Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#198
Expected Predictive Rating-14.5#337
Pace75.8#52
Improvement+0.4#128

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#147
First Shot-1.4#219
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#73
Layup/Dunks-0.2#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#99
Freethrows-1.9#282
Improvement+0.5#100

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#261
First Shot-2.1#231
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#227
Layups/Dunks+1.2#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#311
Freethrows+0.7#149
Improvement-0.1#199
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.2% 21.6% 13.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.1 15.6
.500 or above 73.6% 77.9% 52.0%
.500 or above in Conference 85.8% 87.7% 76.1%
Conference Champion 27.7% 30.0% 16.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 1.0% 2.2%
First Four4.9% 4.6% 6.0%
First Round18.0% 19.5% 10.9%
Second Round0.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stetson (Neutral) - 83.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 42 - 6
Quad 415 - 617 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 204   @ La Salle L 64-70 OT 40%     0 - 1 -5.5 -13.4 +8.7
  Nov 13, 2019 158   Ohio L 72-81 53%     0 - 2 -11.8 -6.4 -4.8
  Nov 22, 2019 337   Stetson W 80-70 83%    
  Nov 23, 2019 330   Kennesaw St. W 80-71 80%    
  Dec 04, 2019 84   @ Connecticut L 74-85 15%    
  Dec 17, 2019 210   Princeton W 76-75 52%    
  Dec 29, 2019 27   @ Colorado L 65-83 6%    
  Jan 03, 2020 335   St. Peter's W 75-62 87%    
  Jan 05, 2020 269   @ Monmouth W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 10, 2020 199   @ Rider L 83-86 40%    
  Jan 12, 2020 332   Niagara W 85-73 86%    
  Jan 17, 2020 285   Fairfield W 73-65 75%    
  Jan 19, 2020 333   @ Marist W 72-65 72%    
  Jan 24, 2020 300   Canisius W 81-72 79%    
  Jan 26, 2020 269   Monmouth W 78-71 72%    
  Jan 31, 2020 184   Siena W 76-74 58%    
  Feb 02, 2020 263   @ Manhattan W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 07, 2020 264   @ Quinnipiac W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 09, 2020 285   @ Fairfield W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 14, 2020 263   Manhattan W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 16, 2020 333   Marist W 75-62 85%    
  Feb 19, 2020 184   @ Siena L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 21, 2020 199   Rider W 86-83 61%    
  Feb 27, 2020 300   @ Canisius W 78-75 60%    
  Feb 29, 2020 332   @ Niagara W 82-76 70%    
  Mar 04, 2020 264   Quinnipiac W 79-73 71%    
  Mar 06, 2020 335   @ St. Peter's W 72-65 72%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 13 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.0 6.6 6.2 4.7 2.3 0.7 27.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.0 5.6 5.3 2.9 0.8 0.1 18.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.4 5.4 3.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 14.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.5 2.5 0.5 0.1 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.0 0.9 0.1 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.6 3.6 5.0 7.0 8.8 10.6 11.6 11.8 11.5 9.7 7.1 4.8 2.3 0.7 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
19-1 100.0% 2.3    2.2 0.0
18-2 98.3% 4.7    4.4 0.3
17-3 88.1% 6.2    5.1 1.1 0.0
16-4 68.1% 6.6    4.5 1.9 0.2
15-5 43.5% 5.0    2.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
14-6 15.7% 1.8    0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 27.7% 27.7 19.7 6.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.7% 57.4% 57.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
19-1 2.3% 55.8% 55.8% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0
18-2 4.8% 47.2% 47.2% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.1 2.5
17-3 7.1% 40.4% 40.4% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.3 4.2
16-4 9.7% 31.2% 31.2% 15.1 0.1 0.5 1.6 0.9 6.7
15-5 11.5% 28.7% 28.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.7 8.2
14-6 11.8% 22.0% 22.0% 15.7 0.0 0.6 1.9 9.2
13-7 11.6% 16.2% 16.2% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.6 9.7
12-8 10.6% 11.5% 11.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 9.4
11-9 8.8% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8 8.0
10-10 7.0% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.3 6.7
9-11 5.0% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.2 4.8
8-12 3.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 3.6
7-13 2.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 2.6
6-14 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.4
5-15 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.9
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 20.2% 20.2% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.2 6.4 9.2 79.8 0.0%