Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#207
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#253
Pace63.2#328
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#292
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#119
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 4.6% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.9 14.5
.500 or above 24.5% 37.0% 16.8%
.500 or above in Conference 28.0% 35.7% 23.3%
Conference Champion 3.0% 4.6% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 28.9% 21.0% 33.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round3.2% 4.5% 2.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Francisco (Home) - 38.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 35 - 96 - 15
Quad 47 - 313 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 203   Texas San Antonio W 72-60 49%     1 - 0 +9.7 -2.8 +12.6
  Nov 09, 2019 193   Delaware L 54-56 47%     1 - 1 -3.8 -12.0 +7.9
  Nov 10, 2019 168   Oakland L 52-61 42%     1 - 2 -9.6 -12.7 +1.8
  Nov 16, 2019 106   San Francisco L 64-67 38%    
  Nov 19, 2019 115   @ Murray St. L 62-70 23%    
  Nov 26, 2019 334   NC Central W 74-62 86%    
  Dec 01, 2019 118   @ Saint Louis L 59-67 24%    
  Dec 04, 2019 312   Norfolk St. W 70-60 82%    
  Dec 07, 2019 232   @ Southern Miss L 61-63 44%    
  Dec 15, 2019 44   @ Missouri L 54-70 8%    
  Dec 18, 2019 249   Hampton W 73-68 67%    
  Dec 21, 2019 301   Southeast Missouri St. W 71-63 77%    
  Dec 30, 2019 147   @ Indiana St. L 65-71 29%    
  Jan 04, 2020 163   Illinois St. W 65-64 52%    
  Jan 07, 2020 184   Valparaiso W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 11, 2020 111   @ Bradley L 58-66 23%    
  Jan 16, 2020 139   @ Loyola Chicago L 58-65 27%    
  Jan 19, 2020 140   Drake L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 22, 2020 98   Northern Iowa L 57-61 36%    
  Jan 25, 2020 163   @ Illinois St. L 62-67 33%    
  Jan 29, 2020 139   Loyola Chicago L 61-62 47%    
  Feb 01, 2020 140   @ Drake L 63-70 28%    
  Feb 05, 2020 130   @ Evansville L 62-69 27%    
  Feb 08, 2020 141   Missouri St. L 61-62 46%    
  Feb 12, 2020 184   @ Valparaiso L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 15, 2020 111   Bradley L 61-63 42%    
  Feb 20, 2020 130   Evansville L 65-66 45%    
  Feb 23, 2020 98   @ Northern Iowa L 54-64 20%    
  Feb 26, 2020 147   Indiana St. L 67-68 49%    
  Feb 29, 2020 141   @ Missouri St. L 58-65 28%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.3 1.2 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.5 0.9 0.2 5.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 3.1 1.0 0.2 6.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 4.1 1.6 0.1 8.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 4.6 2.6 0.1 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.7 2.7 0.2 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.9 3.9 0.4 0.0 14.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.5 5.6 3.4 0.5 0.0 15.9 9th
10th 0.6 2.1 4.4 5.6 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.0 20.4 10th
Total 0.6 2.1 4.7 7.1 10.5 11.3 12.9 12.7 10.2 9.2 6.9 5.0 3.4 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 95.6% 0.4    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 83.1% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 45.3% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1
12-6 16.1% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.2% 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 24.4% 22.2% 2.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.9%
14-4 0.9% 14.6% 14.6% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8
13-5 1.9% 14.7% 14.7% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6
12-6 3.4% 14.7% 14.7% 13.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.9
11-7 5.0% 10.7% 10.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.4
10-8 6.9% 6.8% 6.8% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.5
9-9 9.2% 5.8% 5.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.7
8-10 10.2% 2.9% 2.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 9.9
7-11 12.7% 1.2% 1.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.5
6-12 12.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.8
5-13 11.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.3
4-14 10.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.4
3-15 7.1% 7.1
2-16 4.7% 4.7
1-17 2.1% 2.1
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.4 96.8 0.0%