Youngstown St.
Horizon
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#248
Expected Predictive Rating-6.8#265
Pace67.5#246
Improvement-0.3#216

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#163
First Shot-7.6#338
After Offensive Rebound+8.0#2
Layup/Dunks+5.0#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#320
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.5#343
Freethrows-0.7#222
Improvement+0.9#60

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#311
First Shot-9.8#350
After Offensive Rebounds+4.7#13
Layups/Dunks-2.9#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#62
Freethrows-5.5#341
Improvement-1.2#311
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 6.4% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 36.1% 55.8% 31.7%
.500 or above in Conference 44.3% 55.5% 41.7%
Conference Champion 4.0% 6.2% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 7.8% 4.3% 8.6%
First Four1.3% 0.8% 1.4%
First Round3.7% 6.0% 3.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 18.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 411 - 513 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2019 3   @ Louisville L 55-78 1%     0 - 1 -0.5 -6.2 +4.8
  Nov 15, 2019 223   @ Louisiana L 61-73 34%     0 - 2 -12.3 -15.7 +3.8
  Nov 19, 2019 317   NC Central W 66-60 79%     1 - 2 -7.2 -1.2 -5.2
  Nov 21, 2019 134   @ Akron L 65-75 18%    
  Nov 23, 2019 344   @ South Carolina Upstate W 76-70 72%    
  Nov 30, 2019 129   @ Central Michigan L 78-88 19%    
  Dec 04, 2019 283   Robert Morris W 71-66 68%    
  Dec 07, 2019 241   @ Western Michigan L 73-76 37%    
  Dec 15, 2019 304   Southeast Missouri St. W 77-70 75%    
  Dec 18, 2019 336   Binghamton W 76-65 83%    
  Dec 21, 2019 45   West Virginia L 70-82 14%    
  Dec 28, 2019 251   @ IUPUI L 72-75 40%    
  Dec 30, 2019 204   @ Illinois-Chicago L 67-72 31%    
  Jan 04, 2020 342   @ Cleveland St. W 77-71 69%    
  Jan 09, 2020 179   Oakland L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 11, 2020 284   Detroit Mercy W 79-74 68%    
  Jan 16, 2020 142   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-76 21%    
  Jan 18, 2020 109   @ Wright St. L 70-81 17%    
  Jan 23, 2020 247   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 25, 2020 182   Green Bay L 80-81 48%    
  Jan 30, 2020 204   Illinois-Chicago W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 01, 2020 251   IUPUI W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 08, 2020 342   Cleveland St. W 80-68 85%    
  Feb 13, 2020 284   @ Detroit Mercy L 76-77 47%    
  Feb 15, 2020 179   @ Oakland L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 20, 2020 109   Wright St. L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 22, 2020 142   Northern Kentucky L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 27, 2020 182   @ Green Bay L 77-84 29%    
  Feb 29, 2020 247   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-73 40%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.3 2.5 0.9 0.1 8.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.4 3.0 0.7 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.7 3.5 0.8 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.8 3.9 0.6 0.0 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.1 6.2 4.1 0.7 14.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 3.7 5.1 3.2 0.5 0.0 13.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.6 3.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 4.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.5 5.7 8.2 10.6 13.0 12.9 12.2 10.2 8.1 5.9 4.0 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-2 91.8% 0.3    0.3 0.1
15-3 86.6% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 55.4% 1.2    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 20.9% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 7.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 47.4% 47.4% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 31.3% 31.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.3% 28.7% 28.7% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
14-4 2.1% 20.7% 20.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.7
13-5 4.0% 13.2% 13.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 3.5
12-6 5.9% 12.8% 12.8% 15.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 5.1
11-7 8.1% 6.3% 6.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 7.6
10-8 10.2% 6.1% 6.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.6
9-9 12.2% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.1 0.4 11.8
8-10 12.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.7
7-11 13.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.8
6-12 10.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 10.5
5-13 8.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.2
4-14 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.7
3-15 3.5% 3.5
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.3 95.7 0.0%