Rutgers
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#41
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#46
Pace69.8#187
Improvement-2.8#312

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#58
First Shot+4.4#62
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#114
Layup/Dunks+7.5#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#208
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#221
Freethrows-0.9#236
Improvement-2.6#327

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#36
First Shot+6.2#26
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#194
Layups/Dunks-0.3#179
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#54
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#48
Freethrows+0.7#142
Improvement-0.2#200
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 5.0% 8.1% 2.5%
Top 6 Seed 16.1% 24.0% 9.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 47.1% 61.7% 35.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 46.2% 60.9% 34.3%
Average Seed 8.0 7.6 8.6
.500 or above 60.2% 75.2% 48.0%
.500 or above in Conference 39.9% 55.4% 27.3%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.2% 1.5%
First Four8.0% 8.1% 7.9%
First Round43.5% 58.1% 31.8%
Second Round24.4% 33.6% 17.0%
Sweet Sixteen10.3% 14.7% 6.7%
Elite Eight3.7% 5.1% 2.5%
Final Four1.2% 2.0% 0.6%
Championship Game0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Penn St. (Away) - 44.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 10
Quad 23 - 29 - 12
Quad 32 - 111 - 13
Quad 43 - 014 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 307   Sacred Heart W 86-63 97%     1 - 0 +11.9 +5.1 +6.2
  Nov 27, 2020 301   Fairleigh Dickinson W 96-75 97%     2 - 0 +10.4 +4.6 +3.6
  Nov 29, 2020 170   Hofstra W 70-56 90%     3 - 0 +11.4 -9.8 +20.2
  Dec 08, 2020 55   Syracuse W 79-69 62%     4 - 0 +18.1 +6.8 +11.1
  Dec 14, 2020 50   @ Maryland W 74-60 46%     5 - 0 1 - 0 +26.5 +9.0 +18.1
  Dec 20, 2020 9   Illinois W 91-88 36%     6 - 0 2 - 0 +18.1 +20.0 -2.0
  Dec 23, 2020 19   @ Ohio St. L 68-80 31%     6 - 1 2 - 1 +4.5 -0.8 +5.5
  Dec 29, 2020 27   Purdue W 81-76 51%     7 - 1 3 - 1 +16.2 +22.0 -5.3
  Jan 02, 2021 3   Iowa L 75-77 25%     7 - 2 3 - 2 +16.4 +4.4 +12.0
  Jan 05, 2021 38   @ Michigan St. L 45-68 43%     7 - 3 3 - 3 -9.9 -19.6 +8.8
  Jan 09, 2021 19   Ohio St. L 68-79 43%     7 - 4 3 - 4 +2.1 +2.5 -1.0
  Jan 12, 2021 53   @ Penn St. L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 15, 2021 12   Wisconsin L 54-60 38%     7 - 5 3 - 5 +8.6 -6.2 +14.3
  Jan 21, 2021 53   @ Penn St. L 74-75 43%    
  Jan 24, 2021 30   @ Indiana L 67-70 37%    
  Jan 28, 2021 38   Michigan St. W 73-71 62%    
  Jan 31, 2021 73   @ Northwestern W 73-71 52%    
  Feb 04, 2021 23   Minnesota L 73-74 54%    
  Feb 10, 2021 3   @ Iowa L 74-84 14%    
  Feb 13, 2021 73   Northwestern W 74-69 73%    
  Feb 18, 2021 7   @ Michigan L 67-75 21%    
  Feb 21, 2021 50   @ Maryland L 70-71 41%    
  Feb 24, 2021 30   Indiana W 69-68 57%    
  Feb 28, 2021 124   @ Nebraska W 78-72 68%    
  Mar 06, 2021 23   @ Minnesota L 71-75 31%    
Projected Record 13 - 12 9 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 1st
2nd 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.6 1.6 0.3 3.8 3rd
4th 0.2 1.9 3.0 0.5 0.1 5.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.4 1.8 0.1 7.7 5th
6th 0.9 5.3 4.1 0.4 10.7 6th
7th 0.4 4.3 6.8 1.3 12.8 7th
8th 0.1 2.9 8.1 2.4 0.1 13.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 7.5 3.8 0.1 12.8 9th
10th 0.4 4.7 5.2 0.8 11.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.2 1.3 0.0 9.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 3.3 1.6 0.1 6.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.2 0.1 4.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 14th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.3 7.3 13.0 17.5 17.9 16.2 12.1 7.1 2.9 1.3 0.2 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 88.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 24.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.2% 100.0% 100.0% 2.8 0.0 0.1 100.0%
14-6 1.3% 100.0% 7.4% 92.6% 3.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 100.0%
13-7 2.9% 100.0% 6.1% 93.9% 4.2 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 100.0%
12-8 7.1% 99.7% 4.2% 95.6% 5.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.7%
11-9 12.1% 99.0% 2.1% 96.9% 6.9 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.6 3.5 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 99.0%
10-10 16.2% 90.6% 2.1% 88.5% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 2.5 1.3 0.1 1.5 90.4%
9-11 17.9% 43.1% 1.7% 41.4% 11.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 3.6 1.5 0.3 10.2 42.1%
8-12 17.5% 5.9% 0.6% 5.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 16.4 5.4%
7-13 13.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9 0.3%
6-14 7.3% 7.3
5-15 3.3% 3.3
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 47.1% 1.6% 45.4% 8.0 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.8 5.2 5.9 6.1 5.4 4.3 4.0 3.6 5.3 1.9 0.4 0.0 52.9 46.2%