Tulsa
American Athletic
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#169
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#228
Pace75.7#49
Improvement-0.4#291

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#156
First Shot+0.2#166
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#149
Layup/Dunks-1.6#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#129
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#119
Freethrows-1.0#234
Improvement-0.2#248

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#199
First Shot+0.2#169
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#242
Layups/Dunks-6.3#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#158
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#42
Freethrows+1.5#100
Improvement-0.2#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.7 15.7
.500 or above 14.5% 23.1% 7.7%
.500 or above in Conference 17.8% 22.8% 13.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 24.6% 19.7% 28.4%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oral Roberts (Home) - 44.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 34 - 76 - 16
Quad 46 - 211 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 217   @ Oregon St. L 70-73 50%     0 - 1 -3.1 -4.1 +1.0
  Nov 12, 2022 308   Jackson St. W 85-79 86%     1 - 1 -5.5 -3.5 -2.7
  Nov 17, 2022 171   Loyola Chicago W 85-66 50%     2 - 1 +18.9 +11.8 +6.5
  Nov 18, 2022 124   Charlotte L 65-68 37%     2 - 2 +0.2 +6.7 -7.0
  Nov 20, 2022 98   Murray St. L 60-77 31%     2 - 3 -12.0 -13.7 +2.7
  Nov 25, 2022 41   @ Oklahoma St. L 56-82 11%     2 - 4 -12.7 -10.7 -0.6
  Dec 03, 2022 105   Oral Roberts L 82-84 44%    
  Dec 07, 2022 197   Detroit Mercy W 79-74 66%    
  Dec 10, 2022 244   Central Michigan W 81-74 74%    
  Dec 16, 2022 363   Mississippi Valley W 84-62 98%    
  Dec 21, 2022 132   @ Loyola Marymount L 73-79 31%    
  Dec 28, 2022 1   Houston L 57-75 5%    
  Jan 01, 2023 155   @ SMU L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 04, 2023 107   @ Tulane L 73-80 25%    
  Jan 10, 2023 96   Temple L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 14, 2023 95   @ Wichita St. L 65-73 23%    
  Jan 18, 2023 155   SMU W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 21, 2023 107   Tulane L 76-77 45%    
  Jan 24, 2023 207   @ East Carolina L 75-76 46%    
  Jan 29, 2023 30   Memphis L 70-80 19%    
  Feb 01, 2023 89   @ Cincinnati L 72-81 21%    
  Feb 05, 2023 95   Wichita St. L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 08, 2023 1   @ Houston L 54-78 2%    
  Feb 11, 2023 75   @ Central Florida L 62-72 18%    
  Feb 15, 2023 187   South Florida W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 19, 2023 96   @ Temple L 69-77 23%    
  Feb 21, 2023 207   East Carolina W 78-73 67%    
  Feb 26, 2023 75   Central Florida L 65-69 35%    
  Mar 01, 2023 187   @ South Florida L 68-70 42%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.9 3.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 4.8 2.2 0.2 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.9 3.4 0.3 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.1 2.1 6.4 4.5 0.6 0.0 13.7 8th
9th 0.2 2.5 6.8 5.3 0.9 0.0 15.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.1 6.7 5.2 1.0 0.0 16.5 10th
11th 0.4 2.0 4.1 5.2 3.3 0.7 0.0 15.7 11th
Total 0.4 2.0 4.6 8.5 12.5 14.8 14.7 13.6 11.0 7.8 4.9 2.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 77.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 45.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 10.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 2.9% 2.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 2.8% 2.2% 0.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6%
12-6 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 1.3
11-7 2.9% 1.8% 1.8% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
10-8 4.9% 1.6% 1.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
9-9 7.8% 0.9% 0.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7
8-10 11.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 10.8
7-11 13.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.5
6-12 14.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.6
5-13 14.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.8
4-14 12.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.5
3-15 8.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.5
2-16 4.6% 4.6
1-17 2.0% 2.0
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 99.4 0.0%