Preseason Rankings
Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#221
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.6#87
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#177
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#251
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 10.4% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.7 14.5
.500 or above 58.0% 71.0% 46.5%
.500 or above in Conference 58.9% 72.6% 46.8%
Conference Champion 8.1% 13.3% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 2.9% 9.4%
First Four1.1% 1.0% 1.2%
First Round7.5% 10.0% 5.3%
Second Round0.7% 1.1% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Home) - 46.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 63 - 9
Quad 412 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 13, 2022 145   St. Peter's L 68-69 47%    
  Nov 07, 2022 112   @ Rhode Island L 68-77 20%    
  Nov 10, 2022 359   @ Stonehill W 79-65 90%    
  Nov 13, 2022 349   @ Central Connecticut St. W 76-67 78%    
  Nov 15, 2022 257   Dartmouth W 72-66 69%    
  Nov 25, 2022 166   Stephen F. Austin L 74-76 42%    
  Nov 26, 2022 140   Montana St. L 73-77 37%    
  Nov 27, 2022 141   Hofstra L 76-80 37%    
  Dec 04, 2022 239   Niagara W 71-67 63%    
  Dec 07, 2022 317   @ Holy Cross W 77-73 63%    
  Dec 10, 2022 271   Lafayette W 75-69 70%    
  Dec 18, 2022 145   @ St. Peter's L 65-72 29%    
  Dec 22, 2022 66   @ Penn St. L 60-74 13%    
  Dec 30, 2022 244   Siena W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 01, 2023 227   @ Manhattan L 75-77 42%    
  Jan 06, 2023 218   @ Rider L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 08, 2023 101   Iona L 75-79 37%    
  Jan 15, 2023 267   @ Mount St. Mary's W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 22, 2023 290   Canisius W 79-71 75%    
  Jan 29, 2023 101   @ Iona L 72-82 21%    
  Jan 31, 2023 296   Marist W 75-66 76%    
  Feb 03, 2023 222   Fairfield W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 05, 2023 267   Mount St. Mary's W 71-65 69%    
  Feb 10, 2023 239   @ Niagara L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 12, 2023 290   @ Canisius W 76-74 58%    
  Feb 17, 2023 244   @ Siena L 70-72 45%    
  Feb 19, 2023 218   Rider W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 26, 2023 227   Manhattan W 78-74 61%    
  Mar 02, 2023 222   @ Fairfield L 68-71 41%    
  Mar 04, 2023 296   @ Marist W 72-69 58%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.0 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 8.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.9 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.2 4.4 2.5 0.6 0.1 11.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.4 4.3 2.0 0.4 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.7 3.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.6 3.4 1.2 0.1 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.2 2.9 0.9 0.1 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.7 2.1 0.7 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.9 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.0 4.5 5.6 7.2 8.6 9.1 9.5 9.8 9.6 8.4 7.2 5.5 3.9 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
18-2 93.8% 1.3    1.2 0.2 0.0
17-3 74.6% 2.0    1.4 0.5 0.0
16-4 49.9% 2.0    1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
15-5 24.1% 1.3    0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 8.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.1% 8.1 5.2 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 72.3% 57.0% 15.2% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 35.5%
19-1 0.6% 59.1% 52.4% 6.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 14.1%
18-2 1.4% 41.0% 38.8% 2.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 3.6%
17-3 2.7% 29.4% 29.1% 0.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.4%
16-4 3.9% 25.5% 25.4% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.9 0.2%
15-5 5.5% 18.8% 18.7% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.5 0.1%
14-6 7.2% 14.0% 14.0% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 6.2
13-7 8.4% 9.8% 9.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 7.6
12-8 9.6% 7.6% 7.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 8.9
11-9 9.8% 6.0% 6.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 9.2
10-10 9.5% 4.2% 4.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.1
9-11 9.1% 2.5% 2.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.9
8-12 8.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 8.4
7-13 7.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.1
6-14 5.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.6
5-15 4.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.5
4-16 3.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.0
3-17 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.0% 7.9% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.6 92.0 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 90.0% 5.0 20.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 10.0
Lose Out 0.0%