Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.2#27
Expected Predictive Rating+16.4#14
Pace71.2#125
Improvement-3.1#346

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#39
First Shot+3.5#77
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#65
Layup/Dunks-1.2#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#158
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#122
Freethrows+2.7#42
Improvement-1.1#292

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#24
First Shot+4.4#54
After Offensive Rebounds+3.0#28
Layups/Dunks+1.6#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#18
Freethrows-0.9#232
Improvement-2.0#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
#1 Seed 4.0% 4.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 10.6% 10.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 27.7% 27.8% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 48.1% 48.2% 18.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 83.9% 84.0% 51.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 81.0% 81.0% 51.9%
Average Seed 6.0 6.0 8.3
.500 or above 96.0% 96.1% 77.8%
.500 or above in Conference 87.9% 87.9% 70.4%
Conference Champion 18.7% 18.8% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
First Four3.6% 3.6% 11.1%
First Round82.0% 82.1% 44.4%
Second Round54.7% 54.8% 25.9%
Sweet Sixteen26.5% 26.5% 0.0%
Elite Eight11.7% 11.7% 0.0%
Final Four5.3% 5.3% 0.0%
Championship Game2.2% 2.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.8% 0.8% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Home) - 99.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 7
Quad 26 - 212 - 9
Quad 37 - 119 - 10
Quad 43 - 022 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 329   Fairleigh Dickinson W 93-49 98%     1 - 0 +30.5 +3.5 +22.9
  Nov 14, 2021 113   Yale W 80-44 87%     2 - 0 +36.9 +2.2 +32.1
  Nov 16, 2021 16   @ Michigan W 67-65 33%     3 - 0 +19.8 +4.6 +15.3
  Nov 22, 2021 29   Ohio St. L 76-79 53%     3 - 1 +9.5 +8.9 +0.5
  Nov 24, 2021 129   California W 62-59 84%     4 - 1 +5.5 -3.5 +9.2
  Nov 28, 2021 346   Bethune-Cookman W 85-55 99.7%   
  Dec 01, 2021 155   Wagner W 76-61 92%    
  Dec 09, 2021 11   Texas W 66-65 51%    
  Dec 12, 2021 98   Rutgers W 71-60 85%    
  Dec 18, 2021 111   Iona W 73-64 80%    
  Dec 20, 2021 62   St. John's W 82-73 78%    
  Dec 23, 2021 100   @ DePaul W 77-72 68%    
  Dec 29, 2021 55   @ Providence W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 01, 2022 8   Villanova L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 04, 2022 104   @ Butler W 68-62 69%    
  Jan 08, 2022 13   Connecticut W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 15, 2022 69   @ Marquette W 76-73 61%    
  Jan 18, 2022 55   Providence W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 22, 2022 62   @ St. John's W 79-76 59%    
  Jan 26, 2022 69   Marquette W 79-70 79%    
  Feb 01, 2022 139   @ Georgetown W 76-68 76%    
  Feb 04, 2022 87   Creighton W 76-66 81%    
  Feb 09, 2022 40   Xavier W 73-67 69%    
  Feb 12, 2022 8   @ Villanova L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 16, 2022 13   @ Connecticut L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 19, 2022 100   DePaul W 80-69 83%    
  Feb 23, 2022 104   Butler W 71-59 85%    
  Feb 26, 2022 40   @ Xavier L 70-71 48%    
  Mar 02, 2022 139   Georgetown W 79-65 89%    
  Mar 05, 2022 87   @ Creighton W 73-69 63%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 13 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.0 3.0 4.9 5.1 3.2 1.2 0.3 18.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 2.6 6.1 6.9 4.1 1.3 0.2 21.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 4.0 7.0 5.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 20.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.9 5.3 3.3 0.8 0.0 14.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 2.8 3.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 2.2 2.5 1.1 0.1 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.6 0.6 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 1.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.1 3.2 5.1 7.1 10.2 11.4 13.3 13.2 12.2 9.4 6.3 3.3 1.2 0.3 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.2    1.2 0.0
18-2 94.3% 3.2    2.8 0.4
17-3 79.8% 5.1    3.7 1.2 0.1
16-4 52.4% 4.9    2.8 1.9 0.3 0.0
15-5 24.6% 3.0    1.2 1.4 0.4 0.0
14-6 7.2% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
13-7 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 18.7% 18.7 12.2 5.4 1.1 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 100.0% 48.1% 51.9% 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
19-1 1.2% 100.0% 42.7% 57.3% 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 100.0%
18-2 3.3% 100.0% 41.3% 58.7% 1.8 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 6.3% 100.0% 33.6% 66.4% 2.5 1.2 2.2 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 9.4% 100.0% 26.5% 73.5% 3.5 0.4 1.8 2.7 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 12.2% 99.8% 19.7% 80.1% 4.6 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.3 3.1 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
14-6 13.2% 99.8% 15.9% 83.9% 5.8 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.9 3.5 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-7 13.3% 98.6% 14.5% 84.1% 7.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.8 3.1 2.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 98.3%
12-8 11.4% 91.8% 10.5% 81.3% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.7 2.5 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.9 90.9%
11-9 10.2% 82.0% 7.7% 74.3% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 1.8 80.5%
10-10 7.1% 60.7% 4.8% 55.9% 10.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 2.8 58.7%
9-11 5.1% 27.2% 3.3% 23.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 3.7 24.7%
8-12 3.2% 11.9% 2.8% 9.1% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.8 9.4%
7-13 2.1% 3.4% 1.9% 1.5% 11.7 0.0 0.1 2.0 1.5%
6-14 1.0% 1.0
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 83.9% 15.7% 68.3% 6.0 4.0 6.6 7.8 9.3 10.0 10.4 9.2 8.8 6.5 5.5 4.2 1.6 0.1 0.0 16.1 81.0%