Preseason Rankings
Florida International
Conference USA
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#224
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.1#210
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#210
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#234
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.2% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 14.8
.500 or above 30.6% 36.4% 9.9%
.500 or above in Conference 23.9% 27.9% 9.7%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 24.4% 20.1% 39.5%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
First Round2.4% 2.9% 0.6%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Home) - 77.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 64 - 13
Quad 48 - 412 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 298   Houston Christian W 65-57 78%    
  Nov 15, 2022 69   @ North Carolina St. L 66-80 11%    
  Nov 19, 2022 163   Bryant W 80-79 50%    
  Nov 23, 2022 258   Stony Brook W 76-71 68%    
  Nov 27, 2022 185   Eastern Washington W 76-75 53%    
  Nov 30, 2022 226   Eastern Michigan W 76-73 61%    
  Dec 04, 2022 203   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 74-78 36%    
  Dec 13, 2022 332   @ Howard W 79-74 67%    
  Dec 17, 2022 125   @ Florida Atlantic L 67-76 24%    
  Dec 21, 2022 348   Incarnate Word W 76-62 87%    
  Dec 31, 2022 79   @ North Texas L 54-67 14%    
  Jan 05, 2023 164   Charlotte W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 07, 2023 60   UAB L 70-79 24%    
  Jan 11, 2023 125   Florida Atlantic L 70-73 42%    
  Jan 14, 2023 107   @ Western Kentucky L 68-78 21%    
  Jan 16, 2023 79   North Texas L 57-64 28%    
  Jan 19, 2023 148   @ UTEP L 65-72 30%    
  Jan 21, 2023 249   @ Texas San Antonio L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 26, 2023 107   Western Kentucky L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 28, 2023 137   Middle Tennessee L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 02, 2023 164   @ Charlotte L 67-73 32%    
  Feb 04, 2023 60   @ UAB L 67-82 12%    
  Feb 09, 2023 121   Louisiana Tech L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 11, 2023 206   Rice W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 18, 2023 137   @ Middle Tennessee L 66-74 27%    
  Feb 23, 2023 148   UTEP L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 25, 2023 249   Texas San Antonio W 74-70 63%    
  Mar 02, 2023 121   @ Louisiana Tech L 67-76 23%    
  Mar 04, 2023 206   @ Rice L 71-75 37%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 1.8 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.3 2.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.1 3.0 0.8 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.7 4.8 3.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 12.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.1 5.2 3.0 0.7 0.0 14.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 3.1 5.0 4.6 2.1 0.4 0.0 16.3 10th
11th 1.3 3.2 4.8 4.3 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 17.5 11th
Total 1.3 3.4 5.8 7.6 9.3 10.3 10.6 10.3 9.4 8.1 6.9 5.4 4.1 3.0 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 97.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 78.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 54.9% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 24.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 8.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 83.3% 41.7% 41.7% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 71.4%
18-2 0.2% 69.4% 32.0% 37.4% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 55.0%
17-3 0.4% 39.5% 18.5% 21.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 25.8%
16-4 0.7% 27.8% 20.0% 7.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 9.8%
15-5 1.3% 15.9% 13.4% 2.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.8%
14-6 2.0% 10.8% 10.2% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.7%
13-7 3.0% 10.2% 10.0% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.7 0.2%
12-8 4.1% 5.4% 5.4% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.9
11-9 5.4% 4.9% 4.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.1
10-10 6.9% 3.4% 3.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.7
9-11 8.1% 2.7% 2.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.9
8-12 9.4% 1.8% 1.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 9.2
7-13 10.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.2
6-14 10.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.5
5-15 10.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.3
4-16 9.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.3
3-17 7.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.6
2-18 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.8
1-19 3.4% 3.4
0-20 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 2.7% 2.4% 0.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.6 97.3 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%