Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#129
Expected Predictive Rating+7.3#78
Pace67.7#215
Improvement-0.3#269

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#86
First Shot+3.5#79
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#198
Layup/Dunks-1.9#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#155
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#36
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement+0.1#82

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#196
First Shot+2.1#113
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#318
Layups/Dunks+0.2#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#239
Freethrows+1.9#75
Improvement-0.4#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 8.0% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 1.4% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.6 12.4 13.3
.500 or above 82.6% 88.9% 71.0%
.500 or above in Conference 66.9% 71.4% 58.6%
Conference Champion 5.3% 6.4% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.9% 1.9%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.4%
First Round6.4% 7.5% 4.2%
Second Round1.1% 1.4% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Home) - 64.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 36 - 59 - 10
Quad 49 - 118 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 247   @ Eastern Kentucky W 66-60 65%     1 - 0 +4.7 -7.8 +12.4
  Nov 21, 2022 137   Akron L 53-72 52%     1 - 1 -16.7 -7.9 -12.4
  Nov 22, 2022 280   Illinois St. W 78-66 80%     2 - 1 +6.0 +9.3 -2.3
  Nov 23, 2022 107   Tulane W 71-65 44%     3 - 1 +10.4 +2.7 +8.0
  Nov 26, 2022 347   South Carolina St. W 90-64 95%     4 - 1 +9.8 +6.2 +3.1
  Nov 30, 2022 277   @ Austin Peay W 75-74 71%     5 - 1 -1.8 +6.6 -8.3
  Dec 10, 2022 144   Wright St. W 77-73 65%    
  Dec 14, 2022 210   @ Louisville W 70-68 59%    
  Dec 22, 2022 232   @ South Carolina W 70-67 62%    
  Dec 29, 2022 278   Rice W 82-70 86%    
  Dec 31, 2022 127   @ Middle Tennessee L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 05, 2023 82   North Texas L 61-62 48%    
  Jan 07, 2023 307   @ Texas San Antonio W 75-67 77%    
  Jan 11, 2023 45   @ UAB L 76-86 17%    
  Jan 14, 2023 241   Florida International W 81-71 81%    
  Jan 16, 2023 68   Florida Atlantic L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 19, 2023 119   @ Louisiana Tech L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 21, 2023 124   Charlotte W 65-62 59%    
  Jan 26, 2023 241   @ Florida International W 78-74 64%    
  Jan 28, 2023 68   @ Florida Atlantic L 68-76 24%    
  Feb 02, 2023 307   Texas San Antonio W 78-64 89%    
  Feb 04, 2023 189   UTEP W 71-64 73%    
  Feb 09, 2023 127   Middle Tennessee W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 16, 2023 124   @ Charlotte L 62-65 38%    
  Feb 18, 2023 278   @ Rice W 79-73 69%    
  Feb 23, 2023 119   Louisiana Tech W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 25, 2023 45   UAB L 79-83 36%    
  Mar 02, 2023 189   @ UTEP W 68-67 53%    
  Mar 04, 2023 82   @ North Texas L 58-65 27%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.1 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 9.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.9 3.4 1.0 0.1 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.7 5.9 3.5 0.7 0.0 14.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.3 6.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 15.6 5th
6th 0.2 1.3 4.4 5.6 2.7 0.3 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.0 4.3 1.8 0.3 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.0 2.8 1.0 0.1 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.9 6.1 8.6 10.9 12.7 13.7 12.1 10.5 7.5 5.2 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 97.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1
17-3 82.1% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0
16-4 55.3% 1.7    0.8 0.7 0.1
15-5 25.3% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0
14-6 5.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.9 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 77.6% 28.9% 48.7% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 68.5%
18-2 0.5% 61.3% 22.9% 38.3% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 49.7%
17-3 1.5% 41.2% 19.8% 21.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 26.6%
16-4 3.0% 23.8% 16.4% 7.4% 11.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 8.9%
15-5 5.2% 16.6% 14.7% 1.9% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.4 2.2%
14-6 7.5% 11.6% 11.2% 0.4% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.7 0.5%
13-7 10.5% 8.0% 7.9% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 9.7 0.1%
12-8 12.1% 6.1% 6.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 11.3
11-9 13.7% 4.7% 4.7% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 13.0
10-10 12.7% 2.9% 2.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 12.4
9-11 10.9% 3.1% 3.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.5
8-12 8.6% 2.1% 2.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.5
7-13 6.1% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.0
6-14 3.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.9
5-15 2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-16 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.8% 5.8% 1.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.3 93.2 1.0%