Wright St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#186
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#205
Pace75.2#55
Improvement-0.2#315

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#191
First Shot+2.0#109
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#314
Layup/Dunks-2.9#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+11.9#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#317
Freethrows-2.1#294
Improvement-0.1#270

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#184
First Shot-1.6#227
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#97
Layups/Dunks-1.2#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#284
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#263
Freethrows+3.2#33
Improvement-0.1#282
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.0% 18.5% 11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 80.7% 89.7% 70.8%
.500 or above in Conference 82.4% 90.9% 73.0%
Conference Champion 13.0% 19.8% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four2.6% 2.3% 2.9%
First Round13.9% 17.5% 9.9%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Home) - 52.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 64 - 7
Quad 413 - 517 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 119   Davidson L 97-102 2OT 44%     0 - 1 -4.4 -1.0 -2.3
  Nov 12, 2022 213   @ Louisville W 73-72 45%     1 - 1 +1.2 -3.7 +4.8
  Nov 15, 2022 280   Bowling Green W 80-71 78%     2 - 1 +0.1 -4.7 +3.9
  Nov 21, 2022 238   Abilene Christian W 77-61 61%     3 - 1 +12.1 -3.2 +13.9
  Nov 22, 2022 158   UC Riverside L 65-70 44%     3 - 2 -4.4 -7.8 +3.5
  Nov 23, 2022 260   Weber St. W 87-65 65%     4 - 2 +17.1 +10.9 +6.2
  Dec 01, 2022 249   Robert Morris L 59-80 73%     4 - 3 0 - 1 -28.3 -15.3 -13.8
  Dec 04, 2022 147   Youngstown St. W 77-76 52%    
  Dec 10, 2022 127   @ Western Kentucky L 71-78 26%    
  Dec 14, 2022 137   @ Akron L 63-69 28%    
  Dec 22, 2022 287   @ Miami (OH) W 79-76 59%    
  Dec 29, 2022 222   @ Northern Kentucky L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 02, 2023 359   @ IUPUI W 79-66 88%    
  Jan 06, 2023 177   Detroit Mercy W 76-73 59%    
  Jan 08, 2023 307   Oakland W 84-74 82%    
  Jan 12, 2023 362   @ Green Bay W 77-63 89%    
  Jan 14, 2023 226   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 19, 2023 216   Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 21, 2023 191   Cleveland St. W 69-66 62%    
  Jan 26, 2023 226   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-72 69%    
  Jan 28, 2023 362   Green Bay W 80-60 96%    
  Feb 02, 2023 147   @ Youngstown St. L 74-79 31%    
  Feb 04, 2023 249   @ Robert Morris W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 08, 2023 359   IUPUI W 82-63 95%    
  Feb 10, 2023 222   Northern Kentucky W 69-64 68%    
  Feb 17, 2023 191   @ Cleveland St. L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 19, 2023 216   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 23, 2023 307   @ Oakland W 81-77 65%    
  Feb 25, 2023 177   @ Detroit Mercy L 73-76 39%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.6 3.7 4.1 2.4 0.8 0.1 13.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.0 4.2 1.1 0.2 14.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 6.7 4.0 0.7 0.0 14.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.3 4.3 0.6 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 5.4 5.0 0.6 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.9 4.6 0.8 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.6 3.5 0.8 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.7 2.5 0.7 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.8 5.0 7.7 10.8 13.0 14.8 14.2 12.2 8.7 5.2 2.6 0.8 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
17-3 94.1% 2.4    2.1 0.3 0.0
16-4 78.9% 4.1    2.6 1.4 0.1
15-5 43.1% 3.7    1.2 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-6 13.2% 1.6    0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.0% 13.0 7.1 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 57.1% 53.6% 3.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.7%
18-2 0.8% 46.7% 46.7% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5
17-3 2.6% 42.5% 42.5% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 1.5
16-4 5.2% 34.9% 34.9% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 3.4
15-5 8.7% 29.6% 29.6% 14.6 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.3 6.1
14-6 12.2% 21.8% 21.8% 15.1 0.1 0.5 1.4 0.8 9.5
13-7 14.2% 16.2% 16.2% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 11.9
12-8 14.8% 11.6% 11.6% 15.6 0.1 0.6 1.1 13.1
11-9 13.0% 9.6% 9.6% 15.8 0.2 1.1 11.8
10-10 10.8% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 10.2
9-11 7.7% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.4
8-12 5.0% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.2 4.7
7-13 2.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 2.8
6-14 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
5-15 0.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 15.0% 15.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 5.2 5.4 85.0 0.0%