Preseason Rankings
Georgia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#97
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.1#114
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#132
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#77
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.8% 2.8% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 4.1% 6.3% 0.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.1% 21.0% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.1% 18.6% 4.8%
Average Seed 8.3 8.1 9.7
.500 or above 45.0% 57.8% 25.5%
.500 or above in Conference 29.1% 37.0% 17.0%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 17.8% 12.0% 26.7%
First Four2.7% 3.3% 1.7%
First Round13.9% 19.4% 5.4%
Second Round7.2% 10.4% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen2.6% 3.9% 0.6%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Away) - 60.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 8
Quad 23 - 55 - 12
Quad 34 - 29 - 15
Quad 44 - 013 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 169   @ Georgia St. W 72-69 61%    
  Nov 17, 2022 294   Northern Illinois W 78-61 93%    
  Nov 21, 2022 84   Utah L 70-71 46%    
  Nov 26, 2022 309   North Alabama W 80-62 94%    
  Nov 29, 2022 29   @ Iowa L 72-82 21%    
  Dec 02, 2022 199   Northeastern W 71-61 80%    
  Dec 06, 2022 106   Georgia W 77-73 63%    
  Dec 10, 2022 2   @ North Carolina L 68-84 9%    
  Dec 17, 2022 354   Alabama St. W 83-58 98%    
  Dec 21, 2022 65   Clemson W 70-69 50%    
  Dec 31, 2022 20   Virginia L 58-63 33%    
  Jan 04, 2023 32   Miami (FL) L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 07, 2023 42   @ Florida St. L 68-76 26%    
  Jan 10, 2023 40   @ Notre Dame L 67-75 25%    
  Jan 14, 2023 109   Pittsburgh W 69-64 64%    
  Jan 17, 2023 69   North Carolina St. W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 21, 2023 52   Syracuse L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 24, 2023 65   @ Clemson L 67-73 32%    
  Jan 28, 2023 7   Duke L 69-78 25%    
  Feb 01, 2023 73   @ Louisville L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 04, 2023 69   @ North Carolina St. L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 08, 2023 40   Notre Dame L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 11, 2023 67   @ Wake Forest L 73-79 33%    
  Feb 15, 2023 34   Virginia Tech L 65-68 40%    
  Feb 21, 2023 109   @ Pittsburgh L 66-67 45%    
  Feb 25, 2023 73   Louisville W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 28, 2023 52   @ Syracuse L 70-77 28%    
  Mar 04, 2023 86   @ Boston College L 66-70 38%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 2.8 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.6 3.1 0.9 0.1 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.6 1.4 0.1 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 8.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 2.5 4.1 2.6 0.6 0.0 10.5 13th
14th 0.1 1.0 3.0 3.8 2.3 0.6 0.0 10.9 14th
15th 0.9 2.5 3.4 3.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 11.9 15th
Total 0.9 2.7 4.5 6.7 8.3 9.4 10.3 10.0 9.3 8.8 7.6 6.3 5.0 3.7 2.7 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 87.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-3 51.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 27.6% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 10.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 37.4% 62.6% 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 13.6% 86.4% 2.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.5% 100.0% 11.6% 88.4% 3.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.1% 99.8% 11.3% 88.5% 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
15-5 1.8% 96.3% 10.4% 85.9% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.9%
14-6 2.7% 87.6% 5.9% 81.7% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 86.9%
13-7 3.7% 71.9% 5.4% 66.5% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 70.3%
12-8 5.0% 51.8% 4.6% 47.2% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.4 49.5%
11-9 6.3% 28.9% 3.6% 25.3% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.5 26.2%
10-10 7.6% 12.3% 2.6% 9.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 9.9%
9-11 8.8% 4.0% 2.2% 1.8% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 1.9%
8-12 9.3% 2.0% 1.9% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1 0.1%
7-13 10.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.9
6-14 10.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.2
5-15 9.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.3
4-16 8.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.3
3-17 6.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.6
2-18 4.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.5
1-19 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
0-20 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 15.1% 2.3% 12.8% 8.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 84.9 13.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%