IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
McNeese St.
Southland
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.0	#331
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.2	#58
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.0	#291

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.0	#346

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.5%	17.9%	5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.2	15.6

.500 or above	25.0%	64.7%	23.9%
.500 or above in Conference	46.7%	76.3%	45.9%
Conference Champion	6.5%	21.0%	6.1%
Last Place in Conference	13.6%	1.8%	13.9%

First Four	2.8%	4.4%	2.7%
First Round	3.9%	15.1%	3.6%
Second Round	0.1%	0.8%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 2.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 5
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 10	11 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2022	82	@ Tulane	L	67-88	3%
Nov 18, 2022	268	Western Carolina	L	77-79	42%
Nov 19, 2022	355	Lindenwood	W	80-71	77%
Nov 20, 2022	301	Lamar	W	74-73	51%
Nov 23, 2022	4	@ Baylor	L	61-93	0.3%
Nov 28, 2022	352	@ Tennessee Martin	W	80-78	56%
Nov 30, 2022	10	@ Tennessee	L	58-89	1%
Dec 09, 2022	132	@ Northern Iowa	L	67-83	9%
Dec 11, 2022	51	@ Iowa St.	L	59-83	3%
Dec 15, 2022	158	Louisiana	L	66-74	24%
Dec 18, 2022	299	@ Southern Miss	L	72-78	32%
Dec 21, 2022	5	@ Houston	L	54-86	0.5%
Dec 31, 2022	301	@ Lamar	L	70-76	32%
Jan 05, 2023	338	Northwestern St.	W	83-79	62%
Jan 07, 2023	343	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	76-71	65%
Jan 12, 2023	338	@ Northwestern St.	L	80-82	43%
Jan 14, 2023	298	Houston Christian	W	66-65	50%
Jan 19, 2023	220	@ Nicholls St.	L	72-84	18%
Jan 21, 2023	220	Nicholls St.	L	75-81	33%
Jan 26, 2023	348	@ Incarnate Word	L	73-74	48%
Jan 28, 2023	344	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	76-77	46%
Feb 02, 2023	301	Lamar	W	74-73	51%
Feb 04, 2023	343	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	L	73-74	46%
Feb 09, 2023	316	SE Louisiana	W	81-80	54%
Feb 11, 2023	286	@ New Orleans	L	78-84	30%
Feb 16, 2023	348	Incarnate Word	W	76-71	66%
Feb 18, 2023	344	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	79-74	65%
Feb 23, 2023	298	@ Houston Christian	L	62-68	32%
Feb 25, 2023	316	@ SE Louisiana	L	78-83	36%
Mar 01, 2023	286	New Orleans	L	81-82	48%
Projected Record						11 - 19	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.3	1.0	1.7	1.7	1.1	0.5	0.1		6.5	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.9	2.4	2.9	1.6	0.6	0.1				8.6	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.6	3.5	3.1	1.1	0.2	0.0					9.9	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.3	4.3	3.0	0.7	0.1	0.0						10.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.5	2.6	4.7	2.9	0.5	0.0								11.1	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	2.9	4.9	2.6	0.4	0.0									11.4	6th
7th					0.0	0.8	3.2	4.9	2.2	0.3	0.0										11.4	7th
8th				0.1	1.2	3.4	4.3	1.8	0.2	0.0											11.1	8th
9th		0.0	0.5	1.8	3.4	3.1	1.2	0.2													10.3	9th
10th	0.4	1.4	2.4	2.6	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.0													9.1	10th

Total	0.4	1.4	3.0	4.5	6.3	7.8	9.4	10.3	10.2	10.0	9.4	8.1	6.6	5.0	3.5	2.3	1.2	0.5	0.1			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
16-2	92.2%	1.1		0.9	0.2
15-3	74.9%	1.7		1.3	0.4	0.0
14-4	48.6%	1.7		0.9	0.7	0.1	0.0
13-5	19.3%	1.0		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0
12-6	4.6%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.5%	6.5		4.0	1.9	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		74.7%	74.7%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.5%		59.9%	59.9%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2
16-2	1.2%		43.8%	43.8%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.7
15-3	2.3%		36.1%	36.1%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	1.5
14-4	3.5%		22.4%	22.4%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	2.7
13-5	5.0%		15.0%	15.0%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.6	4.3
12-6	6.6%		10.7%	10.7%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.6	5.9
11-7	8.1%		6.8%	6.8%		16.0																0.0	0.5	7.5
10-8	9.4%		4.6%	4.6%		16.0																0.0	0.4	9.0
9-9	10.0%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																	0.3	9.7
8-10	10.2%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	10.1
7-11	10.3%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	10.2
6-12	9.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.3
5-13	7.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.8
4-14	6.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
3-15	4.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
2-16	3.0%																							3.0
1-17	1.4%																							1.4
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		5.5%	5.5%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	3.9	94.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%