Preseason Rankings
Radford
Big South
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#293
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.8#324
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#317
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#255
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 11.6% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.2 15.2
.500 or above 21.6% 59.8% 20.4%
.500 or above in Conference 39.0% 71.0% 38.0%
Conference Champion 3.5% 12.6% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 13.4% 2.2% 13.8%
First Four1.3% 2.1% 1.3%
First Round2.9% 10.2% 2.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 49 - 811 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 63   @ Marquette L 61-81 3%    
  Nov 10, 2022 40   @ Notre Dame L 56-78 2%    
  Nov 20, 2022 266   Army L 67-69 42%    
  Nov 23, 2022 295   @ William & Mary L 67-70 41%    
  Nov 27, 2022 302   @ Elon L 63-66 41%    
  Dec 01, 2022 340   NC Central W 70-62 74%    
  Dec 04, 2022 196   George Washington L 66-70 38%    
  Dec 10, 2022 272   @ VMI L 68-73 34%    
  Dec 14, 2022 75   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 56-75 6%    
  Dec 17, 2022 219   @ Eastern Kentucky L 67-76 24%    
  Dec 21, 2022 68   @ Kansas St. L 56-75 6%    
  Dec 29, 2022 211   @ UNC Asheville L 63-72 23%    
  Dec 31, 2022 310   Presbyterian W 65-61 63%    
  Jan 04, 2023 345   South Carolina Upstate W 72-64 74%    
  Jan 07, 2023 237   @ Gardner-Webb L 60-68 27%    
  Jan 11, 2023 174   @ Winthrop L 63-74 20%    
  Jan 14, 2023 335   Charleston Southern W 71-65 70%    
  Jan 18, 2023 256   @ Campbell L 58-64 31%    
  Jan 21, 2023 255   High Point L 65-66 49%    
  Jan 25, 2023 152   Longwood L 63-69 33%    
  Jan 28, 2023 345   @ South Carolina Upstate W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 01, 2023 310   @ Presbyterian L 62-64 44%    
  Feb 04, 2023 174   Winthrop L 66-71 36%    
  Feb 08, 2023 237   Gardner-Webb L 63-65 45%    
  Feb 11, 2023 335   @ Charleston Southern W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 15, 2023 211   UNC Asheville L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 18, 2023 152   @ Longwood L 60-72 18%    
  Feb 22, 2023 255   @ High Point L 63-69 31%    
  Feb 25, 2023 256   Campbell L 61-62 50%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 3.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.7 3.1 0.9 0.1 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.6 3.1 0.7 0.1 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.2 5.4 3.0 0.6 0.0 12.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.3 5.4 2.5 0.4 0.0 14.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.8 4.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 14.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.0 4.3 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 12.2 9th
10th 0.5 1.6 2.7 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 8.7 10th
Total 0.5 1.7 3.6 5.7 8.0 9.5 10.4 10.9 10.8 9.7 8.5 6.9 5.4 3.8 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 92.2% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 72.8% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 39.7% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 53.5% 53.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 38.6% 38.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 38.5% 38.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.4% 27.4% 27.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.4% 20.6% 20.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.9
13-5 3.8% 13.1% 13.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 3.3
12-6 5.4% 9.2% 9.2% 15.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 4.9
11-7 6.9% 5.9% 5.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 6.5
10-8 8.5% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 8.2
9-9 9.7% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.4
8-10 10.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.6
7-11 10.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.8
6-12 10.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.3
5-13 9.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.4
4-14 8.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.0
3-15 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.7
2-16 3.6% 3.6
1-17 1.7% 1.7
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.8 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%