Denver
Summit League
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#278
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#268
Pace74.9#39
Improvement-5.2#346

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#121
First Shot-0.8#197
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#27
Layup/Dunks-0.6#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#198
Freethrows+2.0#60
Improvement-4.6#349

Defense
Total Defense-7.8#357
First Shot-5.3#336
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#341
Layups/Dunks-7.3#356
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#248
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#93
Freethrows+0.6#154
Improvement-0.6#210
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 5.1% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 0.0% 13.8%
First Four3.4% 4.2% 3.2%
First Round1.9% 3.1% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Away) - 21.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 410 - 611 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 114   @ UC San Diego L 87-95 13%     0 - 1 -1.7 +11.9 -13.3
  Nov 09, 2023 335   Cal Poly W 97-76 79%     1 - 1 +6.6 +15.5 -9.9
  Nov 15, 2023 282   Nicholls St. W 91-85 52%     2 - 1 -0.2 +6.4 -7.1
  Nov 16, 2023 291   SIU Edwardsville L 74-77 54%     2 - 2 -9.9 +2.6 -12.7
  Nov 17, 2023 207   @ South Alabama L 75-82 29%     2 - 3 -6.9 +5.9 -13.2
  Nov 26, 2023 332   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 71-61 60%     3 - 3 +1.5 -4.3 +5.9
  Nov 29, 2023 311   @ Idaho W 67-65 49%     4 - 3 -3.6 -2.6 -0.9
  Dec 06, 2023 40   @ Colorado St. L 80-90 4%     4 - 4 +3.8 +17.6 -14.3
  Dec 13, 2023 19   @ BYU L 74-90 3%     4 - 5 +0.9 +1.9 +0.1
  Dec 29, 2023 264   @ Nebraska Omaha W 95-80 37%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +12.5 +18.5 -6.1
  Dec 31, 2023 266   Oral Roberts L 86-89 OT 58%     5 - 6 1 - 1 -11.0 -6.0 -4.5
  Jan 03, 2024 260   Idaho St. W 95-82 OT 57%     6 - 6 +5.3 +9.8 -5.6
  Jan 06, 2024 202   @ Northern Colorado L 82-86 28%     6 - 7 -3.7 +0.2 -3.6
  Jan 13, 2024 156   South Dakota St. W 99-80 37%     7 - 7 2 - 1 +16.7 +20.1 -4.1
  Jan 18, 2024 256   @ North Dakota St. W 78-70 36%     8 - 7 3 - 1 +6.0 -0.1 +5.8
  Jan 20, 2024 245   @ North Dakota L 78-92 33%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -15.4 +4.9 -20.5
  Jan 25, 2024 310   South Dakota W 111-110 2OT 69%     9 - 8 4 - 2 -10.0 +4.2 -14.5
  Jan 27, 2024 264   Nebraska Omaha L 72-91 58%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -26.9 -7.9 -18.5
  Feb 01, 2024 234   @ UMKC L 71-85 32%     9 - 10 4 - 4 -14.9 -3.0 -11.5
  Feb 03, 2024 266   @ Oral Roberts L 76-82 37%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -8.5 -5.6 -2.5
  Feb 08, 2024 310   @ South Dakota L 86-92 OT 49%     9 - 12 4 - 6 -11.6 +1.2 -12.3
  Feb 10, 2024 166   St. Thomas W 94-77 39%     10 - 12 5 - 6 +14.1 +14.5 -1.2
  Feb 15, 2024 245   North Dakota L 78-92 54%     10 - 13 5 - 7 -20.8 +1.7 -22.7
  Feb 17, 2024 256   North Dakota St. W 77-71 56%     11 - 13 6 - 7 -1.4 +2.0 -3.2
  Feb 22, 2024 156   @ South Dakota St. L 70-97 20%     11 - 14 6 - 8 -23.9 -5.3 -17.4
  Feb 29, 2024 234   UMKC L 69-84 52%     11 - 15 6 - 9 -21.3 -5.1 -16.3
  Mar 02, 2024 166   @ St. Thomas L 72-80 21%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 21.0 21.0 6th
7th 79.0 79.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 79.0 21.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 21.0% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1 20.0
6-10 79.0% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 2.6 76.4
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.6 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 21.0% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 5.0
Lose Out 79.0% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 3.3