbilt L 60-97 12%     0 - 3 -34.0 -12.3 -21.8
  Nov 25, 2019 149   @ Austin Peay L 66-92 10%     0 - 4 -22.1 -6.8 -16.2
  Nov 27, 2019 75   @ Tulsa L 47-78 4%     0 - 5 -20.9 -10.3 -15.9
  Dec 07, 2019 326   Presbyterian W 80-68 62%     1 - 5 -1.0 -2.5 +1.1
  Dec 11, 2019 271   UNC Asheville W 90-85 OT 47%     2 - 5 -4.0 -5.3 +0.3
  Dec 18, 2019 320   South Carolina Upstate L 70-73 61%     2 - 6 -15.6 -3.3 -12.5
  Dec 21, 2019 133   @ College of Charleston L 61-73 9%     2 - 7 -7.2 -11.3 +4.1
  Dec 30, 2019 238   @ Jacksonville W 58-52 21%     3 - 7 +4.5 -8.7 +13.6
  Jan 04, 2020 334   @ Coppin St. W 79-75 44%     4 - 7 1 - 0 -4.4 +5.7 -10.0
  Jan 06, 2020 322   @ Morgan St. L 63-77 39%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -20.8 -14.9 -5.5
  Jan 13, 2020 348   @ Howard W 101-95 OT 68%     5 - 8 2 - 1 -8.5 +5.0 -14.3
  Jan 18, 2020 313   Florida A&M W 81-65 58%     6 - 8 3 - 1 +4.2 +5.9 -1.5
  Jan 20, 2020 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-53 88%     7 - 8 4 - 1 -7.6 -5.4 -1.7
  Jan 25, 2020 279   @ Norfolk St. L 62-73 28%     7 - 9 4 - 2 -14.7 -9.2 -5.7
  Jan 27, 2020 300   Bethune-Cookman W 79-78 55%    
  Feb 01, 2020 298   @ NC Central L 65-70 31%    
  Feb 03, 2020 291   @ N.C. A&T L 70-75 30%    
  Feb 10, 2020 349   Delaware St. W 78-67 86%    
  Feb 15, 2020 334   Coppin St. W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 17, 2020 322   Morgan St. W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 22, 2020 300   @ Bethune-Cookman L 76-81 34%    
  Feb 24, 2020 313   @ Florida A&M L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 29, 2020 298   NC Central W 68-67 53%    
  Mar 02, 2020 291   N.C. A&T W 73-72 51%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.5 2.6 1.1 0.3 5.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.7 6.2 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 8.8 4.1 0.2 14.3 3rd
4th 0.3 6.1 8.1 0.3 14.7 4th
5th 0.0 3.2 9.5 1.7 14.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 8.5 4.9 0.0 15.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 6.4 6.7 0.4 14.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.4 3.7 0.8 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.3 1.5 5.3 11.8 19.5 22.1 20.3 12.0 5.5 1.5 0.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 96.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1
13-3 72.4% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
12-4 47.3% 2.6    0.8 1.4 0.4 0.0
11-5 12.2% 1.5    0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 1.8 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.3% 19.2% 19.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 1.5% 21.1% 21.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.2
12-4 5.5% 17.0% 17.0% 16.0 0.9 4.6
11-5 12.0% 15.7% 15.7% 16.0 1.9 10.2
10-6 20.3% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 0.0 2.0 18.3
9-7 22.1% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 1.6 20.6
8-8 19.5% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.9 18.5
7-9 11.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 11.4
6-10 5.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 5.1
5-11 1.5% 1.5
4-12 0.3% 0.3
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 8.1 91.9 0.0%