Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#78
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#137
Pace70.1#159
Improvement-2.8#339

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#21
First Shot+7.5#16
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#184
Layup/Dunks+3.4#67
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#174
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#103
Freethrows+1.7#77
Improvement-0.9#274

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#196
First Shot-1.3#222
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#136
Layups/Dunks+4.3#44
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#89
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.8#356
Freethrows+2.6#46
Improvement-1.9#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 1.2% 2.2% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.2% 20.3% 8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.8% 18.7% 7.0%
Average Seed 9.5 9.3 9.7
.500 or above 46.3% 60.8% 36.2%
.500 or above in Conference 44.8% 51.9% 39.8%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.8% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 3.1% 4.9%
First Four3.2% 4.8% 2.0%
First Round11.6% 17.9% 7.2%
Second Round5.1% 7.9% 3.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 2.3% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana (Home) - 41.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 24 - 56 - 14
Quad 35 - 311 - 16
Quad 45 - 016 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 304   Lafayette W 97-63 94%     1 - 0 +23.0 +14.9 +7.2
  Nov 14, 2021 167   Drexel W 75-60 82%     2 - 0 +11.9 +4.1 +8.9
  Nov 20, 2021 99   Colgate L 85-100 67%     2 - 1 -12.9 +6.6 -18.9
  Nov 24, 2021 79   Virginia Commonwealth L 55-67 50%     2 - 2 -5.4 -7.7 +2.4
  Nov 25, 2021 96   Arizona St. W 92-84 55%     3 - 2 +13.3 +17.4 -4.4
  Nov 26, 2021 20   Auburn L 68-89 24%     3 - 3 -6.9 +1.5 -8.5
  Nov 30, 2021 30   Indiana L 71-74 41%    
  Dec 04, 2021 24   @ Florida St. L 71-81 18%    
  Dec 07, 2021 8   Villanova L 69-79 16%    
  Dec 11, 2021 139   @ Georgetown W 77-75 56%    
  Dec 18, 2021 295   Lehigh W 83-66 95%    
  Dec 21, 2021 217   Cornell W 88-76 87%    
  Dec 29, 2021 84   Georgia Tech W 75-72 63%    
  Jan 01, 2022 39   Virginia L 62-63 47%    
  Jan 05, 2022 106   @ Miami (FL) L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 08, 2022 85   @ Wake Forest L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 11, 2022 213   Pittsburgh W 78-66 86%    
  Jan 15, 2022 24   Florida St. L 74-78 36%    
  Jan 18, 2022 45   Clemson L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 22, 2022 4   @ Duke L 71-86 9%    
  Jan 25, 2022 213   @ Pittsburgh W 75-69 69%    
  Jan 29, 2022 85   Wake Forest W 79-76 63%    
  Feb 02, 2022 65   @ North Carolina St. L 74-78 36%    
  Feb 05, 2022 36   Louisville L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 08, 2022 133   @ Boston College W 72-71 55%    
  Feb 12, 2022 28   @ Virginia Tech L 67-76 20%    
  Feb 19, 2022 133   Boston College W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 22, 2022 64   @ Notre Dame L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 26, 2022 4   Duke L 74-83 22%    
  Feb 28, 2022 44   @ North Carolina L 80-86 29%    
  Mar 05, 2022 106   Miami (FL) W 79-74 68%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.6 0.5 0.1 4.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.5 1.0 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.0 3.8 1.3 0.1 7.5 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 4.2 2.2 0.2 8.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.3 3.2 0.4 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.7 4.1 4.0 1.0 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.1 1.5 0.1 9.7 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 4.6 2.3 0.2 9.3 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 4.4 3.1 0.4 9.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 3.1 3.1 0.6 0.0 7.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.0 0.9 0.1 7.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.8 0.6 0.1 4.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 2.2 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.1 5.5 8.4 10.8 11.9 13.3 12.3 10.8 9.0 5.7 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 73.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 40.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
15-5 17.4% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
14-6 4.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 11.8% 88.2% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.7% 97.1% 12.9% 84.3% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.7%
15-5 1.9% 92.6% 14.2% 78.4% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 91.4%
14-6 4.0% 72.1% 6.3% 65.8% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.1 70.2%
13-7 5.7% 54.3% 6.0% 48.3% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.2 2.6 51.4%
12-8 9.0% 27.8% 2.1% 25.7% 10.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 6.5 26.3%
11-9 10.8% 11.1% 1.3% 9.8% 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 9.6 9.9%
10-10 12.3% 3.7% 0.7% 2.9% 11.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.9 2.9%
9-11 13.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.1 0.3%
8-12 11.9% 0.3% 0.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8
7-13 10.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 10.8
6-14 8.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.3
5-15 5.5% 5.5
4-16 3.1% 3.1
3-17 1.6% 1.6
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.2% 1.6% 11.6% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.7 2.2 2.3 3.2 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 86.8 11.8%