Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#174
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#238
Pace74.4#59
Improvement+0.4#135

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#127
First Shot+5.1#55
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#342
Layup/Dunks-2.7#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#49
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#16
Freethrows-1.7#273
Improvement+0.6#121

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#238
First Shot+1.3#126
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#347
Layups/Dunks+2.8#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#210
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#170
Freethrows-1.6#278
Improvement-0.2#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.8% 35.0% 23.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.8 14.6
.500 or above 59.6% 82.0% 57.4%
.500 or above in Conference 83.9% 92.6% 83.1%
Conference Champion 30.4% 41.2% 29.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 0.9% 3.0%
First Four4.4% 2.3% 4.6%
First Round23.0% 34.0% 21.9%
Second Round1.9% 4.4% 1.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 8.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 43 - 9
Quad 411 - 413 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 191   @ Texas Arlington L 71-75 43%     0 - 1 -2.6 -1.2 -1.4
  Nov 13, 2023 103   @ Missouri St. L 69-84 22%     0 - 2 -7.5 -6.0 +0.3
  Nov 17, 2023 19   @ Texas A&M L 66-74 6%     0 - 3 +9.0 +8.1 -0.2
  Nov 21, 2023 237   Texas Southern W 65-63 73%     1 - 3 -4.7 -1.8 -2.8
  Nov 28, 2023 44   @ Kansas St. L 73-87 9%    
  Dec 02, 2023 190   Tulsa W 77-73 65%    
  Dec 12, 2023 51   @ Texas Tech L 67-81 11%    
  Dec 17, 2023 75   @ Oklahoma St. L 69-79 17%    
  Dec 29, 2023 301   @ UMKC W 74-70 65%    
  Dec 31, 2023 254   @ Denver W 84-83 56%    
  Jan 03, 2024 229   @ Montana St. L 70-71 50%    
  Jan 06, 2024 124   Weber St. L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 11, 2024 293   South Dakota W 84-74 80%    
  Jan 13, 2024 278   St. Thomas W 76-67 78%    
  Jan 18, 2024 256   @ North Dakota W 77-75 56%    
  Jan 20, 2024 215   @ North Dakota St. L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 25, 2024 275   Nebraska Omaha W 83-74 77%    
  Jan 27, 2024 143   South Dakota St. W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 03, 2024 254   Denver W 87-80 74%    
  Feb 08, 2024 278   @ St. Thomas W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 10, 2024 143   @ South Dakota St. L 74-79 34%    
  Feb 15, 2024 215   North Dakota St. W 79-74 67%    
  Feb 17, 2024 256   North Dakota W 80-72 75%    
  Feb 22, 2024 275   @ Nebraska Omaha W 80-77 59%    
  Feb 24, 2024 293   @ South Dakota W 81-77 62%    
  Mar 02, 2024 301   UMKC W 77-67 81%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 3.6 6.8 8.5 6.4 3.5 0.9 30.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 5.5 8.3 5.4 1.8 0.3 22.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 5.2 6.1 2.6 0.5 0.0 15.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.6 1.2 0.1 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.8 1.0 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 2.7 0.8 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.9 0.8 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.4 4.5 6.9 9.7 12.1 13.6 14.5 12.8 10.2 6.7 3.5 0.9 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
15-1 100.0% 3.5    3.4 0.1
14-2 95.6% 6.4    5.7 0.7
13-3 82.6% 8.5    6.2 2.2 0.1
12-4 53.6% 6.8    3.6 2.7 0.5 0.0
11-5 24.5% 3.6    0.9 1.7 0.8 0.1
10-6 5.6% 0.8    0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 30.4% 30.4 20.8 7.6 1.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.9% 75.6% 74.9% 0.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 2.7%
15-1 3.5% 61.0% 61.0% 13.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.4
14-2 6.7% 53.4% 53.4% 13.7 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.1
13-3 10.2% 44.5% 44.5% 14.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.0 1.2 0.2 5.7
12-4 12.8% 32.9% 32.9% 14.6 0.0 0.5 1.2 2.0 0.5 8.6
11-5 14.5% 27.0% 27.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 1.2 10.6
10-6 13.6% 18.6% 18.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 11.1
9-7 12.1% 13.8% 13.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.5 10.4
8-8 9.7% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 8.8
7-9 6.9% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 6.5
6-10 4.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.1 4.4
5-11 2.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 2.4
4-12 1.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 1.3
3-13 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 24.8% 24.8% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.8 6.2 7.0 6.5 75.2 0.0%