Georgetown
Big East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#139
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#293
Pace72.1#100
Improvement-0.5#226

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#140
First Shot-2.4#248
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#26
Layup/Dunks-3.0#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#192
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#135
Freethrows+0.2#163
Improvement+0.3#134

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#128
First Shot+0.0#180
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#101
Layups/Dunks+2.6#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#295
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#294
Freethrows+2.5#47
Improvement-0.8#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.3% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Average Seed 10.5 10.4 11.8
.500 or above 10.9% 13.3% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 8.6% 10.1% 4.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 42.0% 38.8% 51.7%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round1.0% 1.2% 0.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Home) - 75.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 10
Quad 23 - 64 - 16
Quad 33 - 37 - 19
Quad 44 - 211 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 242   Dartmouth L 60-69 81%     0 - 1 -16.1 -14.4 -1.7
  Nov 16, 2021 320   American W 79-57 90%     1 - 1 +9.8 -5.3 +13.7
  Nov 19, 2021 293   Siena W 83-65 88%     2 - 1 +7.6 +9.7 -1.0
  Nov 25, 2021 50   San Diego St. L 56-73 25%     2 - 2 -7.9 -8.3 +0.1
  Nov 26, 2021 218   Saint Joseph's L 74-77 68%     2 - 3 -5.6 -3.6 -2.0
  Nov 30, 2021 209   Longwood W 71-64 75%    
  Dec 05, 2021 92   @ South Carolina L 72-79 26%    
  Dec 08, 2021 210   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-70 75%    
  Dec 11, 2021 78   Syracuse L 75-77 44%    
  Dec 15, 2021 314   Howard W 85-71 90%    
  Dec 18, 2021 89   TCU L 69-70 47%    
  Dec 22, 2021 55   @ Providence L 67-76 20%    
  Dec 28, 2021 87   @ Creighton L 69-76 26%    
  Jan 01, 2022 62   St. John's L 77-80 41%    
  Jan 04, 2022 40   Xavier L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 07, 2022 69   Marquette L 75-77 44%    
  Jan 13, 2022 104   Butler W 66-65 53%    
  Jan 16, 2022 62   @ St. John's L 74-83 22%    
  Jan 22, 2022 8   Villanova L 65-77 15%    
  Jan 25, 2022 13   @ Connecticut L 64-80 8%    
  Jan 29, 2022 104   @ Butler L 63-68 31%    
  Feb 01, 2022 27   Seton Hall L 68-76 24%    
  Feb 06, 2022 55   Providence L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 09, 2022 100   @ DePaul L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 12, 2022 87   Creighton L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 16, 2022 69   @ Marquette L 72-80 25%    
  Feb 19, 2022 8   @ Villanova L 62-80 6%    
  Feb 24, 2022 100   DePaul W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 27, 2022 13   Connecticut L 67-77 20%    
  Mar 02, 2022 27   @ Seton Hall L 65-79 11%    
  Mar 05, 2022 40   @ Xavier L 66-77 16%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.6 5th
6th 0.2 1.2 2.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 3.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.8 2.9 0.6 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.8 6.2 3.5 0.7 0.0 15.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.2 6.1 7.3 4.2 0.8 0.0 21.1 10th
11th 1.0 4.3 7.3 8.6 6.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 31.0 11th
Total 1.0 4.3 7.8 10.9 13.3 14.5 14.0 11.0 8.2 6.5 4.0 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0
15-5 18.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 14.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.5% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.4% 57.1% 57.1% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 57.1%
13-7 0.6% 38.6% 5.3% 33.3% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 35.2%
12-8 1.2% 15.6% 1.6% 13.9% 10.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0 14.2%
11-9 2.4% 4.2% 1.7% 2.5% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.3 2.6%
10-10 4.0% 2.5% 1.5% 1.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 1.0%
9-11 6.5% 0.9% 0.9% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5
8-12 8.2% 0.5% 0.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2
7-13 11.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 11.0
6-14 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 13.9
5-15 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.5
4-16 13.3% 13.3
3-17 10.9% 10.9
2-18 7.8% 7.8
1-19 4.3% 4.3
0-20 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 1.1% 0.3% 0.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 98.9 0.8%