IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
North Dakota
Summit League
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.9	#322
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.3	#175
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.2	#274

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.6	#343

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.4%	2.1%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	16.8%	26.1%	6.7%
.500 or above in Conference	29.6%	39.0%	19.5%
Conference Champion	1.1%	1.7%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	10.7%	6.5%	15.2%

First Four	0.6%	0.8%	0.4%
First Round	1.1%	1.7%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Away) - 52.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 10
Quad 4	9 - 9	10 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	348	@ Incarnate Word	W	72-71	52%
Nov 10, 2022	14	@ Creighton	L	58-86	1%
Nov 15, 2022	228	Pacific	L	71-75	36%
Nov 17, 2022	302	@ Elon	L	68-73	35%
Nov 20, 2022	140	Montana St.	L	69-78	23%
Nov 25, 2022	253	Utah Tech	L	63-65	42%
Nov 27, 2022	191	Cal St. Fullerton	L	68-74	30%
Nov 30, 2022	51	@ Iowa St.	L	58-81	3%
Dec 03, 2022	154	@ Portland	L	69-83	13%
Dec 06, 2022	342	@ Idaho	L	75-76	50%
Dec 10, 2022	173	Seattle	L	71-78	29%
Dec 19, 2022	357	@ St. Thomas	W	74-68	69%
Dec 21, 2022	288	@ Western Illinois	L	75-80	33%
Dec 30, 2022	216	North Dakota St.	L	69-74	35%
Jan 05, 2023	135	South Dakota	L	69-78	23%
Jan 07, 2023	134	South Dakota St.	L	75-84	23%
Jan 12, 2023	307	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	76-80	37%
Jan 14, 2023	346	@ Denver	W	73-72	51%
Jan 19, 2023	289	UMKC	W	72-71	52%
Jan 21, 2023	122	Oral Roberts	L	76-86	20%
Jan 27, 2023	216	@ North Dakota St.	L	66-77	20%
Feb 02, 2023	134	@ South Dakota St.	L	72-87	12%
Feb 04, 2023	135	@ South Dakota	L	66-81	12%
Feb 09, 2023	346	Denver	W	76-70	68%
Feb 11, 2023	307	Nebraska Omaha	W	79-77	56%
Feb 16, 2023	122	@ Oral Roberts	L	73-89	10%
Feb 18, 2023	289	@ UMKC	L	69-74	34%
Feb 23, 2023	288	Western Illinois	W	78-77	53%
Feb 25, 2023	357	St. Thomas	W	77-65	83%
Projected Record						10 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0				2.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	1.4	1.9	1.0	0.2	0.0					5.0	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.3	2.8	2.8	1.1	0.2	0.0						8.3	4th
5th							0.0	0.6	2.8	4.7	3.3	0.9	0.1								12.5	5th
6th						0.1	1.6	4.7	5.8	3.1	0.6	0.0									15.9	6th
7th					0.3	2.7	6.3	5.5	2.2	0.3	0.0										17.4	7th
8th			0.0	1.0	4.1	6.6	4.4	1.2	0.1	0.0											17.4	8th
9th		0.2	2.0	4.6	4.5	2.0	0.4	0.0													13.9	9th
10th	0.6	1.8	2.3	1.2	0.4	0.0	0.0														6.3	10th

Total	0.6	2.0	4.3	6.9	9.4	11.5	12.7	12.0	11.1	9.5	7.2	5.3	3.5	2.2	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	92.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-3	56.8%	0.3		0.2	0.2	0.0
14-4	26.9%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	5.4%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.1%	1.1		0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.1%		37.1%	37.1%		13.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
16-2	0.2%		31.8%	31.8%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.6%		17.9%	17.9%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
14-4	1.1%		8.2%	8.2%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0
13-5	2.2%		8.2%	8.2%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	2.0
12-6	3.5%		5.6%	5.6%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	3.3
11-7	5.3%		4.2%	4.2%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.1	5.1
10-8	7.2%		2.5%	2.5%		15.8																0.0	0.1	7.0
9-9	9.5%		1.4%	1.4%		15.9																0.0	0.1	9.3
8-10	11.1%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	11.0
7-11	12.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	12.0
6-12	12.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.7
5-13	11.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
4-14	9.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.4
3-15	6.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.9
2-16	4.3%																							4.3
1-17	2.0%																							2.0
0-18	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		1.4%	1.4%	0.0%	15.4													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.8	98.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%