Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.3#55
Expected Predictive Rating+16.3#16
Pace64.8#292
Improvement-8.0#348

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#85
First Shot+3.0#89
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#154
Layup/Dunks+0.3#154
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#71
Freethrows-1.0#239
Improvement+0.5#121

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#26
First Shot+5.2#39
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#64
Layups/Dunks+2.5#100
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#276
Freethrows+2.6#34
Improvement-8.5#348
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.8% 2.2% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 5.3% 12.8% 3.3%
Top 6 Seed 17.4% 33.4% 12.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 76.3% 90.6% 72.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 75.3% 90.0% 71.3%
Average Seed 8.2 7.2 8.6
.500 or above 96.1% 99.2% 95.2%
.500 or above in Conference 52.2% 74.2% 46.0%
Conference Champion 2.4% 7.1% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four7.1% 3.8% 8.0%
First Round72.3% 88.5% 67.7%
Second Round34.6% 46.0% 31.3%
Sweet Sixteen10.2% 15.5% 8.8%
Elite Eight3.5% 5.5% 3.0%
Final Four1.0% 1.8% 0.8%
Championship Game0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida St. (Away) - 21.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 6
Quad 27 - 311 - 9
Quad 33 - 114 - 9
Quad 42 - 016 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 78   Mississippi St. W 53-42 62%     1 - 0 +18.1 -13.7 +32.6
  Nov 26, 2020 28   Purdue W 81-70 40%     2 - 0 +24.0 +11.2 +12.3
  Dec 02, 2020 345   South Carolina St. W 75-38 99%     3 - 0 +15.7 -5.1 +21.9
  Dec 09, 2020 56   Maryland W 67-51 58%     4 - 0 +24.3 +5.2 +21.1
  Dec 12, 2020 7   Alabama W 64-56 24%     5 - 0 +25.6 -2.9 +28.3
  Dec 15, 2020 41   @ Virginia Tech L 60-66 40%     5 - 1 0 - 1 +7.0 -2.9 +9.5
  Dec 21, 2020 191   Morehead St. W 66-51 91%     6 - 1 +10.8 +3.7 +9.3
  Dec 29, 2020 14   Florida St. W 77-67 37%     7 - 1 1 - 1 +23.8 +4.9 +18.4
  Jan 02, 2021 93   @ Miami (FL) W 66-65 60%     8 - 1 2 - 1 +8.6 +2.4 +6.3
  Jan 05, 2021 68   North Carolina St. W 74-70 OT 65%     9 - 1 3 - 1 +10.4 +0.0 +10.2
  Jan 16, 2021 8   Virginia L 50-85 31%     9 - 2 3 - 2 -19.4 -5.1 -21.7
  Jan 20, 2021 51   @ Georgia Tech L 65-83 42%     9 - 3 3 - 3 -5.6 +4.9 -12.6
  Jan 23, 2021 14   @ Florida St. L 67-74 22%    
  Jan 26, 2021 107   Boston College W 74-66 80%    
  Jan 30, 2021 53   @ Duke L 68-70 38%    
  Feb 02, 2021 35   North Carolina W 68-67 55%    
  Feb 06, 2021 44   Syracuse W 70-69 58%    
  Feb 13, 2021 51   Georgia Tech W 68-66 60%    
  Feb 17, 2021 82   @ Notre Dame W 71-69 52%    
  Feb 21, 2021 59   @ Pittsburgh L 66-67 41%    
  Feb 23, 2021 103   @ Wake Forest W 71-67 59%    
  Feb 27, 2021 93   Miami (FL) W 68-62 75%    
  Mar 02, 2021 37   Louisville W 66-65 56%    
  Mar 05, 2021 59   Pittsburgh W 67-65 62%    
Projected Record 16 - 8 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.2 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.0 2.6 0.6 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.8 4.9 1.1 0.1 10.3 3rd
4th 0.1 2.7 6.7 2.0 0.1 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 6.8 4.0 0.3 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.2 4.1 6.5 0.8 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 7.0 2.3 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.3 4.3 4.7 0.3 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.7 5.5 1.2 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.5 3.7 2.4 0.1 6.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 2.6 0.4 4.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 1.7 0.7 0.0 2.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 15th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.6 4.3 9.0 14.2 18.2 19.0 15.9 10.6 4.9 1.5 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 82.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1
14-6 56.0% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 21.4% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-8 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.2% 100.0% 18.7% 81.3% 2.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.5% 99.9% 17.1% 82.8% 3.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-7 4.9% 100.0% 12.1% 87.9% 4.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-8 10.6% 99.9% 10.0% 89.9% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 2.1 2.9 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-9 15.9% 99.3% 6.2% 93.1% 7.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 4.2 4.3 2.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.3%
10-10 19.0% 97.0% 3.4% 93.6% 8.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.2 4.5 6.1 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.6 96.9%
9-11 18.2% 86.3% 1.8% 84.5% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.5 4.8 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 86.0%
8-12 14.2% 53.9% 1.3% 52.7% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.5 3.2 0.4 0.0 6.5 53.3%
7-13 9.0% 15.2% 0.6% 14.6% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.7 14.7%
6-14 4.3% 1.8% 0.2% 1.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3 1.6%
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 76.3% 4.2% 72.2% 8.2 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.8 4.8 7.3 10.1 11.8 13.1 10.2 7.9 5.2 0.6 0.0 23.7 75.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.5 60.0 35.0 5.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 2.5 13.6 31.8 45.5 9.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 2.4 8.6 51.4 31.4 8.6