Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#187
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#175
Pace69.4#197
Improvement+0.9#120

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#195
First Shot-7.0#324
After Offensive Rebound+5.9#4
Layup/Dunks-1.5#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#303
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#267
Freethrows-0.1#186
Improvement-0.2#177

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#197
First Shot-1.4#214
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#152
Layups/Dunks-2.1#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#32
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#97
Freethrows-3.9#335
Improvement+1.1#104
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 13.0% 8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 83.5% 91.1% 73.8%
.500 or above in Conference 32.3% 45.9% 15.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.5% 5.1%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 0.9%
First Round10.7% 12.9% 7.8%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 56.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 34 - 44 - 5
Quad 412 - 516 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 30, 2020 40   @ Seton Hall L 64-86 8%     0 - 1 -8.5 -3.8 -4.7
  Dec 05, 2020 170   @ Hofstra W 82-74 37%     1 - 1 +9.3 +3.7 +5.0
  Dec 08, 2020 259   Morgan St. L 72-83 71%     1 - 2 -18.8 -5.6 -13.3
  Dec 11, 2020 312   @ Fairfield W 70-42 73%     2 - 2 1 - 0 +19.6 -1.4 +22.3
  Dec 12, 2020 312   @ Fairfield L 52-67 73%     2 - 3 1 - 1 -23.4 -20.5 -3.5
  Dec 18, 2020 280   @ Rider W 70-56 63%     3 - 3 2 - 1 +8.4 -3.2 +12.5
  Dec 19, 2020 280   @ Rider W 72-64 63%     4 - 3 3 - 1 +2.4 -1.3 +4.2
  Dec 23, 2020 316   Coppin St. W 85-65 83%     5 - 3 +7.7 +8.1 -0.9
  Feb 03, 2021 271   @ Quinnipiac W 69-66 56%    
  Feb 06, 2021 159   Monmouth L 77-78 53%    
  Feb 07, 2021 159   Monmouth L 77-78 53%    
  Feb 10, 2021 271   @ Quinnipiac W 69-66 56%    
  Feb 12, 2021 288   @ Marist W 67-63 60%    
  Feb 12, 2021 167   St. Peter's W 66-65 55%    
  Feb 13, 2021 288   @ Marist W 67-63 59%    
  Feb 13, 2021 167   St. Peter's W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 17, 2021 296   Manhattan W 67-59 80%    
  Feb 19, 2021 150   Siena L 70-71 51%    
  Feb 20, 2021 150   Siena L 70-71 51%    
  Feb 24, 2021 296   Manhattan W 67-59 80%    
  Feb 27, 2021 242   @ Canisius W 72-71 49%    
  Feb 28, 2021 242   @ Canisius W 72-71 50%    
  Mar 04, 2021 249   Niagara W 71-66 72%    
  Mar 05, 2021 249   Niagara W 71-66 72%    
Projected Record 14 - 10 9 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.2 0.4 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.2 1.8 6.3 3rd
4th 0.7 6.0 10.9 6.4 1.4 25.4 4th
5th 0.5 6.4 11.4 5.6 0.7 0.0 24.6 5th
6th 0.1 4.3 9.5 4.2 0.5 0.0 18.5 6th
7th 1.5 6.3 3.3 0.2 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.3 2.7 0.3 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 2.2 0.4 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 11th
Total 0.1 0.7 3.1 7.7 14.0 20.3 21.8 18.3 10.5 3.6 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 3.6% 28.8% 28.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5
11-9 10.5% 20.1% 20.1% 14.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 8.4
10-10 18.3% 16.5% 16.5% 14.6 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 0.3 15.3
9-11 21.8% 11.3% 11.3% 14.9 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.5 19.3
8-12 20.3% 6.9% 6.9% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 18.9
7-13 14.0% 4.6% 4.6% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 13.4
6-14 7.7% 2.7% 2.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 7.4
5-15 3.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 3.0
4-16 0.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.5 4.4 1.9 89.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 11.9 6.3 9.4 12.5 40.6 25.0 6.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%