Preseason Rankings
Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#297
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.1#291
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#328
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#238
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 8.6% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.1 15.2
.500 or above 29.8% 67.7% 27.8%
.500 or above in Conference 38.1% 67.6% 36.4%
Conference Champion 3.6% 12.9% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 18.3% 5.8% 18.9%
First Four1.1% 1.0% 1.1%
First Round2.8% 8.1% 2.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 5.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 410 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 91   @ DePaul L 61-78 5%    
  Nov 10, 2022 66   @ Penn St. L 51-71 4%    
  Nov 13, 2022 240   Brown L 65-67 44%    
  Nov 21, 2022 65   @ Clemson L 56-76 5%    
  Nov 25, 2022 279   Southern L 67-69 44%    
  Nov 30, 2022 323   @ Binghamton L 67-68 47%    
  Dec 03, 2022 336   Coppin St. W 74-67 71%    
  Dec 07, 2022 328   @ Hampton L 68-69 49%    
  Dec 10, 2022 267   @ Mount St. Mary's L 59-64 33%    
  Dec 13, 2022 236   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 68-70 44%    
  Dec 30, 2022 113   Colgate L 63-72 24%    
  Jan 02, 2023 312   @ American L 63-65 44%    
  Jan 05, 2023 266   Army W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 08, 2023 317   @ Holy Cross L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 11, 2023 274   @ Bucknell L 68-73 35%    
  Jan 14, 2023 246   Navy L 61-62 46%    
  Jan 16, 2023 282   Lehigh W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 21, 2023 233   @ Boston University L 61-69 26%    
  Jan 25, 2023 271   @ Lafayette L 63-68 34%    
  Jan 28, 2023 274   Bucknell W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 30, 2023 113   @ Colgate L 60-75 12%    
  Feb 04, 2023 233   Boston University L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 08, 2023 266   @ Army L 65-71 33%    
  Feb 11, 2023 282   @ Lehigh L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 15, 2023 271   Lafayette W 66-65 53%    
  Feb 18, 2023 246   @ Navy L 58-65 28%    
  Feb 22, 2023 317   Holy Cross W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 25, 2023 312   American W 66-62 63%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.0 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.9 2.5 0.7 0.1 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.5 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.7 4.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.2 4.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.5 4.5 3.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 12.9 9th
10th 0.8 2.2 3.4 3.5 2.1 0.6 0.1 12.5 10th
Total 0.8 2.2 4.0 6.1 8.2 9.6 10.4 10.4 10.2 9.4 8.4 6.8 5.2 3.6 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 88.5% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 66.6% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 41.9% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.7% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 70.5% 64.8% 5.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.1%
17-1 0.3% 48.5% 48.5% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 37.2% 37.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.3% 25.7% 25.7% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.4% 17.3% 17.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.0
13-5 3.6% 13.6% 13.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 3.1
12-6 5.2% 8.2% 8.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 4.8
11-7 6.8% 4.6% 4.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.5
10-8 8.4% 3.8% 3.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 8.1
9-9 9.4% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.2
8-10 10.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.0
7-11 10.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.3
6-12 10.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.3
5-13 9.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.6
4-14 8.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.2
3-15 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
2-16 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
1-17 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.7 96.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%