Preseason Rankings
Temple
American Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#138
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.7#243
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#186
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#110
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 4.7% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.6% 1.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.3 11.3 13.9
.500 or above 54.3% 56.3% 23.4%
.500 or above in Conference 50.8% 52.1% 30.3%
Conference Champion 2.9% 3.1% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 6.0% 14.0%
First Four1.0% 1.0% 0.5%
First Round4.0% 4.2% 0.9%
Second Round1.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 94.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 34 - 46 - 11
Quad 48 - 214 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 342   Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-58 94%    
  Nov 10, 2023 277   @ Navy W 67-62 69%    
  Nov 14, 2023 125   @ Drexel L 61-65 37%    
  Nov 18, 2023 303   Columbia W 78-65 87%    
  Nov 22, 2023 60   Mississippi L 65-69 36%    
  Nov 29, 2023 199   La Salle W 72-66 72%    
  Dec 10, 2023 318   Albany W 75-64 83%    
  Dec 16, 2023 82   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-71 26%    
  Dec 21, 2023 79   Nevada L 65-70 34%    
  Jan 04, 2024 145   @ South Florida L 67-70 41%    
  Jan 07, 2024 95   Wichita St. L 66-67 50%    
  Jan 10, 2024 146   East Carolina W 70-67 62%    
  Jan 13, 2024 90   @ North Texas L 54-61 29%    
  Jan 16, 2024 101   @ SMU L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 20, 2024 178   Rice W 76-71 67%    
  Jan 24, 2024 145   South Florida W 70-67 61%    
  Jan 28, 2024 146   @ East Carolina L 67-70 42%    
  Feb 04, 2024 99   @ Tulane L 73-79 32%    
  Feb 08, 2024 27   Memphis L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 11, 2024 156   Charlotte W 63-59 64%    
  Feb 15, 2024 25   @ Florida Atlantic L 63-77 13%    
  Feb 18, 2024 249   Texas San Antonio W 76-66 79%    
  Feb 25, 2024 95   @ Wichita St. L 63-69 31%    
  Feb 28, 2024 178   @ Rice L 73-74 48%    
  Mar 02, 2024 233   Tulsa W 74-65 76%    
  Mar 07, 2024 77   UAB L 72-74 44%    
  Mar 10, 2024 249   @ Texas San Antonio W 73-69 62%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 2.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.9 2.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.7 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.8 3.3 0.7 0.1 8.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.0 1.0 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 4.8 1.4 0.1 8.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.7 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.9 3.2 0.4 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.8 0.8 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.8 1.3 0.1 7.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 5.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.1 3.6 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.1 4.9 7.2 9.3 10.9 11.6 12.1 10.7 9.5 7.2 5.3 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 92.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 74.7% 0.6    0.4 0.1
15-3 52.6% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 24.5% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 5.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 18.9% 81.1% 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.3% 90.5% 20.1% 70.4% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 88.1%
16-2 0.8% 69.8% 16.2% 53.6% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 64.0%
15-3 1.7% 34.3% 10.8% 23.5% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 26.4%
14-4 3.3% 21.0% 10.8% 10.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.6 11.4%
13-5 5.3% 10.5% 7.7% 2.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.7 3.1%
12-6 7.2% 7.4% 6.3% 1.0% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.6 1.1%
11-7 9.5% 4.1% 4.1% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
10-8 10.7% 3.2% 3.2% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.4
9-9 12.1% 1.7% 1.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.9
8-10 11.6% 1.4% 1.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.4
7-11 10.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.8
6-12 9.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.2
5-13 7.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.2
4-14 4.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.9
3-15 3.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.5% 2.9% 1.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 95.5 1.6%