IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Green Bay
Horizon
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-13.3	#347
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.0	#320
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.4	#343

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.9	#332

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.6%	2.4%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.2	15.8

.500 or above	4.3%	20.4%	3.3%
.500 or above in Conference	8.2%	25.1%	7.2%
Conference Champion	0.3%	1.5%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	44.8%	20.5%	46.2%

First Four	0.3%	0.7%	0.3%
First Round	0.3%	2.2%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Away) - 5.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 12
Quad 4	6 - 11	7 - 23

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	161	@ Indiana St.	L	61-78	6%
Nov 12, 2022	102	@ Georgetown	L	61-82	3%
Nov 15, 2022	41	@ Wisconsin	L	52-79	1%
Nov 18, 2022	321	Queens	L	68-71	38%
Nov 26, 2022	247	Illinois-Chicago	L	66-73	29%
Dec 01, 2022	306	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	66-68	44%
Dec 05, 2022	333	IUPUI	W	64-63	53%
Dec 06, 2022	54	@ Loyola Chicago	L	50-76	2%
Dec 10, 2022	289	UMKC	L	65-68	42%
Dec 13, 2022	357	@ St. Thomas	W	68-65	59%
Dec 16, 2022	57	@ Stanford	L	53-79	2%
Dec 18, 2022	204	@ Oregon St.	L	61-76	11%
Dec 29, 2022	229	@ Detroit Mercy	L	61-74	14%
Dec 31, 2022	214	@ Oakland	L	62-76	12%
Jan 05, 2023	197	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	62-77	11%
Jan 07, 2023	215	@ Cleveland St.	L	61-75	12%
Jan 12, 2023	171	Wright St.	L	65-75	20%
Jan 14, 2023	195	Northern Kentucky	L	60-69	23%
Jan 19, 2023	223	Youngstown St.	L	66-74	26%
Jan 21, 2023	277	Robert Morris	L	67-71	37%
Jan 26, 2023	195	@ Northern Kentucky	L	57-72	11%
Jan 28, 2023	171	@ Wright St.	L	62-78	10%
Feb 04, 2023	333	@ IUPUI	L	61-66	35%
Feb 06, 2023	306	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	63-71	27%
Feb 09, 2023	214	Oakland	L	65-73	25%
Feb 11, 2023	229	Detroit Mercy	L	64-71	28%
Feb 16, 2023	277	@ Robert Morris	L	64-74	21%
Feb 18, 2023	223	@ Youngstown St.	L	63-77	14%
Feb 23, 2023	215	Cleveland St.	L	64-72	26%
Feb 25, 2023	197	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	65-74	23%
Projected Record						7 - 23	5 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.6	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0						1.1	3rd
4th										0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0								1.7	4th
5th									0.1	0.4	1.0	0.9	0.3	0.0									2.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.8	1.5	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.0									4.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	1.3	2.4	1.8	0.5	0.0											6.2	7th
8th					0.1	0.8	2.4	3.4	2.1	0.5	0.0												9.3	8th
9th			0.0	0.5	2.4	4.5	4.7	2.3	0.6	0.0													15.1	9th
10th		0.4	2.5	5.8	7.3	5.1	2.2	0.4	0.0														23.6	10th
11th	5.0	9.2	9.5	7.0	3.4	1.0	0.1	0.0															35.2	11th

Total	5.0	9.6	12.1	13.3	13.1	11.3	9.6	7.6	5.9	4.3	3.1	2.0	1.4	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	95.7%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-4	62.4%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	26.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	7.6%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.9%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0					0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																							0.0
19-1	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
18-2	0.0%		14.6%	14.6%		11.0												0.0						0.0
17-3	0.1%		18.8%	18.8%		14.4															0.0	0.0		0.1
16-4	0.1%		14.3%	14.3%		14.4														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
15-5	0.2%		18.4%	18.4%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
14-6	0.5%		10.0%	10.0%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
13-7	0.8%		6.9%	6.9%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.8
12-8	1.4%		5.0%	5.0%		15.9																0.0	0.1	1.3
11-9	2.0%		3.7%	3.7%		16.0																0.0	0.1	1.9
10-10	3.1%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.1	3.0
9-11	4.3%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.2
8-12	5.9%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	5.8
7-13	7.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	7.6
6-14	9.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.6
5-15	11.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
4-16	13.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.1
3-17	13.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.3
2-18	12.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
1-19	9.6%																							9.6
0-20	5.0%																							5.0

Total	100%		0.6%	0.6%	0.0%	15.6												0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	99.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	2.1%