Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#106
Expected Predictive Rating+3.9#119
Pace74.6#63
Improvement+0.0#214

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#31
First Shot+3.3#85
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#22
Layup/Dunks-3.8#306
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+11.7#1
Freethrows-3.3#336
Improvement-0.1#275

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#257
First Shot-1.7#229
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#245
Layups/Dunks+3.9#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#252
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#203
Freethrows-4.6#345
Improvement+0.1#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 1.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 56.1% 61.0% 50.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.8% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 12.8 13.7
.500 or above 96.5% 98.7% 93.7%
.500 or above in Conference 98.4% 99.1% 97.5%
Conference Champion 63.6% 69.5% 56.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four1.1% 0.8% 1.5%
First Round55.6% 60.6% 49.4%
Second Round8.7% 11.1% 5.8%
Sweet Sixteen2.4% 3.0% 1.5%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Away) - 55.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 34 - 24 - 6
Quad 414 - 218 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 32   @ St. Mary's L 70-78 15%     0 - 1 +7.4 +8.9 -1.5
  Nov 14, 2022 1   @ Houston L 45-83 4%     0 - 2 -13.6 -9.8 -5.6
  Nov 15, 2022 252   @ Texas Southern W 82-64 71%     1 - 2 +16.6 +10.8 +5.9
  Nov 22, 2022 48   @ Utah St. L 85-95 21%     1 - 3 +2.8 +4.2 -0.1
  Dec 03, 2022 168   @ Tulsa W 83-82 56%    
  Dec 10, 2022 317   Central Arkansas W 93-76 94%    
  Dec 12, 2022 128   Liberty W 78-73 66%    
  Dec 16, 2022 114   Missouri St. W 75-71 62%    
  Dec 19, 2022 140   South Dakota St. W 84-79 69%    
  Dec 21, 2022 230   South Dakota W 84-73 84%    
  Dec 29, 2022 289   @ Nebraska Omaha W 85-77 76%    
  Dec 31, 2022 300   @ Denver W 85-76 80%    
  Jan 07, 2023 282   UMKC W 80-67 88%    
  Jan 12, 2023 301   Western Illinois W 90-75 91%    
  Jan 14, 2023 290   St. Thomas W 86-72 89%    
  Jan 19, 2023 302   @ North Dakota St. W 85-76 79%    
  Jan 21, 2023 297   @ North Dakota W 83-74 78%    
  Jan 26, 2023 300   Denver W 88-73 91%    
  Jan 28, 2023 289   Nebraska Omaha W 88-74 90%    
  Feb 04, 2023 282   @ UMKC W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 09, 2023 290   @ St. Thomas W 83-75 76%    
  Feb 11, 2023 301   @ Western Illinois W 87-78 78%    
  Feb 16, 2023 297   North Dakota W 86-71 90%    
  Feb 18, 2023 302   North Dakota St. W 88-73 91%    
  Feb 23, 2023 230   @ South Dakota W 81-76 66%    
  Feb 25, 2023 140   @ South Dakota St. L 81-82 49%    
Projected Record 18 - 8 14 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.7 9.3 14.7 16.5 12.7 5.8 63.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.4 6.7 6.0 3.1 0.7 22.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.4 1.2 0.3 7.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.1 4th
5th 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 3.1 5.2 7.8 11.7 15.5 17.8 17.2 12.7 5.8 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 5.8    5.8
17-1 100.0% 12.7    12.5 0.2
16-2 95.7% 16.5    14.8 1.7 0.0
15-3 82.8% 14.7    11.4 3.3 0.1
14-4 59.8% 9.3    5.8 3.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 31.6% 3.7    1.5 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.0
12-6 11.2% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
11-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 63.6% 63.6 51.9 10.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 5.8% 89.2% 85.0% 4.2% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.6 27.7%
17-1 12.7% 78.3% 77.2% 1.2% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.3 3.6 0.8 0.0 2.8 5.2%
16-2 17.2% 68.6% 68.6% 0.1% 13.0 0.2 2.9 6.0 2.5 0.1 5.4 0.3%
15-3 17.8% 60.8% 60.8% 13.4 0.0 1.2 4.6 4.5 0.6 0.0 7.0
14-4 15.5% 51.7% 51.7% 13.8 0.2 2.4 4.2 1.1 0.1 7.5
13-5 11.7% 43.6% 43.6% 14.2 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.6 0.1 6.6
12-6 7.8% 35.8% 35.8% 14.6 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.3 5.0
11-7 5.2% 27.6% 27.6% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.4 3.7
10-8 3.1% 18.5% 18.5% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.5
9-9 1.7% 17.4% 17.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.4
8-10 0.9% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.1 0.8
7-11 0.4% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4
6-12 0.1% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
5-13 0.1% 0.0 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 56.1% 55.7% 0.4% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 2.7 9.9 18.4 15.8 5.9 1.6 43.9 0.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.5% 94.5% 8.7 0.8 3.2 6.1 13.4 7.7 10.1 10.8 12.2 20.5 8.9 0.8