Preseason Rankings
Columbia
Ivy League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#315
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.0#60
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#284
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#327
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 7.4% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.0 15.3
.500 or above 17.8% 58.7% 17.2%
.500 or above in Conference 14.5% 40.7% 14.2%
Conference Champion 1.4% 7.5% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 50.0% 22.4% 50.3%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.6%
First Round1.3% 7.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 48 - 810 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 43   @ Rutgers L 59-82 1%    
  Nov 10, 2022 238   Umass Lowell L 73-76 39%    
  Nov 13, 2022 283   @ Sacred Heart L 75-80 33%    
  Nov 16, 2022 358   Delaware St. W 84-71 87%    
  Nov 18, 2022 337   @ Maine L 68-69 48%    
  Nov 23, 2022 323   @ Binghamton L 74-76 43%    
  Nov 26, 2022 50   @ Providence L 61-83 3%    
  Nov 28, 2022 296   @ Marist L 69-73 36%    
  Dec 03, 2022 329   New Hampshire W 70-65 65%    
  Dec 06, 2022 236   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 75-78 40%    
  Dec 09, 2022 319   Fairleigh Dickinson W 82-78 61%    
  Dec 12, 2022 271   @ Lafayette L 69-75 30%    
  Dec 28, 2022 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-63 89%    
  Dec 31, 2022 146   Yale L 71-79 27%    
  Jan 06, 2023 165   Princeton L 73-79 30%    
  Jan 07, 2023 150   Penn L 74-81 28%    
  Jan 14, 2023 167   @ Harvard L 67-79 16%    
  Jan 16, 2023 217   Cornell L 79-83 37%    
  Jan 21, 2023 240   @ Brown L 70-79 23%    
  Jan 28, 2023 257   @ Dartmouth L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 03, 2023 150   @ Penn L 71-84 14%    
  Feb 04, 2023 165   @ Princeton L 70-82 16%    
  Feb 11, 2023 146   @ Yale L 68-82 14%    
  Feb 17, 2023 167   Harvard L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 18, 2023 257   Dartmouth L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 25, 2023 240   Brown L 73-76 41%    
  Mar 04, 2023 217   @ Cornell L 76-86 21%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 4 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 3.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.5 1.6 0.1 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 5.1 5.9 2.0 0.1 14.6 6th
7th 0.6 4.2 8.3 7.4 2.1 0.1 22.7 7th
8th 7.1 12.2 11.3 6.2 1.4 0.1 38.3 8th
Total 7.1 12.8 15.5 15.8 14.4 11.1 8.7 6.1 3.9 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-2 93.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
11-3 71.5% 0.4    0.3 0.2 0.0
10-4 30.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-5 9.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 66.7% 66.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.1% 30.8% 30.8% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.2% 33.1% 33.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.6% 26.0% 26.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
10-4 1.3% 14.4% 14.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
9-5 2.3% 7.9% 7.9% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.1
8-6 3.9% 6.2% 6.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.7
7-7 6.1% 2.6% 2.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.9
6-8 8.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.5
5-9 11.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 10.9
4-10 14.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.3
3-11 15.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 15.7
2-12 15.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 15.5
1-13 12.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.8
0-14 7.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.1
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%