Kentucky
Southeastern
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.6#12
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#46
Pace70.3#150
Improvement+0.1#167

Offense
Total Offense+8.9#11
First Shot+5.7#32
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#30
Layup/Dunks-0.5#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.9#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#245
Freethrows-0.2#196
Improvement-0.6#258

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#32
First Shot+5.1#43
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#95
Layups/Dunks+3.7#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#343
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#71
Freethrows+2.1#65
Improvement+0.8#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 2.4% 2.4% 0.0%
#1 Seed 9.6% 9.6% 2.7%
Top 2 Seed 21.2% 21.3% 6.8%
Top 4 Seed 46.7% 46.8% 27.0%
Top 6 Seed 66.5% 66.7% 44.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 89.4% 89.5% 74.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 87.4% 87.5% 71.2%
Average Seed 4.8 4.8 5.8
.500 or above 98.2% 98.2% 94.6%
.500 or above in Conference 88.0% 88.1% 81.1%
Conference Champion 18.2% 18.3% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
First Four2.6% 2.6% 1.4%
First Round88.3% 88.5% 73.0%
Second Round68.9% 69.0% 51.4%
Sweet Sixteen40.6% 40.7% 20.3%
Elite Eight20.9% 21.0% 10.8%
Final Four10.1% 10.2% 5.4%
Championship Game4.7% 4.8% 1.4%
National Champion2.0% 2.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Michigan (Home) - 99.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 74 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 28 - 8
Quad 25 - 112 - 10
Quad 33 - 016 - 10
Quad 48 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 4   Duke L 71-79 39%     0 - 1 +10.5 +3.5 +7.3
  Nov 12, 2021 287   Robert Morris W 100-60 98%     1 - 1 +30.0 +18.2 +10.8
  Nov 16, 2021 290   Mount St. Mary's W 80-55 98%     2 - 1 +14.8 +9.1 +7.0
  Nov 19, 2021 73   Ohio W 77-59 86%     3 - 1 +21.9 +11.0 +12.5
  Nov 22, 2021 286   Albany W 86-61 98%     4 - 1 +15.0 +6.9 +7.0
  Nov 26, 2021 277   North Florida W 86-52 98%     5 - 1 +24.7 -1.7 +22.7
  Nov 29, 2021 299   Central Michigan W 91-65 99%    
  Dec 07, 2021 291   Southern W 86-60 99%    
  Dec 11, 2021 64   @ Notre Dame W 75-70 68%    
  Dec 18, 2021 29   Ohio St. W 75-72 60%    
  Dec 22, 2021 36   Louisville W 74-67 74%    
  Dec 29, 2021 127   Missouri W 78-62 93%    
  Dec 31, 2021 285   High Point W 81-56 99%    
  Jan 04, 2022 10   @ LSU L 73-77 38%    
  Jan 08, 2022 154   Georgia W 84-66 94%    
  Jan 11, 2022 80   @ Vanderbilt W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 15, 2022 23   Tennessee W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 19, 2022 81   @ Texas A&M W 70-64 71%    
  Jan 22, 2022 20   @ Auburn L 76-77 44%    
  Jan 25, 2022 37   Mississippi St. W 73-65 76%    
  Jan 29, 2022 9   @ Kansas L 74-78 35%    
  Feb 02, 2022 80   Vanderbilt W 77-65 86%    
  Feb 05, 2022 18   @ Alabama L 78-80 43%    
  Feb 08, 2022 92   @ South Carolina W 80-73 73%    
  Feb 12, 2022 15   Florida W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 15, 2022 23   @ Tennessee L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 19, 2022 18   Alabama W 81-77 64%    
  Feb 23, 2022 10   LSU W 76-74 59%    
  Feb 26, 2022 25   @ Arkansas L 77-78 47%    
  Mar 01, 2022 74   Mississippi W 73-61 85%    
  Mar 05, 2022 15   @ Florida L 71-73 42%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.5 5.0 5.5 4.0 1.6 0.4 18.2 1st
2nd 0.1 2.1 6.2 5.0 1.7 0.2 15.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 5.6 4.9 1.2 0.1 13.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.6 5.3 1.1 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.5 1.4 0.1 10.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 4.7 2.1 0.1 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.7 2.8 0.3 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.6 0.3 5.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.1 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.5 10th
11th 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.2 5.9 8.9 12.0 14.1 14.7 13.7 11.2 7.3 4.2 1.6 0.4 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.6    1.6 0.0
16-2 96.2% 4.0    3.4 0.6 0.0
15-3 75.6% 5.5    3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 44.5% 5.0    1.9 2.2 0.8 0.1
13-5 11.1% 1.5    0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 18.2% 18.2 11.1 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 100.0% 62.2% 37.8% 1.1 0.3 0.1 100.0%
17-1 1.6% 100.0% 44.2% 55.8% 1.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 100.0%
16-2 4.2% 100.0% 36.8% 63.2% 1.5 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
15-3 7.3% 100.0% 30.6% 69.4% 1.9 2.8 2.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 100.0%
14-4 11.2% 100.0% 25.9% 74.1% 2.6 1.7 3.9 3.3 1.7 0.5 0.1 100.0%
13-5 13.7% 100.0% 21.8% 78.2% 3.5 0.8 2.5 4.1 3.6 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 14.7% 99.9% 15.8% 84.2% 4.6 0.1 0.7 2.7 3.9 3.3 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 14.1% 99.4% 10.8% 88.5% 5.7 0.2 0.8 2.5 3.3 3.0 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.3%
10-8 12.0% 94.5% 6.0% 88.5% 7.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.0 2.5 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.7 94.1%
9-9 8.9% 81.1% 3.7% 77.3% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.3 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.7 80.3%
8-10 5.9% 51.8% 3.6% 48.2% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.0 2.8 50.0%
7-11 3.2% 18.0% 1.9% 16.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.6 16.4%
6-12 1.8% 10.7% 1.7% 9.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6 9.2%
5-13 0.8% 2.5% 1.2% 1.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.3%
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 89.4% 15.8% 73.6% 4.8 9.6 11.7 12.8 12.7 10.9 9.0 7.3 5.2 3.9 2.8 2.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.6 87.4%