Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#97
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#177
Pace63.8#308
Improvement-0.4#301

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#81
First Shot+1.8#114
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#79
Layup/Dunks-0.2#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#223
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement-0.4#349

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#128
First Shot+1.0#150
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#151
Layups/Dunks+4.9#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#241
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#337
Freethrows+2.6#45
Improvement+0.1#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 7.8% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.7% 5.4% 1.5%
Average Seed 11.2 10.6 11.9
.500 or above 44.1% 62.2% 35.6%
.500 or above in Conference 37.2% 55.3% 28.7%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 1.8% 7.1%
First Four1.3% 2.0% 0.9%
First Round4.1% 6.8% 2.8%
Second Round1.2% 2.3% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Notre Dame (Away) - 32.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 7
Quad 23 - 44 - 11
Quad 35 - 49 - 15
Quad 46 - 115 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 296   Lehigh W 90-72 92%     1 - 0 +7.4 +9.6 -2.9
  Nov 15, 2022 121   Colgate L 68-80 68%     1 - 1 -11.6 -4.7 -7.4
  Nov 19, 2022 257   Northeastern W 76-48 88%     2 - 1 +20.3 +3.2 +17.3
  Nov 21, 2022 100   Richmond W 74-71 OT 51%     3 - 1 +7.9 +8.8 -0.7
  Nov 23, 2022 42   St. John's L 69-76 OT 31%     3 - 2 +3.3 -4.2 +8.1
  Nov 26, 2022 111   Bryant L 72-73 66%     3 - 3 +0.0 -4.7 +4.7
  Nov 29, 2022 10   @ Illinois L 44-73 8%     3 - 4 -8.6 -15.0 +5.3
  Dec 03, 2022 77   @ Notre Dame L 66-71 32%    
  Dec 06, 2022 301   Oakland W 81-65 93%    
  Dec 10, 2022 178   Georgetown W 76-67 79%    
  Dec 12, 2022 329   Monmouth W 78-59 96%    
  Dec 17, 2022 181   Cornell W 79-70 79%    
  Dec 20, 2022 106   Pittsburgh W 70-66 64%    
  Dec 30, 2022 151   Boston College W 68-61 74%    
  Jan 03, 2023 210   @ Louisville W 68-63 65%    
  Jan 07, 2023 14   @ Virginia L 55-69 9%    
  Jan 11, 2023 59   Virginia Tech L 65-66 48%    
  Jan 14, 2023 77   Notre Dame W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 16, 2023 36   @ Miami (FL) L 66-75 22%    
  Jan 21, 2023 113   @ Georgia Tech L 65-67 44%    
  Jan 24, 2023 22   North Carolina L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 28, 2023 59   @ Virginia Tech L 62-69 28%    
  Jan 30, 2023 14   Virginia L 58-66 22%    
  Feb 04, 2023 151   @ Boston College W 65-64 53%    
  Feb 08, 2023 188   @ Florida St. W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 14, 2023 31   North Carolina St. L 72-76 34%    
  Feb 18, 2023 18   Duke L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 22, 2023 76   @ Clemson L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 25, 2023 106   @ Pittsburgh L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 28, 2023 113   Georgia Tech W 68-64 65%    
  Mar 04, 2023 66   Wake Forest W 73-72 50%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.2 1.4 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.8 1.2 0.1 5.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.0 2.9 0.5 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.8 4.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.9 1.8 0.1 0.0 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.5 2.5 0.2 0.0 11.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.5 2.9 0.5 0.0 10.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.5 15th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.5 7.2 9.8 11.7 13.3 12.8 11.7 9.2 6.9 4.4 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 85.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 77.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 42.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 13.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.2% 95.5% 10.7% 84.8% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.0%
16-4 0.6% 82.8% 11.4% 71.4% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 80.5%
15-5 1.4% 56.9% 6.7% 50.2% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 53.8%
14-6 2.7% 31.2% 4.9% 26.4% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.9 27.7%
13-7 4.4% 12.9% 3.8% 9.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.8 9.4%
12-8 6.9% 5.4% 3.3% 2.1% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 6.6 2.2%
11-9 9.2% 2.8% 2.7% 0.2% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.9 0.2%
10-10 11.7% 2.4% 2.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.4
9-11 12.8% 2.1% 2.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.5
8-12 13.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.6 0.1 0.1 13.1
7-13 11.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.6
6-14 9.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.7
5-15 7.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.2
4-16 4.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.5
3-17 2.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.6% 2.0% 2.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 95.4 2.7%