DePaul
Big East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#86
Expected Predictive Rating+10.3#59
Pace74.8#60
Improvement+1.1#85

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#62
First Shot+3.6#74
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#123
Layup/Dunks+1.9#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#126
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#202
Freethrows+1.7#79
Improvement-0.2#209

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#104
First Shot+0.5#153
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#90
Layups/Dunks+1.8#118
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#211
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#251
Freethrows+0.8#146
Improvement+1.4#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 2.5% 3.9% 1.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.3% 29.9% 15.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 19.8% 28.4% 13.8%
Average Seed 9.0 8.8 9.3
.500 or above 62.9% 76.2% 53.5%
.500 or above in Conference 32.5% 39.2% 27.8%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.9% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.2% 11.3% 18.0%
First Four4.1% 5.3% 3.3%
First Round18.8% 26.7% 13.3%
Second Round8.2% 11.1% 6.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.9% 2.7% 1.4%
Elite Eight0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Home) - 41.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 10
Quad 24 - 47 - 14
Quad 34 - 111 - 15
Quad 46 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 307   Coppin St. W 97-72 94%     1 - 0 +13.9 +9.8 +1.1
  Nov 13, 2021 304   Central Michigan W 99-66 94%     2 - 0 +22.0 +9.0 +9.8
  Nov 18, 2021 87   Rutgers W 73-70 62%     3 - 0 +6.3 +10.0 -3.4
  Nov 20, 2021 191   Western Illinois W 84-80 84%     4 - 0 -0.3 -1.2 +0.4
  Nov 26, 2021 197   Northern Kentucky W 77-68 85%     5 - 0 +4.4 +1.5 +2.9
  Nov 28, 2021 260   Eastern Michigan W 101-63 91%     6 - 0 +29.5 +15.3 +10.5
  Dec 04, 2021 33   Loyola Chicago L 68-71 41%    
  Dec 07, 2021 194   Duquesne W 81-70 84%    
  Dec 10, 2021 36   @ Louisville L 69-77 22%    
  Dec 14, 2021 252   @ Illinois-Chicago W 77-69 78%    
  Dec 18, 2021 47   @ Northwestern L 72-78 28%    
  Dec 20, 2021 66   Creighton W 77-75 56%    
  Dec 23, 2021 28   Seton Hall L 73-77 37%    
  Dec 29, 2021 103   @ Butler L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 01, 2022 54   Providence W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 05, 2022 61   @ St. John's L 79-83 36%    
  Jan 08, 2022 6   Villanova L 69-77 22%    
  Jan 11, 2022 62   @ Marquette L 78-82 36%    
  Jan 19, 2022 37   Xavier L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 22, 2022 66   @ Creighton L 74-78 36%    
  Jan 25, 2022 6   @ Villanova L 66-80 10%    
  Jan 29, 2022 26   Connecticut L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 05, 2022 37   @ Xavier L 70-78 25%    
  Feb 09, 2022 128   Georgetown W 81-74 73%    
  Feb 12, 2022 54   @ Providence L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 15, 2022 103   Butler W 71-66 67%    
  Feb 19, 2022 28   @ Seton Hall L 70-80 20%    
  Feb 24, 2022 128   @ Georgetown W 78-77 53%    
  Feb 27, 2022 61   St. John's W 82-80 56%    
  Mar 02, 2022 62   Marquette W 81-79 56%    
  Mar 05, 2022 26   @ Connecticut L 70-80 20%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.1 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.7 0.7 0.1 5.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.1 2.5 0.9 0.1 7.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.1 2.7 0.7 0.2 9.4 5th
6th 0.2 1.7 4.8 4.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 5.1 4.4 1.2 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.9 5.6 4.4 1.1 0.1 13.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.2 5.9 4.4 1.0 0.0 13.9 9th
10th 0.2 0.7 2.9 3.7 3.0 0.9 0.0 11.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 2.9 1.8 0.3 9.2 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.2 6.1 7.8 11.3 13.0 12.4 11.9 10.8 7.8 6.0 3.9 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
16-4 76.8% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-5 39.4% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.0
14-6 9.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 11.8% 88.2% 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.5% 100.0% 26.2% 73.8% 4.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.3% 98.4% 10.4% 88.0% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.2%
14-6 2.1% 97.9% 7.2% 90.7% 7.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.8%
13-7 3.9% 89.2% 7.1% 82.1% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.4 88.4%
12-8 6.0% 76.6% 4.7% 71.9% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.1 1.4 75.5%
11-9 7.8% 56.0% 4.6% 51.4% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.4 53.9%
10-10 10.8% 30.8% 1.4% 29.4% 10.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.4 0.5 0.0 7.5 29.8%
9-11 11.9% 8.5% 1.1% 7.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 10.9 7.5%
8-12 12.4% 3.4% 0.8% 2.6% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 11.9 2.6%
7-13 13.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8 0.5%
6-14 11.3% 0.2% 0.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 11.2
5-15 7.8% 7.8
4-16 6.1% 6.1
3-17 3.2% 3.2
2-18 1.4% 1.4
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 21.3% 1.8% 19.5% 9.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.5 3.1 3.6 3.7 4.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 78.7 19.8%