NJIT
Atlantic Sun
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#187
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#170
Pace66.8#258
Improvement+1.8#17

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#200
First Shot+1.4#122
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#282
Layup/Dunks-4.4#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#41
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#182
Freethrows+2.3#68
Improvement+0.4#101

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#184
First Shot-1.6#214
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#133
Layups/Dunks+0.3#177
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#276
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#98
Freethrows-2.4#289
Improvement+1.3#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.4% 11.9% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 70.4% 73.1% 44.2%
.500 or above in Conference 82.0% 83.2% 70.9%
Conference Champion 11.5% 11.9% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.1% 3.1%
First Four1.7% 1.7% 1.9%
First Round10.7% 11.1% 6.7%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 90.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 32 - 43 - 9
Quad 414 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 150   @ Colgate L 75-80 32%     0 - 1 -1.5 +2.4 -4.1
  Nov 09, 2019 36   @ Providence L 47-76 8%     0 - 2 -14.6 -19.1 +5.4
  Nov 13, 2019 271   @ Cornell W 59-58 55%     1 - 2 -1.8 -11.5 +9.8
  Nov 16, 2019 335   Wagner W 88-69 89%     2 - 2 +4.1 +11.7 -7.0
  Nov 20, 2019 339   Binghamton W 75-61 91%    
  Nov 23, 2019 183   @ Brown L 69-72 38%    
  Nov 26, 2019 91   @ Rutgers L 63-73 18%    
  Dec 04, 2019 263   @ Army W 71-70 54%    
  Dec 07, 2019 115   @ Central Florida L 63-70 25%    
  Dec 11, 2019 278   Umass Lowell W 79-71 76%    
  Dec 14, 2019 302   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 73-69 64%    
  Dec 29, 2019 85   @ Connecticut L 68-78 17%    
  Jan 04, 2020 80   Liberty L 61-66 33%    
  Jan 09, 2020 273   @ Jacksonville W 66-65 55%    
  Jan 11, 2020 153   @ North Florida L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 16, 2020 218   Lipscomb W 75-70 66%    
  Jan 18, 2020 330   Kennesaw St. W 75-62 87%    
  Jan 23, 2020 338   @ Stetson W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 25, 2020 290   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 70-67 59%    
  Jan 30, 2020 299   North Alabama W 72-62 81%    
  Feb 06, 2020 153   North Florida W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 08, 2020 273   Jacksonville W 69-62 75%    
  Feb 13, 2020 218   @ Lipscomb L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 15, 2020 80   @ Liberty L 58-69 17%    
  Feb 20, 2020 338   Stetson W 77-63 88%    
  Feb 22, 2020 290   Florida Gulf Coast W 73-64 78%    
  Feb 27, 2020 299   @ North Alabama W 69-65 62%    
  Feb 29, 2020 330   @ Kennesaw St. W 72-65 72%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 10 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 2.0 3.6 3.6 1.5 0.3 11.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.2 7.5 8.1 4.4 0.8 24.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 5.0 8.4 6.6 1.8 0.2 23.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.8 3.3 0.6 16.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.9 4.5 1.6 0.2 11.0 5th
6th 0.6 2.8 2.8 0.9 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.8 5.2 8.0 11.3 14.1 15.2 15.1 11.9 8.2 4.4 1.5 0.3 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 1.5    1.3 0.1
14-2 81.0% 3.6    2.4 1.1 0.0
13-3 44.4% 3.6    1.5 1.8 0.3
12-4 17.0% 2.0    0.6 0.9 0.4 0.0
11-5 2.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 11.5% 11.5 6.3 4.2 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 51.9% 51.9% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-1 1.5% 42.6% 42.6% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8
14-2 4.4% 31.5% 31.5% 13.9 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 3.0
13-3 8.2% 22.2% 22.2% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.1 6.4
12-4 11.9% 19.2% 19.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 0.4 9.6
11-5 15.1% 12.3% 12.3% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 13.3
10-6 15.2% 10.1% 10.1% 15.5 0.1 0.6 0.9 13.7
9-7 14.1% 6.3% 6.3% 15.6 0.1 0.2 0.6 13.2
8-8 11.3% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 10.8
7-9 8.0% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.8
6-10 5.2% 2.7% 2.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.1
5-11 2.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.8
4-12 1.3% 1.3
3-13 0.5% 0.5
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 11.4% 11.4% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.3 4.1 3.5 88.6 0.0%