Summit League
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
156 South Dakota St. 35.2%   16   15 - 12 11 - 4 16 - 12 12 - 4 +0.4      +1.3 140 -0.9 198 70.1 134 -0.9 175 +1.0 1
166 St. Thomas 28.6%   15 - 12 8 - 7 16 - 12 9 - 7 -0.2      +1.0 155 -1.2 208 60.9 348 -2.6 215 -3.5 5
234 UMKC 8.9%   12 - 15 9 - 6 12 - 16 9 - 7 -3.6      -3.3 266 -0.4 183 66.5 246 -4.7 256 -1.9 3
245 North Dakota 7.3%   14 - 13 9 - 6 15 - 13 10 - 6 -4.1      -0.9 205 -3.2 267 67.0 227 -3.5 235 -1.3 2
256 North Dakota St. 5.9%   12 - 15 8 - 7 12 - 16 8 - 8 -4.7      -1.4 216 -3.4 271 65.4 272 -3.4 233 -3.3 4
264 Nebraska Omaha 4.7%   10 - 17 7 - 9 10 - 17 7 - 9 -5.2      -1.0 209 -4.1 302 68.3 187 -6.8 287 -5.4 6
266 Oral Roberts 4.7%   8 - 17 5 - 10 9 - 17 6 - 10 -5.2      -1.1 210 -4.1 300 69.8 142 -6.2 279 -7.8 9
278 Denver 3.6%   11 - 15 6 - 9 11 - 16 6 - 10 -5.8      +1.9 121 -7.8 357 74.9 39 -5.5 268 -6.7 7
310 South Dakota 1.1%   9 - 18 5 - 10 9 - 19 5 - 11 -8.3      -1.6 223 -6.6 351 70.8 113 -7.8 303 -7.8 8






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
South Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
St. Thomas 3.5 10.9 41.6 38.7 8.8
UMKC 2.4 58.3 41.7
North Dakota 2.1 89.0 11.0
North Dakota St. 4.1 6.0 22.0 26.2 45.9
Nebraska Omaha 6.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 7.7 43.8 45.2 11.0
Denver 6.8 21.0 79.0
South Dakota 8.2 19.6 38.7 41.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
South Dakota St. 12 - 4 41.9 58.1
St. Thomas 9 - 7 21.0 79.0
UMKC 9 - 7 55.4 44.6
North Dakota 10 - 6 24.8 75.2
North Dakota St. 8 - 8 58.1 41.9
Nebraska Omaha 7 - 9 100.0
Oral Roberts 6 - 10 44.6 55.4
Denver 6 - 10 79.0 21.0
South Dakota 5 - 11 75.2 24.8




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
St. Thomas
UMKC
North Dakota
North Dakota St.
Nebraska Omaha
Oral Roberts
Denver
South Dakota


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota St. 35.2% 35.2% 0.0% 16   0.2 6.7 23.6 4.7 64.8 0.0%
St. Thomas 28.6% 28.6% 0.0% 0.2 5.0 19.8 3.6 71.4 0.0%
UMKC 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 0.3 8.6 91.1 0.0%
North Dakota 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 0.0 2.7 4.6 92.7 0.0%
North Dakota St. 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 5.7 94.1 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 4.7 95.3 0.0%
Oral Roberts 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 4.7 95.3 0.0%
Denver 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0 3.6 96.4 0.0%
South Dakota 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 1.1 98.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
South Dakota St. 35.2% 0.4% 35.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Thomas 28.6% 0.3% 28.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 8.9% 6.8% 5.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 7.3% 1.8% 6.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 5.9% 4.7% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 4.7% 4.7% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 4.7% 4.7% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 3.6% 3.4% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 86.4% 0.9 13.6 86.4
2nd Round 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0