NJIT
Atlantic Sun
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#257
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#291
Pace65.5#278
Improvement+2.7#71

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#251
First Shot-2.6#266
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#173
Layup/Dunks-2.2#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#72
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#235
Freethrows-0.9#247
Improvement+0.4#150

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#252
First Shot-3.6#293
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#101
Layups/Dunks-3.0#294
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#177
Freethrows-0.1#194
Improvement+2.3#49
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 4.8% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.8% 4.0% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 80.0% 88.7% 63.1%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four3.9% 4.3% 3.1%
First Round2.7% 3.0% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Alabama (Home) - 65.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 31 - 9
Quad 410 - 911 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 119   @ Colgate L 75-80 15%     0 - 1 +0.9 +5.3 -4.5
  Nov 09, 2019 62   @ Providence L 47-76 7%     0 - 2 -17.9 -20.4 +3.3
  Nov 13, 2019 285   @ Cornell W 59-58 45%     1 - 2 -2.9 -11.7 +8.8
  Nov 16, 2019 333   Wagner W 88-69 79%     2 - 2 +5.0 +10.1 -4.5
  Nov 20, 2019 337   Binghamton L 75-77 81%     2 - 3 -16.6 -1.8 -14.9
  Nov 23, 2019 201   @ Brown L 63-79 29%     2 - 4 -15.7 -6.9 -9.2
  Nov 26, 2019 33   @ Rutgers L 58-85 4%     2 - 5 -12.4 -1.8 -12.1
  Dec 04, 2019 264   @ Army L 65-75 40%     2 - 6 -12.7 -13.0 +0.8
  Dec 07, 2019 112   @ Central Florida L 65-78 13%     2 - 7 -6.1 -7.4 +2.4
  Dec 11, 2019 289   Umass Lowell L 66-72 68%     2 - 8 -16.1 -19.8 +4.0
  Dec 14, 2019 295   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 71-73 47%     2 - 9 -6.7 -6.0 -0.6
  Dec 29, 2019 73   @ Connecticut L 47-69 8%     2 - 10 -11.9 -13.9 -0.1
  Jan 04, 2020 85   Liberty L 38-65 20%     2 - 11 0 - 1 -23.4 -26.3 -0.5
  Jan 09, 2020 238   @ Jacksonville L 52-68 35%     2 - 12 0 - 2 -17.5 -13.2 -5.9
  Jan 11, 2020 171   @ North Florida W 78-66 23%     3 - 12 1 - 2 +14.4 +13.1 +3.0
  Jan 16, 2020 251   Lipscomb W 75-57 60%     4 - 12 2 - 2 +10.0 +4.1 +7.8
  Jan 18, 2020 345   Kennesaw St. W 66-48 90%     5 - 12 3 - 2 -1.3 -8.1 +8.5
  Jan 23, 2020 303   @ Stetson L 64-65 50%     5 - 13 3 - 3 -6.5 -1.5 -5.1
  Jan 25, 2020 310   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 56-54 52%     6 - 13 4 - 3 -3.8 -0.7 -2.6
  Jan 30, 2020 284   North Alabama W 68-64 66%    
  Feb 06, 2020 171   North Florida L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 08, 2020 238   Jacksonville W 64-62 57%    
  Feb 13, 2020 251   @ Lipscomb L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 15, 2020 85   @ Liberty L 52-67 8%    
  Feb 20, 2020 303   Stetson W 66-60 71%    
  Feb 22, 2020 310   Florida Gulf Coast W 67-61 72%    
  Feb 27, 2020 284   @ North Alabama L 65-66 45%    
  Feb 29, 2020 345   @ Kennesaw St. W 70-62 77%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.2 1.8 1st
2nd 0.8 5.2 6.3 1.7 13.9 2nd
3rd 1.7 14.4 13.6 2.9 0.0 32.6 3rd
4th 0.3 9.4 9.6 1.0 20.3 4th
5th 0.0 3.3 8.8 0.9 13.1 5th
6th 0.9 6.8 1.8 9.5 6th
7th 0.4 3.1 2.7 0.1 6.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 1.4 0.1 2.6 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.1 1.5 5.3 13.2 21.7 25.7 19.8 9.7 2.7 0.2 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
12-4 37.0% 1.0    0.2 0.6 0.2
11-5 5.9% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.2% 13.0% 13.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 2.7% 11.0% 11.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.4
11-5 9.7% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 9.1
10-6 19.8% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 1.2 18.6
9-7 25.7% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 1.2 24.6
8-8 21.7% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.6 21.1
7-9 13.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 12.9
6-10 5.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.3
5-11 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-12 0.1% 0.1
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 4.2 95.8 0.0%