Preseason Rankings
Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#328
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.0#98
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#300
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#337
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.9% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 8.5% 28.9% 6.3%
.500 or above in Conference 13.0% 30.8% 11.1%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 35.2% 15.7% 37.3%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
First Round0.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Away) - 9.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 47 - 98 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 162   @ James Madison L 70-84 10%    
  Nov 16, 2022 192   @ East Carolina L 67-80 13%    
  Nov 21, 2022 129   @ UC Santa Barbara L 64-80 7%    
  Nov 22, 2022 309   North Alabama L 72-74 44%    
  Nov 26, 2022 67   @ Wake Forest L 67-89 3%    
  Nov 30, 2022 106   @ Georgia L 69-87 6%    
  Dec 03, 2022 332   Howard W 82-78 61%    
  Dec 07, 2022 297   Loyola Maryland W 69-68 51%    
  Dec 11, 2022 234   Bowling Green L 80-84 35%    
  Dec 17, 2022 190   Norfolk St. L 67-77 21%    
  Dec 18, 2022 241   Texas Southern L 69-76 27%    
  Dec 29, 2022 151   @ College of Charleston L 75-90 12%    
  Dec 31, 2022 179   @ UNC Wilmington L 66-79 14%    
  Jan 05, 2023 141   Hofstra L 73-82 23%    
  Jan 07, 2023 199   Northeastern L 66-72 31%    
  Jan 11, 2023 295   @ William & Mary L 72-78 32%    
  Jan 16, 2023 270   N.C. A&T L 72-74 44%    
  Jan 19, 2023 201   @ Drexel L 66-78 16%    
  Jan 21, 2023 260   @ Monmouth L 67-75 25%    
  Jan 26, 2023 153   Delaware L 69-77 25%    
  Jan 28, 2023 258   Stony Brook L 74-77 42%    
  Feb 02, 2023 295   William & Mary W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 04, 2023 190   Norfolk St. L 67-77 22%    
  Feb 08, 2023 118   @ Towson L 62-79 9%    
  Feb 11, 2023 151   College of Charleston L 78-87 25%    
  Feb 13, 2023 302   @ Elon L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 16, 2023 141   @ Hofstra L 70-85 12%    
  Feb 18, 2023 201   Drexel L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 23, 2023 260   Monmouth L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 25, 2023 270   @ N.C. A&T L 69-77 27%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.6 0.6 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.9 3.5 1.0 0.1 8.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 3.7 4.4 1.6 0.1 11.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.0 5.4 2.0 0.2 14.5 11th
12th 0.6 3.5 6.6 5.7 2.1 0.2 18.7 12th
13th 3.7 7.2 7.7 4.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 25.1 13th
Total 3.7 7.9 11.4 13.1 13.2 12.1 10.2 8.7 6.7 4.8 3.4 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 86.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 60.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 30.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 18.2% 9.1% 9.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0%
16-2 0.1% 19.2% 19.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 9.6% 9.6% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.4% 4.7% 4.7% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 0.8% 8.9% 8.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
12-6 1.3% 5.8% 5.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
11-7 2.1% 3.6% 3.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
10-8 3.4% 2.8% 2.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.3
9-9 4.8% 1.4% 1.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 4.7
8-10 6.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.6
7-11 8.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.6
6-12 10.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.2
5-13 12.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.1
4-14 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.2
3-15 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
2-16 11.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.4
1-17 7.9% 7.9
0-18 3.7% 3.7
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%