Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#119
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#128
Pace76.3#45
Improvement-0.6#237

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#27
First Shot+6.6#21
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#156
Layup/Dunks-3.2#290
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.6#8
Freethrows+3.6#21
Improvement+3.3#6

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#288
First Shot-1.3#223
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#310
Layups/Dunks-1.9#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#141
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#145
Freethrows-1.2#259
Improvement-3.9#356
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.8% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.9 11.7 12.4
.500 or above 75.8% 83.7% 62.3%
.500 or above in Conference 62.3% 66.9% 54.6%
Conference Champion 3.8% 4.6% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.3% 2.1%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
First Round4.6% 5.3% 3.3%
Second Round1.0% 1.2% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Harvard (Home) - 63.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 23 - 53 - 8
Quad 37 - 510 - 12
Quad 49 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 210   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-60 79%     1 - 0 +11.9 -3.6 +14.7
  Nov 12, 2021 113   @ Yale L 71-91 36%     1 - 1 -13.1 -2.8 -9.0
  Nov 15, 2021 68   Penn St. W 81-56 46%     2 - 1 +29.2 +16.3 +14.7
  Nov 18, 2021 102   Weber St. L 73-88 44%     2 - 2 -10.3 +5.3 -16.3
  Nov 19, 2021 171   UNC Greensboro W 93-90 OT 64%     3 - 2 +2.6 +16.4 -14.0
  Nov 21, 2021 212   Ball St. L 86-89 70%     3 - 3 -5.2 +4.1 -9.1
  Nov 24, 2021 208   Umass Lowell W 92-81 78%     4 - 3 +5.9 +11.2 -6.0
  Nov 27, 2021 98   Rutgers W 85-83 54%     5 - 3 +4.1 +16.5 -12.3
  Dec 04, 2021 136   Harvard W 82-78 63%    
  Dec 07, 2021 149   @ Northeastern L 73-74 46%    
  Dec 11, 2021 115   North Texas L 71-72 48%    
  Dec 19, 2021 222   Fairfield W 80-71 80%    
  Dec 22, 2021 253   NJIT W 81-70 84%    
  Dec 30, 2021 60   Saint Louis L 80-82 45%    
  Jan 02, 2022 246   @ Fordham W 78-73 66%    
  Jan 05, 2022 76   @ Richmond L 79-86 28%    
  Jan 08, 2022 193   Duquesne W 83-75 76%    
  Jan 11, 2022 83   @ Davidson L 74-80 29%    
  Jan 15, 2022 72   Rhode Island L 77-78 47%    
  Jan 23, 2022 60   @ Saint Louis L 77-85 25%    
  Jan 26, 2022 234   @ La Salle W 81-77 63%    
  Jan 30, 2022 117   George Mason W 81-78 60%    
  Feb 05, 2022 72   @ Rhode Island L 74-81 28%    
  Feb 09, 2022 264   George Washington W 84-72 85%    
  Feb 12, 2022 218   Saint Joseph's W 90-81 78%    
  Feb 16, 2022 38   @ St. Bonaventure L 70-81 17%    
  Feb 19, 2022 234   La Salle W 84-74 80%    
  Feb 23, 2022 120   @ Dayton L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 26, 2022 79   Virginia Commonwealth L 71-72 48%    
  Mar 02, 2022 246   Fordham W 81-70 82%    
  Mar 05, 2022 117   @ George Mason L 78-81 39%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 3.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.9 3.4 0.6 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.2 4.7 1.2 0.1 10.6 5th
6th 0.3 3.2 5.9 2.0 0.2 11.6 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 5.8 3.1 0.2 11.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 5.3 3.7 0.6 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.8 4.3 0.9 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.4 2.8 3.7 1.0 0.1 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.6 1.2 0.1 5.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 1.8 0.8 0.1 3.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.2 7.1 10.2 13.2 14.0 14.9 12.4 9.4 6.0 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 88.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 69.5% 1.2    0.7 0.5 0.1
14-4 37.1% 1.2    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.4% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 68.6% 29.4% 39.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 55.6%
15-3 1.8% 36.7% 20.9% 15.8% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.1 20.0%
14-4 3.2% 24.8% 15.1% 9.7% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 2.4 11.5%
13-5 6.0% 12.9% 11.3% 1.7% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 5.3 1.9%
12-6 9.4% 8.0% 7.8% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 8.6 0.2%
11-7 12.4% 4.0% 4.0% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 11.9 0.1%
10-8 14.9% 3.4% 3.4% 12.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 14.4
9-9 14.0% 1.7% 1.7% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.8
8-10 13.2% 1.1% 1.1% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
7-11 10.2% 0.4% 0.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 10.2
6-12 7.1% 0.4% 0.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 7.1
5-13 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 4.1
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 4.9% 3.9% 1.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 95.1 1.0%