Maryland
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#55
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#62
Pace66.8#253
Improvement-3.1#319

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#36
First Shot+7.2#25
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#202
Layup/Dunks+4.1#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#188
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#96
Freethrows+1.2#106
Improvement-3.4#337

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#88
First Shot+2.0#104
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#94
Layups/Dunks+2.4#100
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#313
Freethrows+3.4#15
Improvement+0.3#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 2.2% 5.4% 1.1%
Top 6 Seed 8.3% 17.9% 4.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.1% 55.4% 26.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 33.6% 55.0% 25.9%
Average Seed 8.8 8.2 9.3
.500 or above 49.4% 72.9% 41.0%
.500 or above in Conference 13.4% 28.2% 8.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 0.3% 3.4%
First Four8.4% 10.1% 7.8%
First Round30.1% 50.6% 22.7%
Second Round15.9% 26.6% 12.1%
Sweet Sixteen5.3% 9.8% 3.7%
Elite Eight2.1% 3.6% 1.6%
Final Four0.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 26.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 10
Quad 22 - 27 - 13
Quad 33 - 110 - 14
Quad 43 - 013 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 157   Old Dominion W 85-67 86%     1 - 0 +16.5 +12.5 +3.8
  Nov 27, 2020 172   Navy W 82-52 88%     2 - 0 +27.3 +14.8 +15.3
  Nov 29, 2020 249   Mount St. Mary's W 79-61 94%     3 - 0 +10.6 +17.3 -3.8
  Dec 04, 2020 176   St. Peter's W 90-57 89%     4 - 0 +29.9 +15.1 +13.2
  Dec 09, 2020 54   @ Clemson L 51-67 42%     4 - 1 -3.9 -7.4 +1.5
  Dec 14, 2020 42   Rutgers L 60-74 52%     4 - 2 0 - 1 -4.5 -5.2 +0.1
  Dec 22, 2020 182   La Salle W 84-71 90%     5 - 2 +9.3 +14.2 -4.4
  Dec 25, 2020 27   @ Purdue L 70-73 32%     5 - 3 0 - 2 +11.9 +9.3 +2.4
  Dec 28, 2020 11   @ Wisconsin W 70-64 21%     6 - 3 1 - 2 +24.4 +14.5 +10.6
  Dec 31, 2020 4   Michigan L 73-84 28%     6 - 4 1 - 3 +5.3 +10.7 -5.9
  Jan 04, 2021 31   @ Indiana L 55-63 34%     6 - 5 1 - 4 +6.3 -5.3 +10.9
  Jan 07, 2021 3   Iowa L 67-89 22%     6 - 6 1 - 5 -3.8 -6.8 +4.3
  Jan 10, 2021 9   @ Illinois W 66-63 20%     7 - 6 2 - 5 +21.8 +8.0 +14.1
  Jan 19, 2021 4   @ Michigan L 63-87 18%     7 - 7 2 - 6 -4.1 -0.5 -3.7
  Jan 23, 2021 23   @ Minnesota L 71-76 27%    
  Jan 30, 2021 11   Wisconsin L 63-68 38%    
  Feb 02, 2021 27   Purdue L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 05, 2021 57   @ Penn St. L 74-76 40%    
  Feb 08, 2021 18   Ohio St. L 70-73 46%    
  Feb 14, 2021 23   Minnesota L 73-75 48%    
  Feb 17, 2021 124   @ Nebraska W 78-73 65%    
  Feb 21, 2021 42   Rutgers W 71-70 56%    
  Feb 28, 2021 41   Michigan St. W 73-72 56%    
  Mar 03, 2021 70   @ Northwestern W 72-71 49%    
  Mar 07, 2021 57   Penn St. W 76-74 61%    
Projected Record 12 - 13 7 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 3rd
4th 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 1.4 0.2 3.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.6 1.1 0.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.5 4.6 3.5 0.3 9.0 7th
8th 0.3 4.3 5.3 1.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.2 2.9 8.4 2.4 0.1 13.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 8.2 5.4 0.3 15.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 6.8 6.7 1.0 15.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 4.9 6.3 2.0 0.1 14.1 12th
13th 0.1 1.1 3.0 4.6 1.3 0.2 10.3 13th
14th 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 14th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.2 10.9 16.1 20.4 19.7 13.5 9.0 3.3 0.9 0.2 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.2% 100.0% 100.0% 3.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
12-8 0.9% 100.0% 4.3% 95.7% 3.8 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 100.0%
11-9 3.3% 100.0% 5.7% 94.3% 5.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-10 9.0% 99.5% 1.7% 97.8% 6.9 0.1 0.2 1.2 2.0 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.5%
9-11 13.5% 84.0% 0.9% 83.1% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.3 2.5 2.0 1.5 0.0 2.2 83.9%
8-12 19.7% 41.7% 0.6% 41.1% 11.6 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 3.1 2.1 0.2 0.1 11.5 41.3%
7-13 20.4% 5.3% 0.4% 4.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 19.3 5.0%
6-14 16.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.1 0.5%
5-15 10.9% 10.9
4-16 4.2% 4.2
3-17 1.6% 1.6
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 34.1% 0.7% 33.4% 8.8 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.2 3.9 4.1 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.3 5.1 2.4 0.4 0.1 65.9 33.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 3.0 100.0
Lose Out 0.2%