South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#326
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#185
Pace67.6#239
Improvement-0.2#211

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#262
First Shot+1.8#114
After Offensive Rebound-4.6#342
Layup/Dunks-6.2#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#16
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#55
Freethrows-1.7#263
Improvement-0.4#245

Defense
Total Defense-8.0#346
First Shot-6.0#329
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#284
Layups/Dunks-7.1#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#107
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#235
Freethrows+1.4#123
Improvement+0.2#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.3% 19.2% 11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 32.8% 62.2% 30.9%
.500 or above in Conference 64.2% 81.4% 63.0%
Conference Champion 13.8% 25.1% 13.1%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 1.6% 6.5%
First Four11.0% 14.0% 10.8%
First Round5.7% 11.0% 5.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Away) - 6.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 412 - 1012 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 16   @ Memphis L 64-97 1%     0 - 1 -15.9 -7.8 -5.0
  Nov 12, 2019 80   @ Liberty L 39-65 4%     0 - 2 -16.2 -24.8 +5.5
  Nov 22, 2019 118   @ Vanderbilt L 64-80 6%    
  Nov 25, 2019 227   @ Austin Peay L 71-81 17%    
  Nov 27, 2019 130   @ Tulsa L 62-78 7%    
  Dec 07, 2019 316   Presbyterian W 72-70 58%    
  Dec 11, 2019 281   UNC Asheville L 73-74 44%    
  Dec 18, 2019 343   South Carolina Upstate W 76-70 71%    
  Dec 21, 2019 140   @ College of Charleston L 63-78 9%    
  Dec 30, 2019 273   @ Jacksonville L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 04, 2020 331   @ Coppin St. L 78-80 41%    
  Jan 06, 2020 306   @ Morgan St. L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 13, 2020 347   @ Howard W 79-78 54%    
  Jan 18, 2020 341   Florida A&M W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 20, 2020 349   Maryland Eastern Shore W 60-51 79%    
  Jan 25, 2020 307   @ Norfolk St. L 70-74 35%    
  Jan 27, 2020 337   Bethune-Cookman W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 01, 2020 322   @ NC Central L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 03, 2020 324   @ N.C. A&T L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 10, 2020 348   Delaware St. W 66-57 77%    
  Feb 15, 2020 331   Coppin St. W 81-77 62%    
  Feb 17, 2020 306   Morgan St. W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 22, 2020 337   @ Bethune-Cookman L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 24, 2020 341   @ Florida A&M L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 29, 2020 322   NC Central W 72-69 59%    
  Mar 02, 2020 324   N.C. A&T W 72-69 59%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.8 3.8 4.1 2.5 1.1 0.3 13.8 1st
2nd 0.2 2.7 4.8 3.4 0.8 0.1 12.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 5.3 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 5.3 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.8 5.2 3.7 0.6 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.8 4.1 1.1 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.3 2.5 4.9 1.3 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.1 1.9 0.1 8.2 8th
9th 0.2 1.2 3.0 1.9 0.2 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.1 3.3 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 4.3 6.7 9.2 11.6 12.4 12.6 12.0 10.5 7.7 4.9 2.7 1.1 0.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 1.1    1.1 0.0
14-2 94.9% 2.5    2.3 0.3
13-3 83.5% 4.1    2.8 1.1 0.2
12-4 49.0% 3.8    1.5 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.0
11-5 17.4% 1.8    0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 13.8% 13.8 8.3 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 67.5% 67.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
15-1 1.1% 51.5% 51.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5
14-2 2.7% 40.1% 40.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6
13-3 4.9% 33.2% 33.2% 16.0 0.1 1.5 3.2
12-4 7.7% 27.1% 27.1% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.6
11-5 10.5% 21.6% 21.6% 16.0 0.0 2.2 8.2
10-6 12.0% 14.9% 14.9% 16.0 1.8 10.2
9-7 12.6% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 1.2 11.4
8-8 12.4% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.8 11.6
7-9 11.6% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 11.2
6-10 9.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 8.9
5-11 6.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.7
4-12 4.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-13 2.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-14 1.1% 1.1
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.7 87.7 0.0%