Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#271
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#282
Pace75.9#47
Improvement-0.4#309

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#254
First Shot-5.4#327
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#32
Layup/Dunks-2.0#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#290
Freethrows-1.2#255
Improvement-0.4#348

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#265
First Shot-4.2#299
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#92
Layups/Dunks-3.6#296
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#315
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#189
Freethrows+1.3#113
Improvement+0.0#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 11.3% 15.7% 4.7%
.500 or above in Conference 21.7% 25.0% 16.7%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 18.8% 15.8% 23.3%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Home) - 59.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 49 - 711 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 219   Air Force W 62-58 52%     1 - 0 -2.2 -10.7 +8.6
  Nov 11, 2022 301   @ Oakland W 87-82 47%     2 - 0 +0.2 +5.7 -5.5
  Nov 15, 2022 144   @ Wright St. L 71-80 17%     2 - 1 -4.3 -5.6 +2.1
  Nov 19, 2022 108   @ St. Bonaventure L 68-81 12%     2 - 2 -5.6 -1.1 -4.3
  Nov 22, 2022 77   @ Notre Dame L 66-82 8%     2 - 3 -6.0 -1.3 -5.7
  Nov 26, 2022 222   Southern Indiana L 57-69 53%     2 - 4 -18.2 -19.0 +0.9
  Nov 29, 2022 243   Queens L 66-72 56%     2 - 5 -13.1 -12.1 -1.1
  Dec 03, 2022 262   Morgan St. W 78-75 60%    
  Dec 11, 2022 334   @ Hampton W 78-75 62%    
  Dec 14, 2022 218   @ Norfolk St. L 71-76 31%    
  Dec 17, 2022 328   Tennessee Martin W 84-75 79%    
  Jan 03, 2023 263   @ Eastern Michigan L 77-80 38%    
  Jan 07, 2023 157   Ohio L 73-76 38%    
  Jan 10, 2023 137   Akron L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 14, 2023 312   @ Western Michigan W 75-74 51%    
  Jan 17, 2023 190   @ Buffalo L 77-84 25%    
  Jan 21, 2023 286   Miami (OH) W 80-76 64%    
  Jan 24, 2023 244   @ Central Michigan L 75-79 35%    
  Jan 28, 2023 102   @ Toledo L 78-91 11%    
  Jan 31, 2023 186   Ball St. L 76-78 44%    
  Feb 04, 2023 266   Northern Illinois W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 07, 2023 54   @ Kent St. L 64-82 6%    
  Feb 11, 2023 186   @ Ball St. L 73-81 25%    
  Feb 14, 2023 244   Central Michigan W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 18, 2023 102   Toledo L 81-88 26%    
  Feb 21, 2023 286   @ Miami (OH) L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 25, 2023 54   Kent St. L 67-79 15%    
  Feb 28, 2023 263   Eastern Michigan W 80-77 59%    
  Mar 03, 2023 157   @ Ohio L 70-79 20%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.8 2.7 0.6 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.0 1.0 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.1 1.4 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.2 3.0 6.5 2.5 0.2 0.0 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.7 3.5 0.4 0.0 13.7 9th
10th 0.3 2.7 6.6 4.2 0.6 0.0 14.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.9 5.7 3.7 0.6 0.0 13.6 11th
12th 0.3 1.2 3.2 3.8 2.1 0.5 0.0 11.1 12th
Total 0.3 1.2 3.9 7.1 10.7 13.8 15.0 14.4 12.0 9.0 6.3 3.5 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 62.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 37.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.1
14-4 0.3% 6.1% 6.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.9% 2.5% 2.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
12-6 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 1.6
11-7 3.5% 2.4% 2.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 3.4
10-8 6.3% 1.9% 1.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 6.1
9-9 9.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.9
8-10 12.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.0
7-11 14.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.4
6-12 15.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.9
5-13 13.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.7
4-14 10.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.7
3-15 7.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.1
2-16 3.9% 3.9
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 99.4 0.0%