George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#117
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#160
Pace68.2#212
Improvement-4.2#355

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#104
First Shot+3.8#71
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#265
Layup/Dunks-1.2#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#37
Freethrows+0.8#129
Improvement-0.2#206

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#136
First Shot-0.3#187
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#99
Layups/Dunks+2.7#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#291
Freethrows+0.4#166
Improvement-4.0#358
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 4.7% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.2 12.1 13.1
.500 or above 72.5% 77.0% 51.6%
.500 or above in Conference 64.8% 67.3% 52.8%
Conference Champion 4.7% 5.1% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 1.6% 2.6%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round4.2% 4.5% 2.6%
Second Round0.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 82.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 22 - 53 - 7
Quad 36 - 69 - 13
Quad 49 - 118 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 236   Stony Brook W 74-52 83%     1 - 0 +15.3 -2.0 +17.3
  Nov 12, 2021 196   Penn W 87-66 78%     2 - 0 +16.3 +5.5 +9.5
  Nov 14, 2021 305   Morgan St. W 90-53 90%     3 - 0 +26.0 +6.6 +17.9
  Nov 17, 2021 53   @ Maryland W 71-66 21%     4 - 0 +16.7 +13.2 +4.1
  Nov 19, 2021 165   @ James Madison L 64-67 52%     4 - 1 -0.1 -8.7 +8.8
  Nov 22, 2021 131   Washington L 74-77 53%     4 - 2 -0.5 +6.2 -6.8
  Nov 23, 2021 88   Nevada L 69-88 40%     4 - 3 -13.0 -5.8 -6.4
  Nov 24, 2021 59   South Dakota St. L 76-80 33%     4 - 4 +3.8 +6.9 -3.3
  Dec 04, 2021 233   Old Dominion W 70-60 82%    
  Dec 07, 2021 105   Navy W 68-66 58%    
  Dec 18, 2021 154   @ Georgia L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 21, 2021 320   American W 78-62 92%    
  Dec 23, 2021 309   Coppin St. W 81-66 92%    
  Dec 30, 2021 79   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 60-66 28%    
  Jan 02, 2022 193   @ Duquesne W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 05, 2022 72   Rhode Island L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 08, 2022 218   Saint Joseph's W 80-71 80%    
  Jan 11, 2022 76   @ Richmond L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 17, 2022 264   @ George Washington W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 22, 2022 120   Dayton W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 26, 2022 38   St. Bonaventure L 66-70 34%    
  Jan 30, 2022 119   @ Massachusetts L 78-81 40%    
  Feb 02, 2022 60   Saint Louis L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 05, 2022 234   @ La Salle W 72-68 63%    
  Feb 09, 2022 76   Richmond L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 12, 2022 79   Virginia Commonwealth L 62-63 50%    
  Feb 16, 2022 218   @ Saint Joseph's W 77-74 60%    
  Feb 20, 2022 246   @ Fordham W 69-64 67%    
  Feb 27, 2022 264   George Washington W 75-63 86%    
  Mar 02, 2022 83   @ Davidson L 66-72 29%    
  Mar 05, 2022 119   Massachusetts W 81-78 61%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.9 2.3 0.6 0.1 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 3.6 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.2 4.0 0.6 0.1 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.8 5.2 1.1 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.2 3.2 5.3 1.8 0.1 10.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 5.9 2.6 0.3 11.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 5.0 3.6 0.7 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.7 3.6 3.7 0.9 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.5 1.0 0.1 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.4 1.1 0.1 5.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.7 0.1 3.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.8 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 4.1 6.4 9.6 12.1 14.0 13.5 13.0 9.9 6.9 4.2 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 85.6% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
15-3 72.7% 1.5    0.8 0.6 0.1
14-4 30.3% 1.3    0.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
13-5 10.2% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.1 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 70.8% 33.3% 37.5% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 56.3%
16-2 1.0% 40.2% 20.6% 19.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 24.7%
15-3 2.1% 23.9% 14.1% 9.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6 11.4%
14-4 4.2% 12.7% 11.5% 1.2% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.6 1.4%
13-5 6.9% 9.8% 9.6% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 6.2 0.2%
12-6 9.9% 8.2% 8.1% 0.1% 12.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 9.1 0.1%
11-7 13.0% 5.1% 5.1% 12.8 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.4
10-8 13.5% 2.5% 2.5% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.1
9-9 14.0% 1.0% 1.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.9
8-10 12.1% 0.8% 0.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0
7-11 9.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 9.6
6-12 6.4% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 4.1% 4.1
4-14 1.8% 1.8
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 4.4% 3.8% 0.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 95.6 0.6%